STEVE HELD

2024 Montana's 2nd congressional district election
← 2022 2026 →
Incumbent U.S. Representative; Matt Rosendale; Republican	; ;

2024 Montana's 1st congressional district election
← 2022 2026 →
Incumbent U.S. Representative; Ryan Zinke; Republican	; ;

The 2024 United States House of Representatives elections in Montana will be held on November 5, 2024, to elect the two U.S. representatives from the state of Montana, one from each of the state's congressional districts. The elections will coincide with the U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate, and various state and local elections. The primary elections are scheduled for June 4, 2024.

District 1

The 1st district is based in mountainous Western Montana, including the cities of Missoula, Kalispell, Bozeman and Butte. The incumbent is Republican Ryan Zinke, who was elected with 49.7% of the vote in 2022.^[1] He initially had expressed interest in running for U.S. Senate against incumbent Jon Tester, but chose not to do so.^[2]

Republican primary

Declared

Mary Todd, innkeeper and candidate for this district in 2022^[3]
Ryan Zinke, incumbent U.S. representative^[4]

Endorsements

Ryan Zinke

Executive Branch officials

Donald Trump, 45th president of the United States^[5]
John Bolton, United States National Security Advisor (2018–2019), United States Ambassador to the United Nations (2005–2006)^[6]

Organizations

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023
Candidate	Raised	Spent	Cash on hand
Ryan Zinke (R)	$3,588,489	$1,806,488	$1,892,048
Source: Federal Election Commission^[9]

Results

Republican primary results
Party		Candidate
	Republican	Mary Todd
	Republican	Ryan Zinke (incumbent)
Total votes

Democratic primary

Presumptive nominee

Monica Tranel, lawyer, former Olympic rower, and nominee for this district in 2022^[4]

Endorsements

Monica Tranel

U.S. representatives

Lois Frankel, U.S. representative from Florida's 22nd congressional district (2013–present)^[10]
Annie Kuster, U.S. representative for New Hampshire's 2nd congressional district (2013–present)^[11]
Pat Ryan, U.S. representative for New York's 18th congressional district (2023–present)^[11]

Statewide officials

Brian Schweitzer, former governor of Montana (2005–2013)^[12]

State legislators

Dave Fern, state representative from the 5th district (2017–present)^[12]
Shannon O'Brien, state senator from the 46th district (2021–present)^[13]

Organizations

Labor unions

National Education Association^[22]

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023
Candidate	Raised	Spent	Cash on hand
Monica Tranel (D)	$1,201,757	$306,735	$895,022
Source: Federal Election Commission^[9]

Results

Democratic primary results
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Monica Tranel
Total votes

Libertarian primary

Declared

Dennis Hayes, remodeling contractor^[3]
Ernie Noble, construction worker^[3]

Results

Libertarian primary results
Party		Candidate
	Libertarian	Dennis Hayes
	Libertarian	Ernie Noble
Total votes

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report^[23]	Likely R	February 2, 2023
Inside Elections^[24]	Lean R	September 15, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball^[25]	Lean R	February 23, 2023
Elections Daily^[26]	Lean R	September 7, 2023
CNalysis^[27]	Lean R	November 16, 2023

Results

Montana's 1st congressional district, 2024
Party		Candidate
	Republican	TBD
	Democratic	Monica Tranel
	Libertarian	TBD
Total votes

District 2

The 2nd district encompasses much of the state east of the Continental Divide, including the cities of Billings, Great Falls and Helena. The incumbent is Republican Matt Rosendale, who was re-elected with 56.6% of the vote in 2022.^[1] He announced in February 2024 that he would run for U.S. Senate against incumbent Jon Tester, but dropped out of the race one week later.^[28] On March 8, 2024, Rosendale announced that he would not be seeking any office in 2024.^[29]

Republican primary

Declared

Elsie Arntzen, Montana Superintendent of Public Instruction^[30]
Kyle Austin, pharmacist and candidate for this district in 2022^[3]
Kenneth Bogner, President pro tempore of the Montana Senate^[31]
Troy Downing, Montana State Auditor^[32]
Ric Holden, former state senator^[33]
Joel Krautter, former state representative^[33]
Denny Rehberg, former U.S. Representative for the at-large district (2001–2013), former Lieutenant Governor of Montana (1991–1997), and nominee for U.S. Senate in 1996 and 2012^[34]
Stacy Zinn, retired DEA agent^[35]

Withdrawn

Matt Rosendale, incumbent U.S. Representative^[29]
Ed Walker, former state senator and candidate for the at-large district in 2017 (remained on ballot)^[36]

Endorsements

Elsie Arntzen

U.S. representatives

Bob Good, chair of the Freedom Caucus (2024–present) and VA-05 (2021–present)^[37]
Harriet Hageman, WY-AL (2023–present)^[36]

Ken Bogner

Executive Branch officials

Thomas Homan, Acting Director of the U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (2017–2018)^[36]

Troy Downing

U.S. representatives

Derrick Van Orden, WI-03 (2023–present)^[36]

Joel Krautter

Labor unions

Montana Federation of Public Employees^[36]

Declined to endorse

U.S. representatives

Matt Rosendale, MT-02 (2021–present)^[36]

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023
Candidate	Raised	Spent	Cash on hand
Elsie Arntzen (R)	$253,125^[a]	$134,559	$118,566
Troy Downing (R)	$353,274^[b]	$59,173	$294,100
Ric Holden (R)	$32,869^[c]	$5,477	$27,392
Joel Krautter (R)	$35,786^[d]	$26,083	$9,703
Matt Rosendale (R)^[e]	$1,002,542	$548,089	$1,672,256
Edward Walker (R)^[e]	$103,597^[f]	$29,752	$73,845
Stacy Zinn (R)	$1,457	$57	$1,400
Source: Federal Election Commission^[38]

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[g]	Margin of error	Elsie Arntzen	Kenneth Bogner	Troy Downing	Ric Holden	Denny Rehberg	Stacey Zinn	Other	Undecided
Guidant Polling & Strategy^[A]	April 14–17, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	10%	–	38%	–	26%	–	–	27%
Moore Information^[B]	February 1, 2024	500 (LV)	?	5%	3%	16%	2%	26%	2%	9%^[h]	37%

Results

Republican primary results
Party		Candidate
	Republican	Elsie Arntzen
	Republican	Kyle Austin
	Republican	Kenneth Bogner
	Republican	Troy Downing
	Republican	Ric Holden
	Republican	Joel Krautter
	Republican	Denny Rehberg
	Republican	Ed Walker (withdrawn)
	Republican	Stacy Zinn
Total votes

Democratic primary

Declared

Ming Cabrera, salesman^[39]
John Driscoll, former member of the Montana Public Service Commission and perennial candidate^[3]
Kevin Hamm, IT consultant^[40]
Steve Held, actor and rancher^[3]

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023
Candidate	Raised	Spent	Cash on hand
Ming Cabrera (D)	$46,725^[i]	$22,769	$23,956
Kevin Hamm (D)	$30,772	$27,959	$2,813
Source: Federal Election Commission^[38]

Results

Democratic primary results
Party		Candidate
	Democratic	Mike Cabrera
	Democratic	John Driscoll
	Democratic	Kevin Hamm
	Democratic	Steve Held
Total votes

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report^[23]	Solid R	February 2, 2023
Inside Elections^[24]	Solid R	September 15, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball^[25]	Safe R	February 23, 2023
Elections Daily^[26]	Safe R	September 7, 2023
CNalysis^[27]	Solid R	November 16, 2023

Results

Montana's 2nd congressional district, 2024
Party		Candidate
	Republican	TBD
	Democratic	TBD
Total votes

Notes

^ $251,400 of this total was self-funded by Arntzen.
^ $150,000 of this total was self-funded by Downing.
^ $32,072 of this total was self-funded by Holden.
^ $4,787 of this total was self-funded by Krautter.
^ ^a ^b Withdrawn candidate
^ $10,000 of this total was self-funded by Walker.
^ Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear
^ Joel Krautter and Ed Walker with 1%; "Other" with 7%
^ $1,000 of this total was self-funded by Cabrera.

Partisan clients

^ Poll commissioned by Downing's campaign
^ Poll commissioned by "Rehberg allies"

References

^ ^a ^b "2022 National House Vote Tracker". Cook Political Report. Retrieved December 29, 2023.
^ Warren, Bradley (July 5, 2023). "Congressman Ryan Zinke officially endorses Tim Sheehy for US Senate". Nonstop Local—ABC FOX. There was speculation Zinke could enter the race, but that speculation now shut down with this endorsement.
^ ^a ^b ^c ^d ^e ^f "Federal Primary 2024". Montana Secretary of State. January 11, 2024.
^ ^a ^b Corrin, Noah; Warren, Bradley (July 10, 2023). "Montana Democrat Monica Tranel announces run for U.S. Congress". KTMF. Retrieved July 10, 2023. Zinke plans to run for reelection, setting up a potential rematch of the 2022 race.
^ Buffington, Posie (March 22, 2024). "Former Pres. Trump endorses Zinke for re-election in Montana's District 1 congressional race". NonStop Local. Retrieved March 22, 2024.
^ {{cite web | https://www.boltonpac.com/our-candidates/
^ "- AIPAC Political Portal". candidates.aipacpac.org. Archived from the original on August 27, 2023. Retrieved August 27, 2023.
^ "Endorsed Candidates | CWF". www.cwfpac.com. Retrieved March 18, 2024.
^ ^a ^b "2024 Election United States House - Montana 1st". fec.gov. Federal Election Commission. Retrieved February 2, 2024.
^ "Elect Democratic Women Endorses Monica Tranel in Montana's 1st Congressional District". Elect Democratic Women. August 3, 2023. Retrieved August 24, 2023.
^ ^a ^b ^c "NewDem Action Fund Announces New Red-to-Blue Candidate Endorsement Slate". NewDem Action Fund. October 26, 2023. Archived from the original on October 26, 2023. Retrieved October 26, 2023.
^ ^a ^b Sagner, Denali (July 13, 2023). "Tranel Hones in on Montana's 'Purple DNA' at Kalispell Launch Event". Flathead Beacon. Retrieved August 15, 2023.
^ Montanan, Daily (July 11, 2023). "Tranel announces another bid for Congress". The Missoula Current News - Daily News in Missoula Montana. Retrieved August 15, 2023.
^ "Democrats launch their first slate of challengers in the fight for the House majority". NBC News. January 29, 2024. Retrieved January 29, 2024.
^ Schneider, Elena (February 8, 2024). "Pro-Israel group wades into several contested Democratic primaries". Politico. Retrieved February 8, 2024.
^ Chou, Lauren (September 27, 2023). "EMILYs List Endorses Monica Tranel for Montana's 1st Congressional District". EMILYs List. Archived from the original on September 27, 2023. Retrieved September 27, 2023.
^ "Jewish Dems Endorse in Key House and Senate Races, Pledge Resources to Mobilize Jewish Voters". Jewish Democratic Council of America. March 28, 2023.
^ "LCV Action Fund Announces Slate of New U.S. House Endorsements". League of Conservation Voters. Archived from the original on September 28, 2023. Retrieved September 28, 2023.
^ "2024 Federal Endorsements". NOW PAC. Retrieved February 5, 2024.
^ "New Planned Parenthood Action Fund Endorsements: We Can Flip The House By Electing These Reproductive Rights Champions in 2024". www.plannedparenthoodaction.org. Retrieved February 15, 2024.
^ "Reproductive Freedom for All Endorses Slate of Champions for the U.S. House". Reproductive Freedom for All. October 24, 2023. Archived from the original on October 24, 2023. Retrieved October 24, 2023.
^ "Our Recommended Candidates". Education Votes. Retrieved November 20, 2023.
^ ^a ^b "2024 House Race Ratings: Another Competitive Fight for Control". Cook Political Report. Retrieved February 3, 2023.
^ ^a ^b "First 2024 House Ratings". Inside Elections. Retrieved March 10, 2023.
^ ^a ^b "Initial House Ratings: Battle for Majority Starts as a Toss-up". Sabato's Crystal Ball. February 23, 2023.
^ ^a ^b "Election Ratings". Elections Daily. September 13, 2023. Retrieved September 17, 2023.
^ ^a ^b "2024 House Forecast". November 20, 2023. Retrieved December 29, 2023.
^ Mutnick, Ally; Beavers, Olivia; Everett, Burgess (February 15, 2024). "Rosendale drops Montana Senate bid". Politico.
^ ^a ^b Schnell, Mychael (March 8, 2024). "Rosendale drops reelection bid, will retire at end of term". The Hill. Retrieved March 8, 2024.
^ West, Bowen (February 12, 2024). "Arntzen announces run for Congress". NBC News. Retrieved February 15, 2024.
^ Warren, Bradley; Corrin, Noah (January 9, 2024). "Montana State Senator Ken Bogner announces run for U.S. Congress". KULR-TV. Retrieved January 9, 2024.
^ "Troy Downing announces campaign for Congress". KTVQ. November 1, 2023. Retrieved November 1, 2023.
^ ^a ^b Murray, David (September 25, 2023). "Holden joins growing field in run to represent eastern House District". Great Falls Tribune. Retrieved September 25, 2023.
^ Lutey, Tom (February 21, 2024). "Denny Rehberg launches U.S. House campaign". Billings Gazette. Retrieved February 21, 2024.
^ Buffington, Posie (November 6, 2023). "Stacy Zinn announces run for Montana congressional district two". KULR8. Retrieved November 20, 2023.
^ ^a ^b ^c ^d ^e ^f Ambarian, Jonathon (April 11, 2024). "Endorsements come in for Montana eastern district primary, some big players still on the sideline". KTVH-DT. Retrieved April 11, 2024.
^ Roth, Samantha-Jo (April 3, 2024). "Freedom Caucus chairman endorses Republican in crowded primary for Rosendale House seat - Washington Examiner". The Washington Examiner. Retrieved April 11, 2024.
^ ^a ^b "2024 Election United States House - Montana 2nd". fec.gov. Federal Election Commission. Retrieved February 2, 2024.
^ Ragar, Shaylee (September 6, 2023). "Another Democrat joins Montana's eastern district U.S. House race". Montana Public Radio. Retrieved September 6, 2023.
^ Ehrlick, Darrell (May 16, 2023). "Hamm announces bid for Congress". Daily Montanan.

External links

Official campaign websites for 1st district candidates

Official campaign websites for 2nd district candidates

[38] $251,400 of this total was self-funded by Arntzen.

[39] $150,000 of this total was self-funded by Downing.

[40] $32,072 of this total was self-funded by Holden.

[41] $4,787 of this total was self-funded by Krautter.

[Withdrawn-42] Withdrawn candidate

[43] $10,000 of this total was self-funded by Walker.

[Key-45] Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear

[48] Joel Krautter and Ed Walker with 1%; "Other" with 7%

[51] $1,000 of this total was self-funded by Cabrera.

[46] Poll commissioned by Downing's campaign

[47] Poll commissioned by "Rehberg allies"

[HPVT-1] "2022 National House Vote Tracker". Cook Political Report. Retrieved December 29, 2023.

[Zinke-2] Warren, Bradley (July 5, 2023). "Congressman Ryan Zinke officially endorses Tim Sheehy for US Senate". Nonstop Local—ABC FOX. There was speculation Zinke could enter the race, but that speculation now shut down with this endorsement.

[MT2024-3] ^ ^a ^b ^c ^d ^e ^f "Federal Primary 2024". Montana Secretary of State. January 11, 2024.

[tranel-4] Corrin, Noah; Warren, Bradley (July 10, 2023). "Montana Democrat Monica Tranel announces run for U.S. Congress". KTMF. Retrieved July 10, 2023. Zinke plans to run for reelection, setting up a potential rematch of the 2022 race.

[5] Buffington, Posie (March 22, 2024). "Former Pres. Trump endorses Zinke for re-election in Montana's District 1 congressional race". NonStop Local. Retrieved March 22, 2024.

[6] {{cite web | https://www.boltonpac.com/our-candidates/

[aipac-7] "- AIPAC Political Portal". candidates.aipacpac.org. Archived from the original on August 27, 2023. Retrieved August 27, 2023.

[CWFendorsements-8] "Endorsed Candidates | CWF". www.cwfpac.com. Retrieved March 18, 2024.

[FEC-9] "2024 Election United States House - Montana 1st". fec.gov. Federal Election Commission. Retrieved February 2, 2024.

[10] "Elect Democratic Women Endorses Monica Tranel in Montana's 1st Congressional District". Elect Democratic Women. August 3, 2023. Retrieved August 24, 2023.

[newdemiamtca-11] "NewDem Action Fund Announces New Red-to-Blue Candidate Endorsement Slate". NewDem Action Fund. October 26, 2023. Archived from the original on October 26, 2023. Retrieved October 26, 2023.

[mont-12] Sagner, Denali (July 13, 2023). "Tranel Hones in on Montana's 'Purple DNA' at Kalispell Launch Event". Flathead Beacon. Retrieved August 15, 2023.

[13] Montanan, Daily (July 11, 2023). "Tranel announces another bid for Congress". The Missoula Current News - Daily News in Missoula Montana. Retrieved August 15, 2023.

[redtobluefirst-14] "Democrats launch their first slate of challengers in the fight for the House majority". NBC News. January 29, 2024. Retrieved January 29, 2024.

[15] Schneider, Elena (February 8, 2024). "Pro-Israel group wades into several contested Democratic primaries". Politico. Retrieved February 8, 2024.

[emily-16] Chou, Lauren (September 27, 2023). "EMILYs List Endorses Monica Tranel for Montana's 1st Congressional District". EMILYs List. Archived from the original on September 27, 2023. Retrieved September 27, 2023.

[17] "Jewish Dems Endorse in Key House and Senate Races, Pledge Resources to Mobilize Jewish Voters". Jewish Democratic Council of America. March 28, 2023.

[LCV_NEW_928-18] "LCV Action Fund Announces Slate of New U.S. House Endorsements". League of Conservation Voters. Archived from the original on September 28, 2023. Retrieved September 28, 2023.

[NOWPACENDORSE-19] "2024 Federal Endorsements". NOW PAC. Retrieved February 5, 2024.

[planedpartenhodendorsementsslate-20] "New Planned Parenthood Action Fund Endorsements: We Can Flip The House By Electing These Reproductive Rights Champions in 2024". www.plannedparenthoodaction.org. Retrieved February 15, 2024.

[RPFFA1stendorsementscandidates-21] "Reproductive Freedom for All Endorses Slate of Champions for the U.S. House". Reproductive Freedom for All. October 24, 2023. Archived from the original on October 24, 2023. Retrieved October 24, 2023.

[NEAV-22] "Our Recommended Candidates". Education Votes. Retrieved November 20, 2023.

[Cook_Initial-23] "2024 House Race Ratings: Another Competitive Fight for Control". Cook Political Report. Retrieved February 3, 2023.

[IE_Initial-24] "First 2024 House Ratings". Inside Elections. Retrieved March 10, 2023.

[Sabato_Initial-25] "Initial House Ratings: Battle for Majority Starts as a Toss-up". Sabato's Crystal Ball. February 23, 2023.

[ED_Initial-26] "Election Ratings". Elections Daily. September 13, 2023. Retrieved September 17, 2023.

[CNalysis-27] "2024 House Forecast". November 20, 2023. Retrieved December 29, 2023.

[28] Mutnick, Ally; Beavers, Olivia; Everett, Burgess (February 15, 2024). "Rosendale drops Montana Senate bid". Politico.

[:0-29] Schnell, Mychael (March 8, 2024). "Rosendale drops reelection bid, will retire at end of term". The Hill. Retrieved March 8, 2024.

[30] West, Bowen (February 12, 2024). "Arntzen announces run for Congress". NBC News. Retrieved February 15, 2024.

[31] Warren, Bradley; Corrin, Noah (January 9, 2024). "Montana State Senator Ken Bogner announces run for U.S. Congress". KULR-TV. Retrieved January 9, 2024.

[32] "Troy Downing announces campaign for Congress". KTVQ. November 1, 2023. Retrieved November 1, 2023.

[Holden-33] Murray, David (September 25, 2023). "Holden joins growing field in run to represent eastern House District". Great Falls Tribune. Retrieved September 25, 2023.

[34] Lutey, Tom (February 21, 2024). "Denny Rehberg launches U.S. House campaign". Billings Gazette. Retrieved February 21, 2024.

[35] Buffington, Posie (November 6, 2023). "Stacy Zinn announces run for Montana congressional district two". KULR8. Retrieved November 20, 2023.

[MT02endorsements_4.11-36] ^ ^a ^b ^c ^d ^e ^f Ambarian, Jonathon (April 11, 2024). "Endorsements come in for Montana eastern district primary, some big players still on the sideline". KTVH-DT. Retrieved April 11, 2024.

[37] Roth, Samantha-Jo (April 3, 2024). "Freedom Caucus chairman endorses Republican in crowded primary for Rosendale House seat - Washington Examiner". The Washington Examiner. Retrieved April 11, 2024.

[FEC1-44] "2024 Election United States House - Montana 2nd". fec.gov. Federal Election Commission. Retrieved February 2, 2024.

[49] Ragar, Shaylee (September 6, 2023). "Another Democrat joins Montana's eastern district U.S. House race". Montana Public Radio. Retrieved September 6, 2023.

[50] Ehrlick, Darrell (May 16, 2023). "Hamm announces bid for Congress". Daily Montanan.

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v t e ( 2023 ←) 2024 United States elections ( → 2025)
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v t e ( 2023 ←) 2024 United States elections ( → 2025)
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Ballot measures	California Proposition 1 Florida Amendment 3 Amendment 4 Kentucky Amendment 2 Maryland abortion referendum

District 1

Republican primary

Declared

Endorsements

Fundraising

Results

Democratic primary

Presumptive nominee

Endorsements

Fundraising

Results

Libertarian primary

Declared

Results

General election

Predictions

Results

District 2

Republican primary

Declared

Withdrawn

Endorsements

Fundraising

Polling

Results

Democratic primary

Declared

Fundraising

Results

General election

Predictions

Results

Notes

References

External links

District 1

Republican primary

Declared

Endorsements

Fundraising

Results

Democratic primary

Presumptive nominee

Endorsements

Fundraising

Results

Libertarian primary

Declared

Results

General election

Predictions

Results

District 2

Republican primary

Declared

Withdrawn

Endorsements

Fundraising

Polling

Results

Democratic primary

Declared

Fundraising

Results

General election

Predictions

Results

Notes

References

External links

Videos

Websites

Encyclopedia

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