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Turnout | 49.7% | ||||||||||||||||
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Wicker: 40-50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% 90-100% Baria: 40-50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% 90% | |||||||||||||||||
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Elections in Mississippi |
---|
The 2018 United States Senate election in Mississippi took place on November 6, 2018, in order to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Mississippi. Incumbent Republican Roger Wicker was re-elected to a second full term, defeating his Democratic challenger, David Baria.
The candidate filing deadline was March 1, 2018, and the primary election was held on June 5, 2018, with a runoff on June 26 if a party's primary fails to produce a majority winner. [1] The race took place on the same day as the nonpartisan jungle primary for the other U.S. Senate seat in Mississippi, which was vacated by Thad Cochran in the spring of 2018.
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Roger Wicker |
Chris McDaniel |
Tate Reeves |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Triumph Campaigns | April 10–11, 2018 | 446 | – | 66% | 16% | – | 18% |
JMC Analytics | February 15–17, 2018 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 38% | – | 15% | 47% |
38% | 20% | – | 42% | ||||
Mason-Dixon | December 13–15, 2017 | 400 | ± 5.0% | 49% | 33% | – | 18% |
Public Opinion Strategies (R-Wicker) | April 22–25, 2017 | 500 | ± 4.2% | 55% | 30% | – | 14% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Roger Wicker (incumbent) | 130,118 | 82.79% | |
Republican | Richard Boyanton | 27,052 | 17.21% | |
Total votes | 157,170 | 100% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
David Baria |
Jensen Bohren |
Omeria Scott |
Howard Sherman |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Triumph Campaigns | April 10–11, 2018 | 446 | 7% | 4% | 9% | 2% | 79% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
David Baria |
Chuck Espy |
Jim Hood |
Bennie Thompson |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Triumph Campaigns | January 29, 2018 | 2,145 | ± 1.8% | – | – | 33% | 47% | 20% |
10% | 34% | – | – | 56% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Howard Sherman | 27,957 | 31.79% | |
Democratic | David Baria | 27,244 | 30.98% | |
Democratic | Omeria Scott | 21,278 | 24.20% | |
Democratic | Victor G. Maurice Jr. | 4,361 | 4.96% | |
Democratic | Jerone Garland | 4,266 | 4.85% | |
Democratic | Jensen Bohren | 2,825 | 3.21% | |
Total votes | 87,931 | 100% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | David Baria | 44,156 | 58.64% | |
Democratic | Howard Sherman | 31,149 | 41.36% | |
Total votes | 75,305 | 100% |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report [40] | Safe R | October 26, 2018 |
Inside Elections [41] | Safe R | November 1, 2018 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [42] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
Fox News [43] | Likely R | July 9, 2018 |
CNN [44] | Safe R | July 12, 2018 |
RealClearPolitics [45] | Safe R | June 2018 |
Campaign finance reports as of June 30, 2018 | |||
---|---|---|---|
Candidate | Total receipts | Total disbursements | Cash on hand |
Roger Wicker (R) | $5,349,028 | $3,831,418 | $3,138,044 |
David Baria (D) | $532,629 | $528,325 | $72,922 |
Source: Federal Election Commission [46] |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Roger Wicker (R) |
David Baria (D) |
Danny Bedwell (L) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Change Research | November 2–4, 2018 | 1,003 | – | 48% | 40% | 5% | 3% [47] | – |
Marist College | October 13–18, 2018 | 511 LV | ± 6.1% | 57% | 31% | 2% | 2% [48] | 9% |
60% | 32% | – | 2% | 7% | ||||
856 RV | ± 4.7% | 54% | 30% | 3% | 2% [48] | 10% | ||
57% | 32% | – | 2% | 9% | ||||
SurveyMonkey | September 9–24, 2018 | 985 | ± 4.3% | 43% | 29% | – | – | 27% |
Triumph Campaigns | July 30–31, 2018 | 2,100 | ± 3.5% | 53% | 32% | 1% | 2% [49] | 12% |
Triumph Campaigns | April 10–11, 2018 | 1,000 | ± 3.0% | 48% | 31% | – | – | 21% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Roger Wicker (incumbent) | 547,619 | 58.49% | +1.33% | |
Democratic | David Baria | 369,567 | 39.47% | -1.08% | |
Libertarian | Danny Bedwell | 12,981 | 1.39% | N/A | |
Reform | Shawn O'Hara | 6,048 | 0.65% | -0.41% | |
Total votes | 936,215 | 100% | N/A | ||
Republican hold |
If Senator Chris McDaniel chooses to run for U.S. Senate, he will have our support and the support of these state and local leaders, along with many of their grassroots organizations... We are ready to hit the ground running to elect Chris McDaniel.
In 2014, the common folks of Mississippi made the very definite statement that we are not being heard and those in power have no intention of hearing us... One person, Chris McDaniel, had the courage to say enough is enough. We almost got it done and common people all over the country recognized what we nearly accomplished. We support Chris McDaniel's efforts to reestablish governance by the consent of the governed.
Year after year, our Senators and Congressmen rank so low on most conservative scorecards. It's time we elect a Senator who truly represents Mississippi's conservative constituency.
| |||||||||||||||||
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Turnout | 49.7% | ||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| |||||||||||||||||
Wicker: 40-50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% 90-100% Baria: 40-50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% 90% | |||||||||||||||||
|
Elections in Mississippi |
---|
The 2018 United States Senate election in Mississippi took place on November 6, 2018, in order to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Mississippi. Incumbent Republican Roger Wicker was re-elected to a second full term, defeating his Democratic challenger, David Baria.
The candidate filing deadline was March 1, 2018, and the primary election was held on June 5, 2018, with a runoff on June 26 if a party's primary fails to produce a majority winner. [1] The race took place on the same day as the nonpartisan jungle primary for the other U.S. Senate seat in Mississippi, which was vacated by Thad Cochran in the spring of 2018.
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Roger Wicker |
Chris McDaniel |
Tate Reeves |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Triumph Campaigns | April 10–11, 2018 | 446 | – | 66% | 16% | – | 18% |
JMC Analytics | February 15–17, 2018 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 38% | – | 15% | 47% |
38% | 20% | – | 42% | ||||
Mason-Dixon | December 13–15, 2017 | 400 | ± 5.0% | 49% | 33% | – | 18% |
Public Opinion Strategies (R-Wicker) | April 22–25, 2017 | 500 | ± 4.2% | 55% | 30% | – | 14% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Roger Wicker (incumbent) | 130,118 | 82.79% | |
Republican | Richard Boyanton | 27,052 | 17.21% | |
Total votes | 157,170 | 100% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
David Baria |
Jensen Bohren |
Omeria Scott |
Howard Sherman |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Triumph Campaigns | April 10–11, 2018 | 446 | 7% | 4% | 9% | 2% | 79% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
David Baria |
Chuck Espy |
Jim Hood |
Bennie Thompson |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Triumph Campaigns | January 29, 2018 | 2,145 | ± 1.8% | – | – | 33% | 47% | 20% |
10% | 34% | – | – | 56% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Howard Sherman | 27,957 | 31.79% | |
Democratic | David Baria | 27,244 | 30.98% | |
Democratic | Omeria Scott | 21,278 | 24.20% | |
Democratic | Victor G. Maurice Jr. | 4,361 | 4.96% | |
Democratic | Jerone Garland | 4,266 | 4.85% | |
Democratic | Jensen Bohren | 2,825 | 3.21% | |
Total votes | 87,931 | 100% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | David Baria | 44,156 | 58.64% | |
Democratic | Howard Sherman | 31,149 | 41.36% | |
Total votes | 75,305 | 100% |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report [40] | Safe R | October 26, 2018 |
Inside Elections [41] | Safe R | November 1, 2018 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [42] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
Fox News [43] | Likely R | July 9, 2018 |
CNN [44] | Safe R | July 12, 2018 |
RealClearPolitics [45] | Safe R | June 2018 |
Campaign finance reports as of June 30, 2018 | |||
---|---|---|---|
Candidate | Total receipts | Total disbursements | Cash on hand |
Roger Wicker (R) | $5,349,028 | $3,831,418 | $3,138,044 |
David Baria (D) | $532,629 | $528,325 | $72,922 |
Source: Federal Election Commission [46] |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Roger Wicker (R) |
David Baria (D) |
Danny Bedwell (L) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Change Research | November 2–4, 2018 | 1,003 | – | 48% | 40% | 5% | 3% [47] | – |
Marist College | October 13–18, 2018 | 511 LV | ± 6.1% | 57% | 31% | 2% | 2% [48] | 9% |
60% | 32% | – | 2% | 7% | ||||
856 RV | ± 4.7% | 54% | 30% | 3% | 2% [48] | 10% | ||
57% | 32% | – | 2% | 9% | ||||
SurveyMonkey | September 9–24, 2018 | 985 | ± 4.3% | 43% | 29% | – | – | 27% |
Triumph Campaigns | July 30–31, 2018 | 2,100 | ± 3.5% | 53% | 32% | 1% | 2% [49] | 12% |
Triumph Campaigns | April 10–11, 2018 | 1,000 | ± 3.0% | 48% | 31% | – | – | 21% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Roger Wicker (incumbent) | 547,619 | 58.49% | +1.33% | |
Democratic | David Baria | 369,567 | 39.47% | -1.08% | |
Libertarian | Danny Bedwell | 12,981 | 1.39% | N/A | |
Reform | Shawn O'Hara | 6,048 | 0.65% | -0.41% | |
Total votes | 936,215 | 100% | N/A | ||
Republican hold |
If Senator Chris McDaniel chooses to run for U.S. Senate, he will have our support and the support of these state and local leaders, along with many of their grassroots organizations... We are ready to hit the ground running to elect Chris McDaniel.
In 2014, the common folks of Mississippi made the very definite statement that we are not being heard and those in power have no intention of hearing us... One person, Chris McDaniel, had the courage to say enough is enough. We almost got it done and common people all over the country recognized what we nearly accomplished. We support Chris McDaniel's efforts to reestablish governance by the consent of the governed.
Year after year, our Senators and Congressmen rank so low on most conservative scorecards. It's time we elect a Senator who truly represents Mississippi's conservative constituency.