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Raimondo: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% Fung: 40–50% 50–60% | |||||||||||||||||
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Elections in Rhode Island |
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The 2018 Rhode Island gubernatorial election was held on November 6, 2018, to elect the Governor of Rhode Island, concurrently with the election of Rhode Island's Class I U.S. Senate seat, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states, elections to the United States House of Representatives, and various state and local elections.
On September 12, 2018, incumbent governor Gina Raimondo and Cranston mayor and 2014 gubernatorial nominee Allan Fung won the Democratic and Republican primaries respectively, facing each other in a rematch of the 2014 election. Raimondo defeated Fung in the general election on November 6 to win a second term as governor, improving on her plurality win in 2014 to earn a majority of the votes, and becoming the first gubernatorial candidate (incumbent or challenger) to win a majority of votes since Donald Carcieri in 2006. It was also the first time that a Democrat was re-elected as Governor of Rhode Island since Bruce Sundlun won a second term in 1992, and the first time ever they did so for four year terms.
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Gina Raimondo (incumbent) | 66,978 | 57.1 | |
Democratic | Matt Brown | 39,300 | 33.5 | |
Democratic | Spencer Dickinson | 10,926 | 9.3 | |
Total votes | 117,204 | 100.0 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Allan Fung |
Patricia Morgan |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
National Research Inc. (R-Morgan) | July 23–24, 2018 | 400 | – | 44% | 33% | – | 18% |
Public Opinion Strategies (R-Fung) Archived August 2, 2018, at the Wayback Machine | July 11–14, 2018 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 62% | 22% | 4% [36] | 10% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Allan Fung |
Patricia Morgan |
Joe Trillo |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
TargetPoint (R-Fung) Archived July 19, 2018, at the Wayback Machine | November 4–6, 2017 | 433 | ± 4.0% | 45% | 24% | 10% | 20% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Allan Fung | 18,577 | 56.4 | |
Republican | Patricia Morgan | 13,208 | 40.1 | |
Republican | Giovanni Feroce | 1,147 | 3.5 | |
Total votes | 32,932 | 100.0 |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report [41] | Lean D | October 26, 2018 |
The Washington Post [42] | Lean D | November 5, 2018 |
FiveThirtyEight [43] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
Rothenberg Political Report [44] | Lean D | November 1, 2018 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [45] | Likely D | November 5, 2018 |
RealClearPolitics [46] | Likely D | November 4, 2018 |
Daily Kos [47] | Lean D | November 5, 2018 |
Fox News [48] [a] | Likely D | November 5, 2018 |
Politico [49] | Lean D | November 5, 2018 |
Governing [50] | Lean D | November 5, 2018 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Gina Raimondo (D) |
Allan Fung (R) |
Joe Trillo (I) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Fleming & Associates | October 20–24, 2018 | 416 | ± 4.8% | 45% | 34% | 9% | 4% [51] | 8% |
SocialSphere | October 5–9, 2018 | 502 | – | 40% | 32% | 17% | – | 11% |
University of New Hampshire | September 27 – October 6, 2018 | 503 | ± 4.4% | 48% | 34% | 5% | 3% [52] | 11% |
Fleming & Associates Archived September 21, 2018, at the Wayback Machine | September 14–17, 2018 | 420 | ± 4.8% | 43% | 36% | 7% | 4% [53] | 9% |
Fleming & Associates Archived August 7, 2018, at the Wayback Machine | July 28–31, 2018 | 407 | ± 4.8% | 39% | 37% | 6% | 3% [54] | 14% |
SocialSphere | May 30 – June 4, 2018 | 501 | – | 33% | 33% | 16% | – | 18% |
Fleming & Associates Archived March 6, 2018, at the Wayback Machine | February 25–28, 2018 | 419 | ± 4.8% | 38% | 36% | 6% | – | 17% |
TargetPoint (R-Fung) Archived July 19, 2018, at the Wayback Machine | November 4–6, 2017 | 600 | ± 4.0% | 41% | 46% | – | – | – |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Gina Raimondo (D) |
Patricia Morgan (R) |
Joe Trillo (I) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Fleming & Associates Archived August 7, 2018, at the Wayback Machine | July 28–31, 2018 | 407 | ± 4.8% | 42% | 24% | 8% | 5% [55] | 22% |
SocialSphere | May 30 – June 4, 2018 | 501 | – | 39% | 20% | 19% | – | 22% |
Fleming & Associates Archived March 6, 2018, at the Wayback Machine | February 25–28, 2018 | 419 | ± 4.8% | 43% | 25% | 9% | – | 20% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Gina Raimondo (D) |
Giovanni Feroce (R) |
Joe Trillo (I) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Fleming & Associates Archived August 7, 2018, at the Wayback Machine | July 28–31, 2018 | 407 | ± 4.8% | 44% | 9% | 12% | 6% [56] | 30% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Matt Brown (D) |
Allan Fung (R) |
Joe Trillo (I) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Fleming & Associates Archived August 7, 2018, at the Wayback Machine | July 28–31, 2018 | 407 | ± 4.8% | 21% | 36% | 7% | 6% [57] | 30% |
SocialSphere | May 30 – June 4, 2018 | 501 | – | 25% | 35% | 14% | – | 27% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Matt Brown (D) |
Patricia Morgan (R) |
Joe Trillo (I) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Fleming & Associates Archived August 7, 2018, at the Wayback Machine | July 28–31, 2018 | 407 | ± 4.8% | 25% | 21% | 9% | 8% [58] | 36% |
SocialSphere | May 30 – June 4, 2018 | 501 | – | 30% | 20% | 18% | – | 33% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Matt Brown (D) |
Giovanni Feroce (R) |
Joe Trillo (I) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Fleming & Associates Archived August 7, 2018, at the Wayback Machine | July 28–31, 2018 | 407 | ± 4.8% | 27% | 8% | 11% | 10% [59] | 43% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Gina Raimondo (incumbent) | 198,122 | 52.64% | +11.94% | |
Republican | Allan Fung | 139,932 | 37.18% | +0.94% | |
Independent | Joe Trillo | 16,532 | 4.39% | N/A | |
Moderate | Bill Gilbert | 10,155 | 2.70% | -18.68% | |
Independent | Luis Daniel Muñoz | 6,223 | 1.65% | N/A | |
Compassion | Anne Armstrong | 4,191 | 1.11% | N/A | |
Write-in | 1,246 | 0.33% | +0.10% | ||
Total votes | 376,401 | 100% | N/A | ||
Democratic hold |
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Raimondo: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% Fung: 40–50% 50–60% | |||||||||||||||||
|
Elections in Rhode Island |
---|
The 2018 Rhode Island gubernatorial election was held on November 6, 2018, to elect the Governor of Rhode Island, concurrently with the election of Rhode Island's Class I U.S. Senate seat, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states, elections to the United States House of Representatives, and various state and local elections.
On September 12, 2018, incumbent governor Gina Raimondo and Cranston mayor and 2014 gubernatorial nominee Allan Fung won the Democratic and Republican primaries respectively, facing each other in a rematch of the 2014 election. Raimondo defeated Fung in the general election on November 6 to win a second term as governor, improving on her plurality win in 2014 to earn a majority of the votes, and becoming the first gubernatorial candidate (incumbent or challenger) to win a majority of votes since Donald Carcieri in 2006. It was also the first time that a Democrat was re-elected as Governor of Rhode Island since Bruce Sundlun won a second term in 1992, and the first time ever they did so for four year terms.
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Gina Raimondo (incumbent) | 66,978 | 57.1 | |
Democratic | Matt Brown | 39,300 | 33.5 | |
Democratic | Spencer Dickinson | 10,926 | 9.3 | |
Total votes | 117,204 | 100.0 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Allan Fung |
Patricia Morgan |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
National Research Inc. (R-Morgan) | July 23–24, 2018 | 400 | – | 44% | 33% | – | 18% |
Public Opinion Strategies (R-Fung) Archived August 2, 2018, at the Wayback Machine | July 11–14, 2018 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 62% | 22% | 4% [36] | 10% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Allan Fung |
Patricia Morgan |
Joe Trillo |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
TargetPoint (R-Fung) Archived July 19, 2018, at the Wayback Machine | November 4–6, 2017 | 433 | ± 4.0% | 45% | 24% | 10% | 20% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Allan Fung | 18,577 | 56.4 | |
Republican | Patricia Morgan | 13,208 | 40.1 | |
Republican | Giovanni Feroce | 1,147 | 3.5 | |
Total votes | 32,932 | 100.0 |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report [41] | Lean D | October 26, 2018 |
The Washington Post [42] | Lean D | November 5, 2018 |
FiveThirtyEight [43] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
Rothenberg Political Report [44] | Lean D | November 1, 2018 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [45] | Likely D | November 5, 2018 |
RealClearPolitics [46] | Likely D | November 4, 2018 |
Daily Kos [47] | Lean D | November 5, 2018 |
Fox News [48] [a] | Likely D | November 5, 2018 |
Politico [49] | Lean D | November 5, 2018 |
Governing [50] | Lean D | November 5, 2018 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Gina Raimondo (D) |
Allan Fung (R) |
Joe Trillo (I) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Fleming & Associates | October 20–24, 2018 | 416 | ± 4.8% | 45% | 34% | 9% | 4% [51] | 8% |
SocialSphere | October 5–9, 2018 | 502 | – | 40% | 32% | 17% | – | 11% |
University of New Hampshire | September 27 – October 6, 2018 | 503 | ± 4.4% | 48% | 34% | 5% | 3% [52] | 11% |
Fleming & Associates Archived September 21, 2018, at the Wayback Machine | September 14–17, 2018 | 420 | ± 4.8% | 43% | 36% | 7% | 4% [53] | 9% |
Fleming & Associates Archived August 7, 2018, at the Wayback Machine | July 28–31, 2018 | 407 | ± 4.8% | 39% | 37% | 6% | 3% [54] | 14% |
SocialSphere | May 30 – June 4, 2018 | 501 | – | 33% | 33% | 16% | – | 18% |
Fleming & Associates Archived March 6, 2018, at the Wayback Machine | February 25–28, 2018 | 419 | ± 4.8% | 38% | 36% | 6% | – | 17% |
TargetPoint (R-Fung) Archived July 19, 2018, at the Wayback Machine | November 4–6, 2017 | 600 | ± 4.0% | 41% | 46% | – | – | – |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Gina Raimondo (D) |
Patricia Morgan (R) |
Joe Trillo (I) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Fleming & Associates Archived August 7, 2018, at the Wayback Machine | July 28–31, 2018 | 407 | ± 4.8% | 42% | 24% | 8% | 5% [55] | 22% |
SocialSphere | May 30 – June 4, 2018 | 501 | – | 39% | 20% | 19% | – | 22% |
Fleming & Associates Archived March 6, 2018, at the Wayback Machine | February 25–28, 2018 | 419 | ± 4.8% | 43% | 25% | 9% | – | 20% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Gina Raimondo (D) |
Giovanni Feroce (R) |
Joe Trillo (I) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Fleming & Associates Archived August 7, 2018, at the Wayback Machine | July 28–31, 2018 | 407 | ± 4.8% | 44% | 9% | 12% | 6% [56] | 30% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Matt Brown (D) |
Allan Fung (R) |
Joe Trillo (I) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Fleming & Associates Archived August 7, 2018, at the Wayback Machine | July 28–31, 2018 | 407 | ± 4.8% | 21% | 36% | 7% | 6% [57] | 30% |
SocialSphere | May 30 – June 4, 2018 | 501 | – | 25% | 35% | 14% | – | 27% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Matt Brown (D) |
Patricia Morgan (R) |
Joe Trillo (I) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Fleming & Associates Archived August 7, 2018, at the Wayback Machine | July 28–31, 2018 | 407 | ± 4.8% | 25% | 21% | 9% | 8% [58] | 36% |
SocialSphere | May 30 – June 4, 2018 | 501 | – | 30% | 20% | 18% | – | 33% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Matt Brown (D) |
Giovanni Feroce (R) |
Joe Trillo (I) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Fleming & Associates Archived August 7, 2018, at the Wayback Machine | July 28–31, 2018 | 407 | ± 4.8% | 27% | 8% | 11% | 10% [59] | 43% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Gina Raimondo (incumbent) | 198,122 | 52.64% | +11.94% | |
Republican | Allan Fung | 139,932 | 37.18% | +0.94% | |
Independent | Joe Trillo | 16,532 | 4.39% | N/A | |
Moderate | Bill Gilbert | 10,155 | 2.70% | -18.68% | |
Independent | Luis Daniel Muñoz | 6,223 | 1.65% | N/A | |
Compassion | Anne Armstrong | 4,191 | 1.11% | N/A | |
Write-in | 1,246 | 0.33% | +0.10% | ||
Total votes | 376,401 | 100% | N/A | ||
Democratic hold |