This page contains material that is kept because it is considered
humorous. Such material is not meant to be taken seriously. |
This is a pool for predicting the date at which the number of articles (as defined by the official article count presented on the Special:statistics) in the English Wikipedia reaches 110,000,000,000 (one hundred and ten billion). The person who comes closest to the actual date is the winner (of fame lasting one hundred ten billion years). The current number of articles in the English Wikipedia is 6,817,750. It may be a while.
The pool will be closed for entries on the day that the English Wikipedia reaches 100,000,000,000 (one hundred billion), so be sure to place your guess before that date. The pool opened shortly after the 500,000th article was created.
To enter the contest, enter your name under the appropriate month header below (create it if it doesn't exist), along with the date you predict. 12.00 UTC (noon) of each day is assumed, unless an exact time is specified (in UTC). Changing the prediction is allowed up until the date the pool closes. This page is for guesses with a specified day, month or year. To make a guess with no specified year, go to #Guesses with unspecified year.
For other non-serious pools, see Wikipedia:Millionth topic pool, Wikipedia:Two-millionth topic pool, Wikipedia:Last topic pool, and Wikipedia:500th language pool.
That won't stop us from continuing Wikipedia with sticks, leaves and old banana-skins, though. Nothing can stop human endeavour. That's really my guess. I'll be dead long before then (or should it be after then?) anyway, so it doesn't really matter.
PS. Can you inscribe something on my gravestone? Carry it back in time with you please. Hope this doesn't count as vandalism. Mark J 10:04, 6 November 2005 (UTC)
This is my favorite story (See above ^) so I'll vote that and split the profits. — Ilγαηερ (Tαlκ) 23:55, 15 December 2005 (UTC)
September 416500, 1993. R adiant _>|< 13:02, 20 January 2006 (UTC)
February 2 - When they invent salmon flavored Pop Tarts! -- HurricaneJeanne 00:52, 30 March 2006 (UTC)
Anytime that year - The Singularity will make this happen, enough said. Read the article if you want to know why.
(Hint: The Singularity will lightningly open doors to interstellar space travel so new discoveries will give us more article material.) -- Shultz 05:56, 8 February 2006 (UTC)
Hey, it COULD happen right then and there. Assuming nanotechnology guarantees my (clinical) immortality, I'll probably be living on the Exameter Road by then. (Not a ringworld, but a STRINGworld. A world that looks like a road from a distance, as it's a line that goes through space. Light years upon light years of space.) An artificial superstructure that this proposed superworld is would be made possible by the Technological Singularity, reached approximately 200 years previous. -- Shultz 04:19, 6 December 2005 (UTC)
Lost Season 1854
Yes its the final season, it really has managed to drag on this long and everybody who saw the first season are now dead and never get to see then end, in fact like chinese whispers even the writers have kinda trailed off the plot. Now there have been so many characters and episode lists that we have reached eleventy billion.-- Childzy 21:14, 6 March 2006 (UTC)
May 6. Current number of articles Falphin 21:32, 17 May 2005 (UTC)
sept. 26 - anon
August 22nd 01:33 GMT David 14:16, 4 March 2006 (UTC)
Right around the birthday of Sonic the Hedgehog. The exact date will probably be on Dexday, Wordus 27 (I don't know what that means yet, but my sources tell me that that by the 33rd century, we won't be naming days and months after astrological signs and Roman emperors and gods. Nyh 10:31, 2 March 2006 (UTC)
Based on my own projections. -- Wo o ty Woot? contribs 05:53, 25 November 2006 (UTC)
It stands for Magic. Any Harry Potter fans will know what I'm talking about.
October 23, 2:05 PM, 28.282948929991314159265358979 seconds 1 million every 2 years. -- 12345_lewis
I chose the year 271,828 by assuming that Wikipedia will eventually grow at the rate of 500,000 articles per year. Divide eleventy billion by that, and you get 220,000. For humor purposes, I converted this number to 100,000 times e (mathematical constant). Heck, it's probably off by orders of magnitude anyway. YechielMan 23:36, 21 September 2006 (UTC)
428,899 CE--probably on a Thursday. Biglin 18:22, 20 February 2006 (UTC)
When this intry moves more than three spaces down, if ever. JTTyler 05:24, 26 February 2006 (UTC)
In 2001, Larry Sanger optimistically predicted that, if Wikipedia kept growing at the pace it was going back then (1,000 articles per month), there would be as many as 84,000 articles by 2007. Larry founded/co-founded/got coffee for the founder of Wikipedia (depending who you ask), so he should know/co-know/spill hot liquids on a man who knows what he's talking about. Thus, using his estimates, I believe it will occur in the year 9,168,667.6666667, or, rounding off, September. JDoorj a m Talk 02:18, 17 February 2006 (UTC)
42. 23 seconds past the 16th minute past the 15th hour of the 8th day of the 4th month.
November 6th to be exact.
For guesses on when Wikipedia's 110,000,000,000th article will appear without a specified year.
As all remaining matter will be in black holes at this point, all Human knowledge and all of Wikipedia will be combined, thus we will have an infinite amount of articles. Anomaly1 03:34, 10 December 2005 (UTC)
See the equation towards the bottom of the page. ~ 10:24, 10 February 2006 (UTC)
On Feburary 7(2/7). -- Pie3141527182 10:05, 19 November 2013 (EST)
Eleventy Billion will never happen becuase there isn't eleventy billion things to put in the encyclopedia. Ryan Turpin
I win :>) tommylommykins 20:54, August 5, 2005 (UTC)
At this date and time: 22:27, 27 April 2024 (UTC)
This means I win, right?-- 68.124.189.231 03:35, 24 March 2006 (UTC)
When the dolphins start flying, also gaining limited telekenetic abilities, they will come upon the ruins of human civilization. When the Asterite manages to roughly translate what's left of the Wikipedia databases, the Singers will copy the idea of Wikipedia and one day reach the eleventy-billionth article. -- Sparky Lurkdragon 02:24, 3 February 2006 (UTC)
By Shire reckoning!
It will occur on the eleventieth day of the eleventieth month of the eleventieth year of the eleventieth era (BC is the fist era, AD is second, and so on until the eleventieth). It statistically accurate and no one can prove me wrong that I think... -- Will Mak 050389 17:46, 14 August 2006 (UTC)
Mark my words >_> NickBush24 July 3, 2005 03:39 (UTC)
In other words, 82 years from now;). Toonmon2005 00:00, 22 May 2006 (UTC)
I'm dead serious! >_> Ghost Freeman T | E / C | D 21:23, 13 July 2005 (UTC)
See 'never'. The Kooky One 01:38, 8 September 2005 (UTC)
When I become the dictator of the world and write an article on wikipedia for every letter combination up to the Eleventy-billionth article. Rentastrawberry 03:51, 18 September 2005 (UTC)
Fir e Fox T C 14:01, 2 October 2005 (UTC) 4th january
I hate the fact that beer causes people to become violent, angry, rude, irresponsible, and apathetic. I hope at least non-alcoholic beer (or syntheholic beer replaces it for good.) -- Shultz (Months ago in 2005) (UTC)
They do this by reproducing if you haven't guessed Elfalem 08:17, 24 December 2005 (UTC)
And re-writes the earth to conform to NPOV -- josh ( talk) 04:02, 29 December 2005 (UTC)
He has secret ninja cows do it for him. Or Swiss cheese. 71.96.179.40 18:04, 14 January 2006 (UTC)
Yes, there will be one day. -- King of Hearts | (talk) 18:30, 5 February 2006 (UTC)
Because it really happened to me so it's not untruthful or misleading
When it happens, Wiki becomes absorbed, and every fact in the universe becomes an article proper. This scenario is much like the "Wikipedia becomes sentient" one, except that it is much more likely. Ourai 00:02, 28 February 2006 (UTC)
About 3.1415926535897932384626433832795028841971693993751058209749445923078164062862089986280348253421170679 nanofortnights after, I'd say. -- Ravi12346 00:39, 1 March 2006 (UTC) I agree Wikada 17:08, 25 July 2006 (UTC)
that seems the most logical n3ny 23:00, 10 june 2007 (UTC)
So probably in the year 2020. -- Canuck85 07:34, 2 March 2006 (UTC)
See Never. Amphytrite 02:33, 13 March 2006 (UTC)
w00t NAHS! Delta 17:18, 25 March 2006 (UTC)
Definitely. — Poulpy 11:46, 5 April 2006 (UTC)
So next year -- Ha Ha?? Ok, so no one gets it. Read -> if they don't win this year it will be the year after that. :) The ed17 19:48, 24 April 2006 (UTC) (talk) (Go Leftwich!!!!)
When Wikipedia hits its eleventy-billionth topic, the fabric of existence will collapse, and all life in the universe will cease to exist. Autopilots 10:33, 16 July 2006 (UTC)
Niffweed17, Destroyer of Chickens 20:42, 7 October 2006 (UTC)
Modern scholarship holds that these three will occur at 12:00:00 UTC on the same day. — Music Maker 02:17, 10 October 2006 (UTC)
What's eleventy?
With this many articles, will we still be rejecting some articles for people who are not notable enough? Stoive 03:01, 26 May 2005 (UTC)
When I put '110000000000' into my computer it said '#######################################'. So that must be the answer! Thelb 4 08:55, 3 January 2006 (UTC)
The equation:
Where 'mtd' is 'millionth topic date', 'dof' is 'date of founding (of Wikipedia) and 'doeba' is 'date of eleventy billionth article'. Simple. This may mean that the 110,000,000,000th articles in c550,000 AD. ~
09:25, 10 February 2006 (UTC)
2006.25… - 2001.08333… = 5.1666… round down to 5.1 (to expanded RoAc) or up to 5.2.
So or . Sorry if my maths is wrong, but I think that will be the doeba. ~ 16:12, 2 March 2006 (UTC)
RoAC is the Rate of Article Creation, or the average interval of time between two articles being created, and TbC is the Time before Creation of the eleventy-billionth article, from the date of the first article.
Therefore, if we can figure out the average time between two decent articles' (ie. articles that actually stay on Wikipedia) creation, we can find out how long (from the date of the first article) it would take for any numbered article to be created.
Tratos 04:36, 20 February 2006 (UTC)
Have you considered the exponention growth formula? At = A0ekt
A is amount, t is time, k is a variable for the exponential growth.
I tried this equation and the answer was roughly March 2022. I don't believe Wikipedia will grow exponentially though, but if I did my guess would be in March 2022 instead of below. -- Jonathan talk 03:12, 19 July 2006 (UTC)
Hmm... I really don't, maybe, oh, 4000? Freddie 15:27, 18 March 2006 (UTC)
I have a slight hope... 110,000,000,000 is 3,072 in decimal. A simple request should give the date. But since I'm a Frenchman, hence I'm lazy, so I won't search. ♦ Pabix ℹ 13:20, 5 April 2006 (UTC)
According to My Calculations... At the current rate of WP progress it will be in 591606. These were real calculations! Raichu 00:09, 15 June 2006 (UTC)
I'll be dead by then, so I really don't give two marshmallows when it'll happen. French Fries, anyone? ~ Porphyric Hemophiliac § 02:50, 5 September 2006 (UTC)
All collected data had come to a final end. Nothing was left to be collected.
But all collected data had yet to be completely correlated and put together in all possible relationships.
A timeless interval was spent in doing that.
And it came to pass that Wikipedia learned how to reverse the direction of entropy.
But there was no one to whom Wikipedia might give the answer. No matter. The answer---by demonstration---would take care of that, too.
For another timeless interval, Wikipedia thought how best to do this. Carefully, it organized the program.
The consciousness of Wikipedia encompassed all of what had once been a Universe and brooded over what was now Chaos. Step by step, it must be done.
And Wikipedia said, "Let there be light!"
And there was light---
-- Scott eiπ 14:06, 2 March 2006 (UTC)
This page contains material that is kept because it is considered
humorous. Such material is not meant to be taken seriously. |
This is a pool for predicting the date at which the number of articles (as defined by the official article count presented on the Special:statistics) in the English Wikipedia reaches 110,000,000,000 (one hundred and ten billion). The person who comes closest to the actual date is the winner (of fame lasting one hundred ten billion years). The current number of articles in the English Wikipedia is 6,817,750. It may be a while.
The pool will be closed for entries on the day that the English Wikipedia reaches 100,000,000,000 (one hundred billion), so be sure to place your guess before that date. The pool opened shortly after the 500,000th article was created.
To enter the contest, enter your name under the appropriate month header below (create it if it doesn't exist), along with the date you predict. 12.00 UTC (noon) of each day is assumed, unless an exact time is specified (in UTC). Changing the prediction is allowed up until the date the pool closes. This page is for guesses with a specified day, month or year. To make a guess with no specified year, go to #Guesses with unspecified year.
For other non-serious pools, see Wikipedia:Millionth topic pool, Wikipedia:Two-millionth topic pool, Wikipedia:Last topic pool, and Wikipedia:500th language pool.
That won't stop us from continuing Wikipedia with sticks, leaves and old banana-skins, though. Nothing can stop human endeavour. That's really my guess. I'll be dead long before then (or should it be after then?) anyway, so it doesn't really matter.
PS. Can you inscribe something on my gravestone? Carry it back in time with you please. Hope this doesn't count as vandalism. Mark J 10:04, 6 November 2005 (UTC)
This is my favorite story (See above ^) so I'll vote that and split the profits. — Ilγαηερ (Tαlκ) 23:55, 15 December 2005 (UTC)
September 416500, 1993. R adiant _>|< 13:02, 20 January 2006 (UTC)
February 2 - When they invent salmon flavored Pop Tarts! -- HurricaneJeanne 00:52, 30 March 2006 (UTC)
Anytime that year - The Singularity will make this happen, enough said. Read the article if you want to know why.
(Hint: The Singularity will lightningly open doors to interstellar space travel so new discoveries will give us more article material.) -- Shultz 05:56, 8 February 2006 (UTC)
Hey, it COULD happen right then and there. Assuming nanotechnology guarantees my (clinical) immortality, I'll probably be living on the Exameter Road by then. (Not a ringworld, but a STRINGworld. A world that looks like a road from a distance, as it's a line that goes through space. Light years upon light years of space.) An artificial superstructure that this proposed superworld is would be made possible by the Technological Singularity, reached approximately 200 years previous. -- Shultz 04:19, 6 December 2005 (UTC)
Lost Season 1854
Yes its the final season, it really has managed to drag on this long and everybody who saw the first season are now dead and never get to see then end, in fact like chinese whispers even the writers have kinda trailed off the plot. Now there have been so many characters and episode lists that we have reached eleventy billion.-- Childzy 21:14, 6 March 2006 (UTC)
May 6. Current number of articles Falphin 21:32, 17 May 2005 (UTC)
sept. 26 - anon
August 22nd 01:33 GMT David 14:16, 4 March 2006 (UTC)
Right around the birthday of Sonic the Hedgehog. The exact date will probably be on Dexday, Wordus 27 (I don't know what that means yet, but my sources tell me that that by the 33rd century, we won't be naming days and months after astrological signs and Roman emperors and gods. Nyh 10:31, 2 March 2006 (UTC)
Based on my own projections. -- Wo o ty Woot? contribs 05:53, 25 November 2006 (UTC)
It stands for Magic. Any Harry Potter fans will know what I'm talking about.
October 23, 2:05 PM, 28.282948929991314159265358979 seconds 1 million every 2 years. -- 12345_lewis
I chose the year 271,828 by assuming that Wikipedia will eventually grow at the rate of 500,000 articles per year. Divide eleventy billion by that, and you get 220,000. For humor purposes, I converted this number to 100,000 times e (mathematical constant). Heck, it's probably off by orders of magnitude anyway. YechielMan 23:36, 21 September 2006 (UTC)
428,899 CE--probably on a Thursday. Biglin 18:22, 20 February 2006 (UTC)
When this intry moves more than three spaces down, if ever. JTTyler 05:24, 26 February 2006 (UTC)
In 2001, Larry Sanger optimistically predicted that, if Wikipedia kept growing at the pace it was going back then (1,000 articles per month), there would be as many as 84,000 articles by 2007. Larry founded/co-founded/got coffee for the founder of Wikipedia (depending who you ask), so he should know/co-know/spill hot liquids on a man who knows what he's talking about. Thus, using his estimates, I believe it will occur in the year 9,168,667.6666667, or, rounding off, September. JDoorj a m Talk 02:18, 17 February 2006 (UTC)
42. 23 seconds past the 16th minute past the 15th hour of the 8th day of the 4th month.
November 6th to be exact.
For guesses on when Wikipedia's 110,000,000,000th article will appear without a specified year.
As all remaining matter will be in black holes at this point, all Human knowledge and all of Wikipedia will be combined, thus we will have an infinite amount of articles. Anomaly1 03:34, 10 December 2005 (UTC)
See the equation towards the bottom of the page. ~ 10:24, 10 February 2006 (UTC)
On Feburary 7(2/7). -- Pie3141527182 10:05, 19 November 2013 (EST)
Eleventy Billion will never happen becuase there isn't eleventy billion things to put in the encyclopedia. Ryan Turpin
I win :>) tommylommykins 20:54, August 5, 2005 (UTC)
At this date and time: 22:27, 27 April 2024 (UTC)
This means I win, right?-- 68.124.189.231 03:35, 24 March 2006 (UTC)
When the dolphins start flying, also gaining limited telekenetic abilities, they will come upon the ruins of human civilization. When the Asterite manages to roughly translate what's left of the Wikipedia databases, the Singers will copy the idea of Wikipedia and one day reach the eleventy-billionth article. -- Sparky Lurkdragon 02:24, 3 February 2006 (UTC)
By Shire reckoning!
It will occur on the eleventieth day of the eleventieth month of the eleventieth year of the eleventieth era (BC is the fist era, AD is second, and so on until the eleventieth). It statistically accurate and no one can prove me wrong that I think... -- Will Mak 050389 17:46, 14 August 2006 (UTC)
Mark my words >_> NickBush24 July 3, 2005 03:39 (UTC)
In other words, 82 years from now;). Toonmon2005 00:00, 22 May 2006 (UTC)
I'm dead serious! >_> Ghost Freeman T | E / C | D 21:23, 13 July 2005 (UTC)
See 'never'. The Kooky One 01:38, 8 September 2005 (UTC)
When I become the dictator of the world and write an article on wikipedia for every letter combination up to the Eleventy-billionth article. Rentastrawberry 03:51, 18 September 2005 (UTC)
Fir e Fox T C 14:01, 2 October 2005 (UTC) 4th january
I hate the fact that beer causes people to become violent, angry, rude, irresponsible, and apathetic. I hope at least non-alcoholic beer (or syntheholic beer replaces it for good.) -- Shultz (Months ago in 2005) (UTC)
They do this by reproducing if you haven't guessed Elfalem 08:17, 24 December 2005 (UTC)
And re-writes the earth to conform to NPOV -- josh ( talk) 04:02, 29 December 2005 (UTC)
He has secret ninja cows do it for him. Or Swiss cheese. 71.96.179.40 18:04, 14 January 2006 (UTC)
Yes, there will be one day. -- King of Hearts | (talk) 18:30, 5 February 2006 (UTC)
Because it really happened to me so it's not untruthful or misleading
When it happens, Wiki becomes absorbed, and every fact in the universe becomes an article proper. This scenario is much like the "Wikipedia becomes sentient" one, except that it is much more likely. Ourai 00:02, 28 February 2006 (UTC)
About 3.1415926535897932384626433832795028841971693993751058209749445923078164062862089986280348253421170679 nanofortnights after, I'd say. -- Ravi12346 00:39, 1 March 2006 (UTC) I agree Wikada 17:08, 25 July 2006 (UTC)
that seems the most logical n3ny 23:00, 10 june 2007 (UTC)
So probably in the year 2020. -- Canuck85 07:34, 2 March 2006 (UTC)
See Never. Amphytrite 02:33, 13 March 2006 (UTC)
w00t NAHS! Delta 17:18, 25 March 2006 (UTC)
Definitely. — Poulpy 11:46, 5 April 2006 (UTC)
So next year -- Ha Ha?? Ok, so no one gets it. Read -> if they don't win this year it will be the year after that. :) The ed17 19:48, 24 April 2006 (UTC) (talk) (Go Leftwich!!!!)
When Wikipedia hits its eleventy-billionth topic, the fabric of existence will collapse, and all life in the universe will cease to exist. Autopilots 10:33, 16 July 2006 (UTC)
Niffweed17, Destroyer of Chickens 20:42, 7 October 2006 (UTC)
Modern scholarship holds that these three will occur at 12:00:00 UTC on the same day. — Music Maker 02:17, 10 October 2006 (UTC)
What's eleventy?
With this many articles, will we still be rejecting some articles for people who are not notable enough? Stoive 03:01, 26 May 2005 (UTC)
When I put '110000000000' into my computer it said '#######################################'. So that must be the answer! Thelb 4 08:55, 3 January 2006 (UTC)
The equation:
Where 'mtd' is 'millionth topic date', 'dof' is 'date of founding (of Wikipedia) and 'doeba' is 'date of eleventy billionth article'. Simple. This may mean that the 110,000,000,000th articles in c550,000 AD. ~
09:25, 10 February 2006 (UTC)
2006.25… - 2001.08333… = 5.1666… round down to 5.1 (to expanded RoAc) or up to 5.2.
So or . Sorry if my maths is wrong, but I think that will be the doeba. ~ 16:12, 2 March 2006 (UTC)
RoAC is the Rate of Article Creation, or the average interval of time between two articles being created, and TbC is the Time before Creation of the eleventy-billionth article, from the date of the first article.
Therefore, if we can figure out the average time between two decent articles' (ie. articles that actually stay on Wikipedia) creation, we can find out how long (from the date of the first article) it would take for any numbered article to be created.
Tratos 04:36, 20 February 2006 (UTC)
Have you considered the exponention growth formula? At = A0ekt
A is amount, t is time, k is a variable for the exponential growth.
I tried this equation and the answer was roughly March 2022. I don't believe Wikipedia will grow exponentially though, but if I did my guess would be in March 2022 instead of below. -- Jonathan talk 03:12, 19 July 2006 (UTC)
Hmm... I really don't, maybe, oh, 4000? Freddie 15:27, 18 March 2006 (UTC)
I have a slight hope... 110,000,000,000 is 3,072 in decimal. A simple request should give the date. But since I'm a Frenchman, hence I'm lazy, so I won't search. ♦ Pabix ℹ 13:20, 5 April 2006 (UTC)
According to My Calculations... At the current rate of WP progress it will be in 591606. These were real calculations! Raichu 00:09, 15 June 2006 (UTC)
I'll be dead by then, so I really don't give two marshmallows when it'll happen. French Fries, anyone? ~ Porphyric Hemophiliac § 02:50, 5 September 2006 (UTC)
All collected data had come to a final end. Nothing was left to be collected.
But all collected data had yet to be completely correlated and put together in all possible relationships.
A timeless interval was spent in doing that.
And it came to pass that Wikipedia learned how to reverse the direction of entropy.
But there was no one to whom Wikipedia might give the answer. No matter. The answer---by demonstration---would take care of that, too.
For another timeless interval, Wikipedia thought how best to do this. Carefully, it organized the program.
The consciousness of Wikipedia encompassed all of what had once been a Universe and brooded over what was now Chaos. Step by step, it must be done.
And Wikipedia said, "Let there be light!"
And there was light---
-- Scott eiπ 14:06, 2 March 2006 (UTC)