From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

2024 Missouri gubernatorial election

←  2020 November 5, 2024 2028 →
 
Party Republican Democratic

Incumbent Governor

Mike Parson
Republican



The 2024 Missouri gubernatorial election will be held on November 5, 2024, to elect the governor of Missouri, concurrently with the 2024 U.S. presidential election, as well as elections to the United States Senate, the United States House of Representatives, and various state and local elections. Incumbent Republican Governor Mike Parson is term-limited and cannot seek re-election to a second full term in office due to having served more than two years of predecessor Eric Greitens' unexpired term following his resignation in June 2018. Primary elections will take place on August 6, 2024. [1]

The former bellwether state has politically trended rightward in recent years and is today a Republican stronghold at both the federal and state levels. The last Democrat to hold the office of governor in Missouri is Jay Nixon who comfortably won re-election in 2012. In 2020, Parson won by 16.41% in the first election in which Missouri elected a Republican for governor by double digits since 1988. Missouri is expected to soundly elect another GOP governor in 2024. [2]

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

Endorsements

Jay Ashcroft
Organizations
Mike Kehoe
Labor unions
Organizations

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size [a]
Margin
of error
Jay
Ashcroft
Bill
Eigel
Mike
Kehoe
Other Undecided
YouGov/Saint Louis University February 14–26, 2024 414 (LV) ± 5.54% 28% 8% 10% 4% [b] 49%
Remington Research (R)/Missouri Scout February 14–15, 2024 706 (LV) ± 3.6% 35% 5% 22% 38%
ARW Strategies (R) February 5–7, 2024 611 (V) ± 3.96% 36% 13% 13% 38%
Remington Research (R)/Missouri Scout January 18–19, 2024 806 (LV) ± 3.3% 34% 4% 20% 42%
Show Me Victories (D) October 26–31, 2023 407 (LV) ± 4.9% 18% 6% 19% 49%
Remington Research (R)/Missouri Scout September 27–28, 2023 714 (LV) ± 3.4% 32% 5% 15% 48%
Remington Research (R)/Missouri Scout July 5–7, 2023 706 (LV) ± 3.4% 34% 4% 14% 38%
Remington Research (R)/Missouri Scout November 15–16, 2022 940 (LV) ± 3.0% 44% 4% 10% 42%
Public Opinion Strategies (R) [A] March 8–10, 2022 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 54% 19% 8% 19%

Results

Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Jay Ashcroft
Republican Bill Eigel
Republican Darren Grant
Republican Jeremy Gundel
Republican Mike Kehoe
Republican Darrell McClanahan
Republican Robert Olson
Republican Amber Thomsen
Republican Chris Wright
Total votes

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

Disqualified

Endorsements

Crystal Quade
Statewide officials
State legislators
  • 40 state legislators [24]
Organizations
Labor unions

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size [c]
Margin
of error
Sheryl
Gladney
Mike
Hamra
Crystal
Quade
Sarah
Unsicker
Undecided
YouGov/Saint Louis University February 14–26, 2024 396 (LV) ± 5.57% 4% 5% 21% 4% 66%
Show Me Victories (D) October 26–31, 2023 407 (RV) ± 4.9% 2% 39% 58%

Results

Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Sheryl Gladney
Democratic Mike Hamra
Democratic Hollis Laster
Democratic Eric Morrison
Democratic Crystal Quade
Total votes

Third-party and independent candidates

Declared

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report [28] Solid R July 21, 2023
Inside Elections [29] Solid R July 14, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball [30] Safe R July 13, 2023
Elections Daily [31] Safe R July 12, 2023

Polling

Hypothetical polling
Mike Kehoe vs. Crystal Quade
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Mike
Kehoe (R)
Crystal
Quade (D)
Other Undecided
Show Me Victories (D) October 26–31, 2023 407 (RV) ± 4.9% 38% 33% 29%
Jay Ashcroft vs. Crystal Quade
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Jay
Ashcroft (R)
Crystal
Quade (D)
Other Undecided
Remington Research Group [B] March 6-8, 2024 713 (LV) ± 3.9% 53% 36% 11%
Show Me Victories (D) October 26–31, 2023 407 (RV) ± 4.9% 39% 34% 27%
Bill Eigel vs. Crystal Quade
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Bill
Eigel (R)
Crystal
Quade (D)
Other Undecided
Show Me Victories (D) October 26–31, 2023 407 (RV) ± 4.9% 33% 34% 33%
Mike Kehoe vs. Mike Hamra
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Mike
Kehoe (R)
Mike
Hamra (D)
Other Undecided
Show Me Victories (D) October 26–31, 2023 407 (RV) ± 4.9% 37% 27% 36%
Jay Ashcroft vs. Mike Hamra
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Jay
Ashcroft (R)
Mike
Hamra (D)
Other Undecided
Show Me Victories (D) October 26–31, 2023 407 (RV) ± 4.9% 39% 29% 32%
Bill Eigel vs. Mike Hamra
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Bill
Eigel (R)
Mike
Hamra (D)
Other Undecided
Show Me Victories (D) October 26–31, 2023 407 (RV) ± 4.9% 33% 30% 37%

Results

2024 Missouri gubernatorial election
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican TBD
Democratic TBD
Libertarian Bill Slantz
Total votes

Notes

  1. ^ Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. ^ Chris Wright with 3%; "Other" with 1%
  3. ^ Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
Partisan clients
  1. ^ This poll was sponsored by Committee for Liberty PAC, which supports Ashcroft
  2. ^ Poll sponsored by Missouri Scout

References

  1. ^ "2024 State Primary Election Dates". www.ncsl.org. Retrieved August 6, 2023.
  2. ^ "270toWin - 2024 Presidential Election Interactive Map". 270toWin.com. Retrieved March 25, 2024.
  3. ^ Shorman, Jonathan (April 6, 2023). "Missouri's top election official Jay Ashcroft launches Republican campaign for governor". The Kansas City Star.
  4. ^ Singer, Jeff (August 17, 2023). "Daily Kos Elections Live Digest: 8/17". Daily Kos. Retrieved August 17, 2023.
  5. ^ a b c d e f g h i "UNOFFICIAL Candidate Filing List". Missouri Secretary of State. Retrieved February 27, 2024.
  6. ^ Hancock, Jason (March 22, 2021). "Mike Kehoe passes on 2022 Senate run to focus on 2024 Missouri governor's race". Missouri Independent. Retrieved September 7, 2021.
  7. ^ Krull, Ryan (February 29, 2024). "Missouri GOP Candidate for Governor Was Only 'Honorary' KKK Member". Riverfront Times. Retrieved February 29, 2024.
  8. ^ "Gubernatorial hopeful Jay Ashcroft lands key endorsement from Missouri Right to Life". www.stltoday.com. July 18, 2023. Retrieved October 22, 2023.
  9. ^ Hays, Brady (April 5, 2022). "Fire Fighter Association of Missouri endorses Kehoe for governor". The Missouri Times. Retrieved April 5, 2022.
  10. ^ "Kehoe backed by Missouri Fraternal Order of Police in gubernatorial bid". The Missouri Times. February 28, 2022. Retrieved April 4, 2022.
  11. ^ Turner, Kelton (May 19, 2022). "Kehoe backed by American Council of Engineering Companies of Missouri". Retrieved May 25, 2023.
  12. ^ a b c "Kehoe Gains 12th Endorsement in Bid for Missouri Governor in '24". Northwest MO Info. November 28, 2022. Retrieved May 25, 2023.
  13. ^ a b c Brady, Hays (March 22, 2022). "Missouri Agribusiness Association endorses Kehoe for governor". The Missouri Times. Retrieved April 4, 2022.
  14. ^ Hays, Brady (June 14, 2022). "Missouri Asphalt Pavement Association endorses Mike Kehoe for Governor". The Missouri Times. Retrieved May 25, 2023.
  15. ^ "Mike Kehoe gains gubernatorial endorsement from Missouri Chamber of Commerce". Springfield News-Leader. Archived from the original on September 13, 2023. Retrieved September 13, 2023.
  16. ^ "Missouri Farm Bureau PAC endorses Mike Kehoe for Governor in 2024".
  17. ^ McFarland, Matthew (August 26, 2022). "Missouri Forest Products Association endorses Kehoe for 2024 Governor race". The Missouri Times. Retrieved May 25, 2023.
  18. ^ Hays, Brady (May 23, 2022). "Missouri Limestone Producers Association endorses Mike Kehoe for governor". The Missouri Times. Retrieved May 25, 2023.
  19. ^ "SITE Improvement Association Endorses Mike Kehoe for Missouri Governor In 2024". St. Louis Construction News & Review. March 1, 2023. Retrieved May 25, 2023.
  20. ^ Keller, Rudi (October 27, 2023). "Springfield businessman Mike Hamra joins Democratic race for Missouri governor". Missouri Independent. Retrieved October 27, 2023.
  21. ^ Sellem, Lucas (July 9, 2023). "Rep. Crystal Quade announces run for MO governor". KMOV. Retrieved July 9, 2023.
  22. ^ Ballentine, Summer (February 27, 2024). "Exiled Missouri lawmaker blocked from running for governor as a Democrat". The Associated Press. Retrieved February 29, 2024.
  23. ^ a b c "Crystal Quade gains endorsement from Planned Parenthood in 2024 gubernatorial bid". Springfield News-Leader. Retrieved December 18, 2023.
  24. ^ Sundrup, Jack (October 11, 2023). "Missouri Democrat Crystal Quade could face intraparty competition in bid for governor". St. Louis Post-Dispatch. Retrieved October 12, 2023.
  25. ^ "Endorsed Candidates". National Women's Political Caucus. Retrieved September 29, 2023.
  26. ^ "2024 Missouri Sierra Club Election Endorsements | Sierra Club". www.sierraclub.org. Retrieved August 25, 2023.
  27. ^ Alpert, Lynn (September 25, 2023). "Missouri AFL-CIO endorses Crystal Quade for governor". The Labor Tribune. Retrieved September 30, 2023.
  28. ^ "2024 Governor Race ratings". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved July 24, 2023.
  29. ^ "Gubernatorial Ratings". Inside Elections. Retrieved July 24, 2023.
  30. ^ "2024 Gubernatorial race ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved July 24, 2023.
  31. ^ "Election Ratings". Elections Daily. July 22, 2023. Retrieved July 24, 2023.

External links

Official campaign websites
From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

2024 Missouri gubernatorial election

←  2020 November 5, 2024 2028 →
 
Party Republican Democratic

Incumbent Governor

Mike Parson
Republican



The 2024 Missouri gubernatorial election will be held on November 5, 2024, to elect the governor of Missouri, concurrently with the 2024 U.S. presidential election, as well as elections to the United States Senate, the United States House of Representatives, and various state and local elections. Incumbent Republican Governor Mike Parson is term-limited and cannot seek re-election to a second full term in office due to having served more than two years of predecessor Eric Greitens' unexpired term following his resignation in June 2018. Primary elections will take place on August 6, 2024. [1]

The former bellwether state has politically trended rightward in recent years and is today a Republican stronghold at both the federal and state levels. The last Democrat to hold the office of governor in Missouri is Jay Nixon who comfortably won re-election in 2012. In 2020, Parson won by 16.41% in the first election in which Missouri elected a Republican for governor by double digits since 1988. Missouri is expected to soundly elect another GOP governor in 2024. [2]

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

Endorsements

Jay Ashcroft
Organizations
Mike Kehoe
Labor unions
Organizations

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size [a]
Margin
of error
Jay
Ashcroft
Bill
Eigel
Mike
Kehoe
Other Undecided
YouGov/Saint Louis University February 14–26, 2024 414 (LV) ± 5.54% 28% 8% 10% 4% [b] 49%
Remington Research (R)/Missouri Scout February 14–15, 2024 706 (LV) ± 3.6% 35% 5% 22% 38%
ARW Strategies (R) February 5–7, 2024 611 (V) ± 3.96% 36% 13% 13% 38%
Remington Research (R)/Missouri Scout January 18–19, 2024 806 (LV) ± 3.3% 34% 4% 20% 42%
Show Me Victories (D) October 26–31, 2023 407 (LV) ± 4.9% 18% 6% 19% 49%
Remington Research (R)/Missouri Scout September 27–28, 2023 714 (LV) ± 3.4% 32% 5% 15% 48%
Remington Research (R)/Missouri Scout July 5–7, 2023 706 (LV) ± 3.4% 34% 4% 14% 38%
Remington Research (R)/Missouri Scout November 15–16, 2022 940 (LV) ± 3.0% 44% 4% 10% 42%
Public Opinion Strategies (R) [A] March 8–10, 2022 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 54% 19% 8% 19%

Results

Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Jay Ashcroft
Republican Bill Eigel
Republican Darren Grant
Republican Jeremy Gundel
Republican Mike Kehoe
Republican Darrell McClanahan
Republican Robert Olson
Republican Amber Thomsen
Republican Chris Wright
Total votes

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

Disqualified

Endorsements

Crystal Quade
Statewide officials
State legislators
  • 40 state legislators [24]
Organizations
Labor unions

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size [c]
Margin
of error
Sheryl
Gladney
Mike
Hamra
Crystal
Quade
Sarah
Unsicker
Undecided
YouGov/Saint Louis University February 14–26, 2024 396 (LV) ± 5.57% 4% 5% 21% 4% 66%
Show Me Victories (D) October 26–31, 2023 407 (RV) ± 4.9% 2% 39% 58%

Results

Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Sheryl Gladney
Democratic Mike Hamra
Democratic Hollis Laster
Democratic Eric Morrison
Democratic Crystal Quade
Total votes

Third-party and independent candidates

Declared

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report [28] Solid R July 21, 2023
Inside Elections [29] Solid R July 14, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball [30] Safe R July 13, 2023
Elections Daily [31] Safe R July 12, 2023

Polling

Hypothetical polling
Mike Kehoe vs. Crystal Quade
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Mike
Kehoe (R)
Crystal
Quade (D)
Other Undecided
Show Me Victories (D) October 26–31, 2023 407 (RV) ± 4.9% 38% 33% 29%
Jay Ashcroft vs. Crystal Quade
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Jay
Ashcroft (R)
Crystal
Quade (D)
Other Undecided
Remington Research Group [B] March 6-8, 2024 713 (LV) ± 3.9% 53% 36% 11%
Show Me Victories (D) October 26–31, 2023 407 (RV) ± 4.9% 39% 34% 27%
Bill Eigel vs. Crystal Quade
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Bill
Eigel (R)
Crystal
Quade (D)
Other Undecided
Show Me Victories (D) October 26–31, 2023 407 (RV) ± 4.9% 33% 34% 33%
Mike Kehoe vs. Mike Hamra
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Mike
Kehoe (R)
Mike
Hamra (D)
Other Undecided
Show Me Victories (D) October 26–31, 2023 407 (RV) ± 4.9% 37% 27% 36%
Jay Ashcroft vs. Mike Hamra
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Jay
Ashcroft (R)
Mike
Hamra (D)
Other Undecided
Show Me Victories (D) October 26–31, 2023 407 (RV) ± 4.9% 39% 29% 32%
Bill Eigel vs. Mike Hamra
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Bill
Eigel (R)
Mike
Hamra (D)
Other Undecided
Show Me Victories (D) October 26–31, 2023 407 (RV) ± 4.9% 33% 30% 37%

Results

2024 Missouri gubernatorial election
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican TBD
Democratic TBD
Libertarian Bill Slantz
Total votes

Notes

  1. ^ Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. ^ Chris Wright with 3%; "Other" with 1%
  3. ^ Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
Partisan clients
  1. ^ This poll was sponsored by Committee for Liberty PAC, which supports Ashcroft
  2. ^ Poll sponsored by Missouri Scout

References

  1. ^ "2024 State Primary Election Dates". www.ncsl.org. Retrieved August 6, 2023.
  2. ^ "270toWin - 2024 Presidential Election Interactive Map". 270toWin.com. Retrieved March 25, 2024.
  3. ^ Shorman, Jonathan (April 6, 2023). "Missouri's top election official Jay Ashcroft launches Republican campaign for governor". The Kansas City Star.
  4. ^ Singer, Jeff (August 17, 2023). "Daily Kos Elections Live Digest: 8/17". Daily Kos. Retrieved August 17, 2023.
  5. ^ a b c d e f g h i "UNOFFICIAL Candidate Filing List". Missouri Secretary of State. Retrieved February 27, 2024.
  6. ^ Hancock, Jason (March 22, 2021). "Mike Kehoe passes on 2022 Senate run to focus on 2024 Missouri governor's race". Missouri Independent. Retrieved September 7, 2021.
  7. ^ Krull, Ryan (February 29, 2024). "Missouri GOP Candidate for Governor Was Only 'Honorary' KKK Member". Riverfront Times. Retrieved February 29, 2024.
  8. ^ "Gubernatorial hopeful Jay Ashcroft lands key endorsement from Missouri Right to Life". www.stltoday.com. July 18, 2023. Retrieved October 22, 2023.
  9. ^ Hays, Brady (April 5, 2022). "Fire Fighter Association of Missouri endorses Kehoe for governor". The Missouri Times. Retrieved April 5, 2022.
  10. ^ "Kehoe backed by Missouri Fraternal Order of Police in gubernatorial bid". The Missouri Times. February 28, 2022. Retrieved April 4, 2022.
  11. ^ Turner, Kelton (May 19, 2022). "Kehoe backed by American Council of Engineering Companies of Missouri". Retrieved May 25, 2023.
  12. ^ a b c "Kehoe Gains 12th Endorsement in Bid for Missouri Governor in '24". Northwest MO Info. November 28, 2022. Retrieved May 25, 2023.
  13. ^ a b c Brady, Hays (March 22, 2022). "Missouri Agribusiness Association endorses Kehoe for governor". The Missouri Times. Retrieved April 4, 2022.
  14. ^ Hays, Brady (June 14, 2022). "Missouri Asphalt Pavement Association endorses Mike Kehoe for Governor". The Missouri Times. Retrieved May 25, 2023.
  15. ^ "Mike Kehoe gains gubernatorial endorsement from Missouri Chamber of Commerce". Springfield News-Leader. Archived from the original on September 13, 2023. Retrieved September 13, 2023.
  16. ^ "Missouri Farm Bureau PAC endorses Mike Kehoe for Governor in 2024".
  17. ^ McFarland, Matthew (August 26, 2022). "Missouri Forest Products Association endorses Kehoe for 2024 Governor race". The Missouri Times. Retrieved May 25, 2023.
  18. ^ Hays, Brady (May 23, 2022). "Missouri Limestone Producers Association endorses Mike Kehoe for governor". The Missouri Times. Retrieved May 25, 2023.
  19. ^ "SITE Improvement Association Endorses Mike Kehoe for Missouri Governor In 2024". St. Louis Construction News & Review. March 1, 2023. Retrieved May 25, 2023.
  20. ^ Keller, Rudi (October 27, 2023). "Springfield businessman Mike Hamra joins Democratic race for Missouri governor". Missouri Independent. Retrieved October 27, 2023.
  21. ^ Sellem, Lucas (July 9, 2023). "Rep. Crystal Quade announces run for MO governor". KMOV. Retrieved July 9, 2023.
  22. ^ Ballentine, Summer (February 27, 2024). "Exiled Missouri lawmaker blocked from running for governor as a Democrat". The Associated Press. Retrieved February 29, 2024.
  23. ^ a b c "Crystal Quade gains endorsement from Planned Parenthood in 2024 gubernatorial bid". Springfield News-Leader. Retrieved December 18, 2023.
  24. ^ Sundrup, Jack (October 11, 2023). "Missouri Democrat Crystal Quade could face intraparty competition in bid for governor". St. Louis Post-Dispatch. Retrieved October 12, 2023.
  25. ^ "Endorsed Candidates". National Women's Political Caucus. Retrieved September 29, 2023.
  26. ^ "2024 Missouri Sierra Club Election Endorsements | Sierra Club". www.sierraclub.org. Retrieved August 25, 2023.
  27. ^ Alpert, Lynn (September 25, 2023). "Missouri AFL-CIO endorses Crystal Quade for governor". The Labor Tribune. Retrieved September 30, 2023.
  28. ^ "2024 Governor Race ratings". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved July 24, 2023.
  29. ^ "Gubernatorial Ratings". Inside Elections. Retrieved July 24, 2023.
  30. ^ "2024 Gubernatorial race ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved July 24, 2023.
  31. ^ "Election Ratings". Elections Daily. July 22, 2023. Retrieved July 24, 2023.

External links

Official campaign websites

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