| |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
Stitt: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% ≥90% Edmondson: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% ≥90% Tie No votes | |||||||||||||||||
|
Elections in Oklahoma |
---|
Government |
The 2018 Oklahoma gubernatorial election was held on November 6, 2018. Businessman Kevin Stitt was elected governor, succeeding fellow Republican Mary Fallin, who was term-limited.
Primary elections took place on June 26, 2018, and primary runoff elections followed on August 28. [1] [2] The Democratic Party nominated former Oklahoma attorney general Drew Edmondson. The Republican primary eliminated Lt. Gov. Todd Lamb, resulting in a runoff election between former Oklahoma City mayor Mick Cornett and businessman Kevin Stitt. On August 28, 2018, Stitt won the Republican primary runoff and became the Republican nominee for the office. The Libertarian primary also advanced to a runoff, with Chris Powell, a former chair of the Libertarian Party of Oklahoma, winning the nomination.
The election was notable for three reasons:
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Mick Cornett |
Dan Fisher |
Gary Jones |
Todd Lamb |
Gary Richardson |
Kevin Stitt |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Right Strategy Group (R) | June 6–7, 2018 | 435 | ± 4.5% | 21% | 4% | 2% | 20% | 6% | 20% | – | 28% |
Oklahoma Strategic Solutions (R-Richardson) | May 22–23, 2018 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 13% | 4% | 3% | 20% | 13% | 17% | – | 30% |
Right Strategy Group (R) | May 22–23, 2018 | 409 | ± 5.0% | 20% | 4% | 3% | 20% | 4% | 21% | – | 29% |
SoonerPoll Archived 2021-11-30 at the Wayback Machine | May 15–23, 2018 | 319 | – | 20% | 3% | 4% | 23% | 3% | 14% | 1% | 31% |
Magellan Strategies | April 18–19 and 22, 2018 | 644 | ± 3.9% | 17% | 5% | 5% | 19% | 12% | 19% | – | 23% |
SoonerPoll | March 14–22, 2018 | 294 | – | 22% | 4% | 3% | 21% | 7% | 8% | – | 36% |
Oklahoma Strategic Solutions (R-Richardson) | March 9, 2018 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 15% | 2% | 3% | 14% | 10% | 8% | – | 48% |
SoonerPoll | January 4–9, 2018 | 213 | – | 24% | 4% | 3% | 18% | 9% | 3% | – | 39% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Jim Bridenstine |
Todd Lamb |
Scott Pruitt |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SoonerPoll | September 1–15, 2017 | 403 | ± 4.9% | 19% | 33% | 16% | 32% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Mick Cornett | 132,806 | 29.3 | |
Republican | Kevin Stitt | 110,479 | 24.4 | |
Republican | Todd Lamb | 107,985 | 23.9 | |
Republican | Dan Fisher | 35,818 | 7.9 | |
Republican | Gary Jones | 25,243 | 5.6 | |
Republican | Gary Richardson | 18,185 | 4.0 | |
Republican | Blake Stephens | 12,211 | 2.7 | |
Republican | Christopher Barnett | 5,240 | 1.2 | |
Republican | Barry Gowdy | 2,347 | 0.5 | |
Republican | Eric Foutch | 2,292 | 0.5 | |
Total votes | 452,606 | 100.0 |
Candidate | Total raised |
Total spent |
Total cash-on-hand |
---|---|---|---|
Kevin Stitt | $6,542,863.91 | $6,018,662.13 | $368,557.72 |
Mick Cornett | $3,242,795.74 | $2,826,305.70 | $336,691.50 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Mick Cornett |
Kevin Stitt |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Remington (R) | August 1–2, 2018 | 1,757 | ± 2.3% | 37% | 47% | 16% |
Right Strategy Group (R) | August 1–2, 2018 | 385 | ± 5.0% | 33% | 41% | 26% |
SoonerPoll | July 18–20, 2018 | 483 | ± 4.5% | 37% | 37% | 25% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Kevin Stitt | 164,892 | 54.56 | |
Republican | Mick Cornett | 137,316 | 45.44 | |
Total votes | 302,208 | 100.0 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Drew Edmondson |
Connie Johnson |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Right Strategy Group (R) | June 6–7, 2018 | – | – | 45% | 11% | 45% |
SoonerPoll Archived 2021-11-30 at the Wayback Machine | May 15–23, 2018 | 297 | ± 5.7% | 44% | 14% | 43% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Norman Brown |
Drew Edmondson |
Connie Johnson |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SoonerPoll | March 14–22, 2018 | 264 | – | 4% | 34% | 13% | 50% |
SoonerPoll | January 4–9, 2018 | 162 | – | 4% | 40% | 21% | 35% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Drew Edmondson | 242,764 | 61.4 | |
Democratic | Connie Johnson | 152,730 | 38.6 | |
Total votes | 395,494 | 100.0 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Libertarian | Chris Powell | 1,740 | 48.9 | |
Libertarian | Rex L. Lawhorn | 1,154 | 32.4 | |
Libertarian | Joe Exotic | 664 | 18.7 | |
Total votes | 3,558 | 100% |
Candidate | Total raised |
Total spent |
Total cash-on-hand |
---|---|---|---|
Chris Powell | $10,142.88 | $6,991.02 | $3,017.51 |
Rex L. Lawhorn | $4,575.00 | $5,286.87 | ($736.87) |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Libertarian | Chris Powell | 547 | 59.1 | |
Libertarian | Rex L. Lawhorn | 379 | 40.9 | |
Total votes | 926 | 100.0 |
Oklahoma determines ballot order by a random drawing which took place for this election cycle on July 12, resulting in the Libertarian Party being listed first, Republicans second, and Democrats third. [87]
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report [88] | Tossup | October 26, 2018 |
The Washington Post [89] | Lean R | November 5, 2018 |
FiveThirtyEight [90] | Likely R | November 5, 2018 |
Rothenberg Political Report [91] | Lean R | November 1, 2018 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [92] | Lean R | November 5, 2018 |
RealClearPolitics [93] | Lean R | November 4, 2018 |
Daily Kos [94] | Lean R | November 5, 2018 |
Fox News [95] [a] | Likely R | November 5, 2018 |
Politico [96] | Lean R | November 5, 2018 |
Governing [97] | Lean R | November 5, 2018 |
Graphs are unavailable due to technical issues. There is more info on
Phabricator and on
MediaWiki.org. |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Kevin Stitt (R) |
Drew Edmondson (D) |
Chris Powell (L) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SoonerPoll | October 31 – November 3, 2018 | 338 | ± 5.3% | 47% | 44% | 3% | 6% |
SoonerPoll | October 23–25, 2018 | 447 | ± 4.6% | 46% | 42% | 4% | 8% |
Magellan Strategies (R) | October 22–23, 2018 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 51% | 44% | 1% | 4% |
Cole Hargrave Snodgrass (R) | September 25–29, 2018 | 500 | ± 4.3% | 46% | 40% | 4% | – |
Right Strategy Group (R) | September 25–26, 2018 | 1,058 | ± 3.0% | 47% | 43% | 2% | 8% |
SoonerPoll | September 5–10, 2018 | 407 | ± 4.9% | 47% | 44% | 3% | 6% |
Right Strategy Group (R) | August 1–2, 2018 | 737 | ± 4.0% | 41% | 42% | – | 17% |
SoonerPoll | July 18–20, 2018 | 404 | ± 4.9% | 39% | 40% | – | 21% |
SoonerPoll Archived 2018-11-10 at the Wayback Machine | May 15–23, 2018 | 622 | ± 3.9% | 25% | 32% | – | 43% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Mick Cornett (R) |
Drew Edmondson (D) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Right Strategy Group (R) | August 1–2, 2018 | 737 | ± 4.0% | 39% | 39% | 21% |
SoonerPoll | July 18–20, 2018 | 404 | ± 4.9% | 43% | 35% | 23% |
SoonerPoll Archived 2018-11-10 at the Wayback Machine | May 15–23, 2018 | 622 | ± 3.9% | 33% | 27% | 40% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Todd Lamb (R) |
Drew Edmondson (D) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SoonerPoll Archived 2018-11-10 at the Wayback Machine | May 15–23, 2018 | 622 | ± 3.9% | 33% | 28% | 39% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Kevin Stitt | 644,579 | 54.33% | -1.47% | |
Democratic | Drew Edmondson | 500,973 | 42.23% | +1.22% | |
Libertarian | Chris Powell | 40,833 | 3.44% | N/A | |
Total votes | 1,186,385 | 100.00% | N/A | ||
Republican hold |
Stitt won 73 counties, while Edmondson won four. Stitt won 56 counties with at least 60% of the popular vote, 14 counties with at least 70%, and three counties – Beaver, Cimarron, and Ellis – with upwards of 80%. Stitt had the largest margin of victory in Cimarron with 73.09% more votes than Edmondson's 12.27%, the latter's lowest county performance in the election. The largest county per vote count won by Stitt was Tulsa County, home of Tulsa. Oklahoma County, of which Oklahoma City is county seat, was the only county where Stitt failed to acquire three out of every seven votes. [98]
Edmondson won Muskogee by a single vote, and had an 11.84% margin of victory – his only margin of victory above 10% – in Oklahoma County. Edmondson won his four counties with typically narrower margins than that of Stitt, having missed 50% of the popular vote in Muskogee. [98] Powell never came close to winning any counties, but won his highest percentage of votes in Washita County, with 4.97% [98]
County | Stitt | Votes | Edmondson | Votes | Powell | Votes | Total |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Adair | 61.61% | 3,187 | 33.73% | 1,745 | 4.66% | 241 | 5,173 |
Alfalfa | 74.01% | 1,333 | 21.71% | 391 | 4.28% | 77 | 1,801 |
Atoka | 69.05% | 2,789 | 28.6% | 1,155 | 2.35% | 95 | 4,039 |
Beaver | 80.82% | 1,454 | 15.12% | 272 | 4.06% | 73 | 1,799 |
Beckham | 71.18% | 4,061 | 24.47% | 1,396 | 4.35% | 248 | 5,705 |
Blaine | 65.73% | 1,941 | 30.1% | 889 | 4.17% | 123 | 2,953 |
Bryan | 64.33% | 7,301 | 33.01% | 3,746 | 2.66% | 302 | 11,349 |
Caddo | 54.97% | 4,047 | 41.33% | 3,043 | 3.69% | 272 | 7,362 |
Canadian | 59.65% | 27,410 | 36.44% | 16,744 | 3.91% | 1,797 | 45,951 |
Carter | 64.91% | 9,090 | 31.74% | 4,445 | 3.35% | 469 | 14,004 |
Cherokee | 45.58% | 6,336 | 50.14% | 6,970 | 4.28% | 595 | 13,901 |
Choctaw | 65.28% | 2,634 | 31.87% | 1,286 | 2.85% | 115 | 4,035 |
Cimarron | 85.36% | 682 | 12.27% | 98 | 2.38% | 19 | 799 |
Cleveland | 45.87% | 42,268 | 50.62% | 46,648 | 3.51% | 3,231 | 92,147 |
Coal | 61.05% | 1,127 | 35.7% | 659 | 3.25% | 60 | 1,846 |
Comanche | 49.66% | 13,180 | 46.48% | 12,336 | 3.87% | 1,027 | 26,543 |
Cotton | 65.44% | 1,312 | 29.83% | 598 | 4.74% | 95 | 2,005 |
Craig | 60.4% | 2,863 | 36.14% | 1,713 | 3.46% | 164 | 4,740 |
Creek | 65.53% | 14,870 | 31.06% | 7,048 | 3.42% | 775 | 22,693 |
Custer | 63.21% | 5,239 | 32.76% | 2,615 | 4.03% | 334 | 8,288 |
Delaware | 65.21% | 8,543 | 31.4% | 4,114 | 3.39% | 444 | 13,101 |
Dewey | 79.41% | 1,404 | 17.82% | 315 | 2.77% | 49 | 1,768 |
Ellis | 80.3% | 1,186 | 15.98% | 236 | 3.72% | 55 | 1,477 |
Garfield | 63.36% | 11,008 | 32.31% | 5,613 | 4.34% | 754 | 17,375 |
Garvin | 64.91% | 5,140 | 31.7% | 2,510 | 3.4% | 269 | 7,919 |
Grady | 65.16% | 11,173 | 30.8% | 5,281 | 4.05% | 694 | 17,148 |
Grant | 73.36% | 1,250 | 22.18% | 378 | 4.46% | 76 | 1,704 |
Greer | 64.22% | 946 | 31.84% | 469 | 3.94% | 58 | 1,473 |
Harmon | 59.38% | 443 | 37.13% | 277 | 3.49% | 26 | 746 |
Harper | 78.35% | 948 | 17.69% | 214 | 3.97% | 48 | 1,210 |
Haskell | 63.44% | 2,348 | 33.67% | 1,246 | 2.89% | 107 | 3,701 |
Hughes | 60.73% | 2,323 | 34.93% | 1,336 | 4.34% | 166 | 3,825 |
Jackson | 66.31% | 4,301 | 30.67% | 1,989 | 3.02% | 196 | 6,486 |
Jefferson | 70.04% | 1,099 | 27.02% | 424 | 2.93% | 46 | 1,569 |
Johnston | 65.45% | 1,976 | 31.86% | 962 | 2.68% | 81 | 3,019 |
Kay | 60.51% | 7,859 | 35.28% | 4,582 | 4.22% | 548 | 12,989 |
Kingfisher | 75.23% | 3,846 | 20.81% | 1,064 | 3.95% | 202 | 5,112 |
Kiowa | 60.61% | 1,645 | 35.81% | 972 | 3.57% | 97 | 2,714 |
Latimer | 58.8% | 1,774 | 37.25% | 1,125 | 3.91% | 118 | 3,017 |
Le Flore | 62.56% | 8,009 | 34.89% | 4,467 | 2.55% | 327 | 12,803 |
Lincoln | 64.94% | 7,323 | 30.31% | 3,418 | 4.74% | 535 | 11,276 |
Logan | 62.09% | 9,847 | 33.87% | 5,371 | 4.04% | 641 | 15,859 |
Love | 68.69% | 1,902 | 29.18% | 808 | 2.13% | 59 | 2,769 |
Major | 79.28% | 2,177 | 17.12% | 470 | 3.61% | 99 | 2,746 |
Marshall | 66.66% | 2,943 | 30.6% | 1,351 | 2.74% | 121 | 4,415 |
Mayes | 60.63% | 7,837 | 35.62% | 4,604 | 3.76% | 486 | 12,927 |
McClain | 65.35% | 9,021 | 31.05% | 4,286 | 3.6% | 497 | 13,804 |
McCurtain | 68.43% | 5,178 | 29.22% | 2,211 | 2.35% | 178 | 7,567 |
McIntosh | 54.56% | 3,612 | 42.07% | 2,785 | 3.37% | 223 | 6,620 |
Murray | 62.97% | 2,751 | 33.03% | 1,443 | 4.01% | 175 | 4,369 |
Muskogee | 48.30% | 9,515 | 48.31% | 9,516 | 3.39% | 668 | 19,699 |
Noble | 63.83% | 2,543 | 31.43% | 1,252 | 4.74% | 189 | 3,984 |
Nowata | 66.14% | 2,319 | 28.98% | 1,016 | 4.88% | 171 | 3,506 |
Okfuskee | 56.44% | 1,752 | 39.98% | 1,241 | 3.58% | 111 | 3,104 |
Oklahoma | 42.38% | 98,994 | 54.22% | 126,667 | 3.4% | 7,938 | 233,599 |
Okmulgee | 52.96% | 5,846 | 43.93% | 4,849 | 3.11% | 343 | 11,043 |
Osage | 56.2% | 8,629 | 40.39% | 6,202 | 3.21% | 524 | 15,355 |
Ottawa | 55.74% | 4,752 | 41.08% | 3,502 | 3.18% | 271 | 8,525 |
Pawnee | 62.42% | 3,076 | 33.38% | 1,645 | 4.2% | 207 | 4,928 |
Payne | 49.18% | 11,193 | 46.8% | 10,650 | 4.02% | 914 | 22,757 |
Pittsburg | 59.66% | 7,986 | 36.17% | 4,842 | 4.16% | 557 | 13,385 |
Pontotoc | 52.43% | 6,233 | 44.52% | 5,293 | 3.05% | 363 | 11,889 |
Pottawatomie | 57.06% | 11,996 | 38.5% | 8,093 | 4.44% | 933 | 21,022 |
Pushmataha | 63.07% | 2,102 | 33.18% | 1,106 | 3.75% | 125 | 3,333 |
Roger Mills | 77.13% | 1,157 | 18.87% | 283 | 4% | 60 | 1,500 |
Rogers | 64.76% | 21,450 | 32.02% | 10,605 | 3.23% | 1,069 | 33,124 |
Seminole | 55.99% | 3,681 | 39.66% | 2,607 | 4.35% | 286 | 6,574 |
Sequoyah | 58.31% | 6,695 | 39.02% | 4,480 | 2.67% | 307 | 11,482 |
Stephens | 67.48% | 9,314 | 29.57% | 4,081 | 2.95% | 407 | 13,802 |
Texas | 74.84% | 3,097 | 21.6% | 894 | 3.55% | 147 | 4,138 |
Tillman | 62.89% | 1,315 | 34.24% | 716 | 2.87% | 60 | 2,091 |
Tulsa | 50.11% | 101,518 | 47.07% | 95,350 | 2.82% | 5,716 | 202,584 |
Wagoner | 63% | 16,346 | 33.53% | 8,700 | 3.47% | 901 | 7,276 |
Washington | 62.96% | 11,226 | 33.74% | 6,017 | 3.3% | 588 | 17,831 |
Washita | 69.72% | 2,653 | 25.31% | 963 | 4.97% | 189 | 3,805 |
Woods | 67.83% | 1,929 | 28.02% | 797 | 4.15% | 118 | 2,844 |
Woodward | 73.35% | 4,326 | 23.53% | 1,388 | 3.12% | 184 | 5,898 |
Stitt won 4 of 5 congressional districts. [99]
District | Edmondson | Stitt | Representative |
---|---|---|---|
1st | 44.18% | 52.89% | Kevin Hern |
2nd | 37.15% | 59.51% | Markwayne Mullin |
3rd | 33.53% | 62.56% | Frank Lucas |
4th | 42.65% | 53.71% | Tom Cole |
5th | 52.90% | 43.69% | Steve Russell ( 115th Congress) |
Kendra Horn ( 116th Congress) |
| |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
Stitt: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% ≥90% Edmondson: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% ≥90% Tie No votes | |||||||||||||||||
|
Elections in Oklahoma |
---|
Government |
The 2018 Oklahoma gubernatorial election was held on November 6, 2018. Businessman Kevin Stitt was elected governor, succeeding fellow Republican Mary Fallin, who was term-limited.
Primary elections took place on June 26, 2018, and primary runoff elections followed on August 28. [1] [2] The Democratic Party nominated former Oklahoma attorney general Drew Edmondson. The Republican primary eliminated Lt. Gov. Todd Lamb, resulting in a runoff election between former Oklahoma City mayor Mick Cornett and businessman Kevin Stitt. On August 28, 2018, Stitt won the Republican primary runoff and became the Republican nominee for the office. The Libertarian primary also advanced to a runoff, with Chris Powell, a former chair of the Libertarian Party of Oklahoma, winning the nomination.
The election was notable for three reasons:
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Mick Cornett |
Dan Fisher |
Gary Jones |
Todd Lamb |
Gary Richardson |
Kevin Stitt |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Right Strategy Group (R) | June 6–7, 2018 | 435 | ± 4.5% | 21% | 4% | 2% | 20% | 6% | 20% | – | 28% |
Oklahoma Strategic Solutions (R-Richardson) | May 22–23, 2018 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 13% | 4% | 3% | 20% | 13% | 17% | – | 30% |
Right Strategy Group (R) | May 22–23, 2018 | 409 | ± 5.0% | 20% | 4% | 3% | 20% | 4% | 21% | – | 29% |
SoonerPoll Archived 2021-11-30 at the Wayback Machine | May 15–23, 2018 | 319 | – | 20% | 3% | 4% | 23% | 3% | 14% | 1% | 31% |
Magellan Strategies | April 18–19 and 22, 2018 | 644 | ± 3.9% | 17% | 5% | 5% | 19% | 12% | 19% | – | 23% |
SoonerPoll | March 14–22, 2018 | 294 | – | 22% | 4% | 3% | 21% | 7% | 8% | – | 36% |
Oklahoma Strategic Solutions (R-Richardson) | March 9, 2018 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 15% | 2% | 3% | 14% | 10% | 8% | – | 48% |
SoonerPoll | January 4–9, 2018 | 213 | – | 24% | 4% | 3% | 18% | 9% | 3% | – | 39% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Jim Bridenstine |
Todd Lamb |
Scott Pruitt |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SoonerPoll | September 1–15, 2017 | 403 | ± 4.9% | 19% | 33% | 16% | 32% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Mick Cornett | 132,806 | 29.3 | |
Republican | Kevin Stitt | 110,479 | 24.4 | |
Republican | Todd Lamb | 107,985 | 23.9 | |
Republican | Dan Fisher | 35,818 | 7.9 | |
Republican | Gary Jones | 25,243 | 5.6 | |
Republican | Gary Richardson | 18,185 | 4.0 | |
Republican | Blake Stephens | 12,211 | 2.7 | |
Republican | Christopher Barnett | 5,240 | 1.2 | |
Republican | Barry Gowdy | 2,347 | 0.5 | |
Republican | Eric Foutch | 2,292 | 0.5 | |
Total votes | 452,606 | 100.0 |
Candidate | Total raised |
Total spent |
Total cash-on-hand |
---|---|---|---|
Kevin Stitt | $6,542,863.91 | $6,018,662.13 | $368,557.72 |
Mick Cornett | $3,242,795.74 | $2,826,305.70 | $336,691.50 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Mick Cornett |
Kevin Stitt |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Remington (R) | August 1–2, 2018 | 1,757 | ± 2.3% | 37% | 47% | 16% |
Right Strategy Group (R) | August 1–2, 2018 | 385 | ± 5.0% | 33% | 41% | 26% |
SoonerPoll | July 18–20, 2018 | 483 | ± 4.5% | 37% | 37% | 25% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Kevin Stitt | 164,892 | 54.56 | |
Republican | Mick Cornett | 137,316 | 45.44 | |
Total votes | 302,208 | 100.0 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Drew Edmondson |
Connie Johnson |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Right Strategy Group (R) | June 6–7, 2018 | – | – | 45% | 11% | 45% |
SoonerPoll Archived 2021-11-30 at the Wayback Machine | May 15–23, 2018 | 297 | ± 5.7% | 44% | 14% | 43% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Norman Brown |
Drew Edmondson |
Connie Johnson |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SoonerPoll | March 14–22, 2018 | 264 | – | 4% | 34% | 13% | 50% |
SoonerPoll | January 4–9, 2018 | 162 | – | 4% | 40% | 21% | 35% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Drew Edmondson | 242,764 | 61.4 | |
Democratic | Connie Johnson | 152,730 | 38.6 | |
Total votes | 395,494 | 100.0 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Libertarian | Chris Powell | 1,740 | 48.9 | |
Libertarian | Rex L. Lawhorn | 1,154 | 32.4 | |
Libertarian | Joe Exotic | 664 | 18.7 | |
Total votes | 3,558 | 100% |
Candidate | Total raised |
Total spent |
Total cash-on-hand |
---|---|---|---|
Chris Powell | $10,142.88 | $6,991.02 | $3,017.51 |
Rex L. Lawhorn | $4,575.00 | $5,286.87 | ($736.87) |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Libertarian | Chris Powell | 547 | 59.1 | |
Libertarian | Rex L. Lawhorn | 379 | 40.9 | |
Total votes | 926 | 100.0 |
Oklahoma determines ballot order by a random drawing which took place for this election cycle on July 12, resulting in the Libertarian Party being listed first, Republicans second, and Democrats third. [87]
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report [88] | Tossup | October 26, 2018 |
The Washington Post [89] | Lean R | November 5, 2018 |
FiveThirtyEight [90] | Likely R | November 5, 2018 |
Rothenberg Political Report [91] | Lean R | November 1, 2018 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [92] | Lean R | November 5, 2018 |
RealClearPolitics [93] | Lean R | November 4, 2018 |
Daily Kos [94] | Lean R | November 5, 2018 |
Fox News [95] [a] | Likely R | November 5, 2018 |
Politico [96] | Lean R | November 5, 2018 |
Governing [97] | Lean R | November 5, 2018 |
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Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Kevin Stitt (R) |
Drew Edmondson (D) |
Chris Powell (L) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SoonerPoll | October 31 – November 3, 2018 | 338 | ± 5.3% | 47% | 44% | 3% | 6% |
SoonerPoll | October 23–25, 2018 | 447 | ± 4.6% | 46% | 42% | 4% | 8% |
Magellan Strategies (R) | October 22–23, 2018 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 51% | 44% | 1% | 4% |
Cole Hargrave Snodgrass (R) | September 25–29, 2018 | 500 | ± 4.3% | 46% | 40% | 4% | – |
Right Strategy Group (R) | September 25–26, 2018 | 1,058 | ± 3.0% | 47% | 43% | 2% | 8% |
SoonerPoll | September 5–10, 2018 | 407 | ± 4.9% | 47% | 44% | 3% | 6% |
Right Strategy Group (R) | August 1–2, 2018 | 737 | ± 4.0% | 41% | 42% | – | 17% |
SoonerPoll | July 18–20, 2018 | 404 | ± 4.9% | 39% | 40% | – | 21% |
SoonerPoll Archived 2018-11-10 at the Wayback Machine | May 15–23, 2018 | 622 | ± 3.9% | 25% | 32% | – | 43% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Mick Cornett (R) |
Drew Edmondson (D) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Right Strategy Group (R) | August 1–2, 2018 | 737 | ± 4.0% | 39% | 39% | 21% |
SoonerPoll | July 18–20, 2018 | 404 | ± 4.9% | 43% | 35% | 23% |
SoonerPoll Archived 2018-11-10 at the Wayback Machine | May 15–23, 2018 | 622 | ± 3.9% | 33% | 27% | 40% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Todd Lamb (R) |
Drew Edmondson (D) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SoonerPoll Archived 2018-11-10 at the Wayback Machine | May 15–23, 2018 | 622 | ± 3.9% | 33% | 28% | 39% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Kevin Stitt | 644,579 | 54.33% | -1.47% | |
Democratic | Drew Edmondson | 500,973 | 42.23% | +1.22% | |
Libertarian | Chris Powell | 40,833 | 3.44% | N/A | |
Total votes | 1,186,385 | 100.00% | N/A | ||
Republican hold |
Stitt won 73 counties, while Edmondson won four. Stitt won 56 counties with at least 60% of the popular vote, 14 counties with at least 70%, and three counties – Beaver, Cimarron, and Ellis – with upwards of 80%. Stitt had the largest margin of victory in Cimarron with 73.09% more votes than Edmondson's 12.27%, the latter's lowest county performance in the election. The largest county per vote count won by Stitt was Tulsa County, home of Tulsa. Oklahoma County, of which Oklahoma City is county seat, was the only county where Stitt failed to acquire three out of every seven votes. [98]
Edmondson won Muskogee by a single vote, and had an 11.84% margin of victory – his only margin of victory above 10% – in Oklahoma County. Edmondson won his four counties with typically narrower margins than that of Stitt, having missed 50% of the popular vote in Muskogee. [98] Powell never came close to winning any counties, but won his highest percentage of votes in Washita County, with 4.97% [98]
County | Stitt | Votes | Edmondson | Votes | Powell | Votes | Total |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Adair | 61.61% | 3,187 | 33.73% | 1,745 | 4.66% | 241 | 5,173 |
Alfalfa | 74.01% | 1,333 | 21.71% | 391 | 4.28% | 77 | 1,801 |
Atoka | 69.05% | 2,789 | 28.6% | 1,155 | 2.35% | 95 | 4,039 |
Beaver | 80.82% | 1,454 | 15.12% | 272 | 4.06% | 73 | 1,799 |
Beckham | 71.18% | 4,061 | 24.47% | 1,396 | 4.35% | 248 | 5,705 |
Blaine | 65.73% | 1,941 | 30.1% | 889 | 4.17% | 123 | 2,953 |
Bryan | 64.33% | 7,301 | 33.01% | 3,746 | 2.66% | 302 | 11,349 |
Caddo | 54.97% | 4,047 | 41.33% | 3,043 | 3.69% | 272 | 7,362 |
Canadian | 59.65% | 27,410 | 36.44% | 16,744 | 3.91% | 1,797 | 45,951 |
Carter | 64.91% | 9,090 | 31.74% | 4,445 | 3.35% | 469 | 14,004 |
Cherokee | 45.58% | 6,336 | 50.14% | 6,970 | 4.28% | 595 | 13,901 |
Choctaw | 65.28% | 2,634 | 31.87% | 1,286 | 2.85% | 115 | 4,035 |
Cimarron | 85.36% | 682 | 12.27% | 98 | 2.38% | 19 | 799 |
Cleveland | 45.87% | 42,268 | 50.62% | 46,648 | 3.51% | 3,231 | 92,147 |
Coal | 61.05% | 1,127 | 35.7% | 659 | 3.25% | 60 | 1,846 |
Comanche | 49.66% | 13,180 | 46.48% | 12,336 | 3.87% | 1,027 | 26,543 |
Cotton | 65.44% | 1,312 | 29.83% | 598 | 4.74% | 95 | 2,005 |
Craig | 60.4% | 2,863 | 36.14% | 1,713 | 3.46% | 164 | 4,740 |
Creek | 65.53% | 14,870 | 31.06% | 7,048 | 3.42% | 775 | 22,693 |
Custer | 63.21% | 5,239 | 32.76% | 2,615 | 4.03% | 334 | 8,288 |
Delaware | 65.21% | 8,543 | 31.4% | 4,114 | 3.39% | 444 | 13,101 |
Dewey | 79.41% | 1,404 | 17.82% | 315 | 2.77% | 49 | 1,768 |
Ellis | 80.3% | 1,186 | 15.98% | 236 | 3.72% | 55 | 1,477 |
Garfield | 63.36% | 11,008 | 32.31% | 5,613 | 4.34% | 754 | 17,375 |
Garvin | 64.91% | 5,140 | 31.7% | 2,510 | 3.4% | 269 | 7,919 |
Grady | 65.16% | 11,173 | 30.8% | 5,281 | 4.05% | 694 | 17,148 |
Grant | 73.36% | 1,250 | 22.18% | 378 | 4.46% | 76 | 1,704 |
Greer | 64.22% | 946 | 31.84% | 469 | 3.94% | 58 | 1,473 |
Harmon | 59.38% | 443 | 37.13% | 277 | 3.49% | 26 | 746 |
Harper | 78.35% | 948 | 17.69% | 214 | 3.97% | 48 | 1,210 |
Haskell | 63.44% | 2,348 | 33.67% | 1,246 | 2.89% | 107 | 3,701 |
Hughes | 60.73% | 2,323 | 34.93% | 1,336 | 4.34% | 166 | 3,825 |
Jackson | 66.31% | 4,301 | 30.67% | 1,989 | 3.02% | 196 | 6,486 |
Jefferson | 70.04% | 1,099 | 27.02% | 424 | 2.93% | 46 | 1,569 |
Johnston | 65.45% | 1,976 | 31.86% | 962 | 2.68% | 81 | 3,019 |
Kay | 60.51% | 7,859 | 35.28% | 4,582 | 4.22% | 548 | 12,989 |
Kingfisher | 75.23% | 3,846 | 20.81% | 1,064 | 3.95% | 202 | 5,112 |
Kiowa | 60.61% | 1,645 | 35.81% | 972 | 3.57% | 97 | 2,714 |
Latimer | 58.8% | 1,774 | 37.25% | 1,125 | 3.91% | 118 | 3,017 |
Le Flore | 62.56% | 8,009 | 34.89% | 4,467 | 2.55% | 327 | 12,803 |
Lincoln | 64.94% | 7,323 | 30.31% | 3,418 | 4.74% | 535 | 11,276 |
Logan | 62.09% | 9,847 | 33.87% | 5,371 | 4.04% | 641 | 15,859 |
Love | 68.69% | 1,902 | 29.18% | 808 | 2.13% | 59 | 2,769 |
Major | 79.28% | 2,177 | 17.12% | 470 | 3.61% | 99 | 2,746 |
Marshall | 66.66% | 2,943 | 30.6% | 1,351 | 2.74% | 121 | 4,415 |
Mayes | 60.63% | 7,837 | 35.62% | 4,604 | 3.76% | 486 | 12,927 |
McClain | 65.35% | 9,021 | 31.05% | 4,286 | 3.6% | 497 | 13,804 |
McCurtain | 68.43% | 5,178 | 29.22% | 2,211 | 2.35% | 178 | 7,567 |
McIntosh | 54.56% | 3,612 | 42.07% | 2,785 | 3.37% | 223 | 6,620 |
Murray | 62.97% | 2,751 | 33.03% | 1,443 | 4.01% | 175 | 4,369 |
Muskogee | 48.30% | 9,515 | 48.31% | 9,516 | 3.39% | 668 | 19,699 |
Noble | 63.83% | 2,543 | 31.43% | 1,252 | 4.74% | 189 | 3,984 |
Nowata | 66.14% | 2,319 | 28.98% | 1,016 | 4.88% | 171 | 3,506 |
Okfuskee | 56.44% | 1,752 | 39.98% | 1,241 | 3.58% | 111 | 3,104 |
Oklahoma | 42.38% | 98,994 | 54.22% | 126,667 | 3.4% | 7,938 | 233,599 |
Okmulgee | 52.96% | 5,846 | 43.93% | 4,849 | 3.11% | 343 | 11,043 |
Osage | 56.2% | 8,629 | 40.39% | 6,202 | 3.21% | 524 | 15,355 |
Ottawa | 55.74% | 4,752 | 41.08% | 3,502 | 3.18% | 271 | 8,525 |
Pawnee | 62.42% | 3,076 | 33.38% | 1,645 | 4.2% | 207 | 4,928 |
Payne | 49.18% | 11,193 | 46.8% | 10,650 | 4.02% | 914 | 22,757 |
Pittsburg | 59.66% | 7,986 | 36.17% | 4,842 | 4.16% | 557 | 13,385 |
Pontotoc | 52.43% | 6,233 | 44.52% | 5,293 | 3.05% | 363 | 11,889 |
Pottawatomie | 57.06% | 11,996 | 38.5% | 8,093 | 4.44% | 933 | 21,022 |
Pushmataha | 63.07% | 2,102 | 33.18% | 1,106 | 3.75% | 125 | 3,333 |
Roger Mills | 77.13% | 1,157 | 18.87% | 283 | 4% | 60 | 1,500 |
Rogers | 64.76% | 21,450 | 32.02% | 10,605 | 3.23% | 1,069 | 33,124 |
Seminole | 55.99% | 3,681 | 39.66% | 2,607 | 4.35% | 286 | 6,574 |
Sequoyah | 58.31% | 6,695 | 39.02% | 4,480 | 2.67% | 307 | 11,482 |
Stephens | 67.48% | 9,314 | 29.57% | 4,081 | 2.95% | 407 | 13,802 |
Texas | 74.84% | 3,097 | 21.6% | 894 | 3.55% | 147 | 4,138 |
Tillman | 62.89% | 1,315 | 34.24% | 716 | 2.87% | 60 | 2,091 |
Tulsa | 50.11% | 101,518 | 47.07% | 95,350 | 2.82% | 5,716 | 202,584 |
Wagoner | 63% | 16,346 | 33.53% | 8,700 | 3.47% | 901 | 7,276 |
Washington | 62.96% | 11,226 | 33.74% | 6,017 | 3.3% | 588 | 17,831 |
Washita | 69.72% | 2,653 | 25.31% | 963 | 4.97% | 189 | 3,805 |
Woods | 67.83% | 1,929 | 28.02% | 797 | 4.15% | 118 | 2,844 |
Woodward | 73.35% | 4,326 | 23.53% | 1,388 | 3.12% | 184 | 5,898 |
Stitt won 4 of 5 congressional districts. [99]
District | Edmondson | Stitt | Representative |
---|---|---|---|
1st | 44.18% | 52.89% | Kevin Hern |
2nd | 37.15% | 59.51% | Markwayne Mullin |
3rd | 33.53% | 62.56% | Frank Lucas |
4th | 42.65% | 53.71% | Tom Cole |
5th | 52.90% | 43.69% | Steve Russell ( 115th Congress) |
Kendra Horn ( 116th Congress) |