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Portman: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Strickland: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% | |||||||||||||||||
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Elections in Ohio |
---|
The 2016 United States Senate election in Ohio was held November 8, 2016, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Ohio, concurrently with the 2016 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. The close of registration for electors in the primary election was December 16, 2015, and the primary election took place on March 15, 2016. [1] Incumbent Republican U.S. Senator Rob Portman faced former Democratic Governor Ted Strickland. Green Party nominee Joseph DeMare was also on the ballot along with two other independent candidates and one officially declared write-in candidate.
Initially, the seat was viewed by many to be a potential Democratic pickup, with some early polls showing Strickland ahead, but Portman attained a lead in the summer which grew through the duration of the campaign, and ultimately won re-election to a second term in a landslide, winning 58% of the vote. His vote total of 3,118,567 is the second largest in the state's history, falling 346,084 votes short of George Voinovich's record set in his 2004 re-election.
Republican Senator Rob Portman ran for re-election to a second term in office. [2] He considered running for president in 2016, [3] [4] [5] but ruled out running for two offices at the same time, even though Ohio law does allow it. [3] [6] He ultimately declined to run for president. [2] [7] The National Organization for Marriage and other socially conservative groups, unhappy with Portman's public backing for same-sex marriage, pledged to back a primary challenger. Tea Party groups, who heavily backed Portman in 2010, said that they were unlikely to do the same if he runs for re-election. [8] [9]
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Don Elijah Eckhart |
Rob Portman |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | March 4–6, 2016 | 638 | ± 3.9% | 7% | 60% | 33% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Ken Blackwell |
Rob Portman |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | June 4–7, 2015 | 411 | ± 4.8% | 24% | 57% | 20% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Rob Portman (incumbent) | 1,336,686 | 82.16% | |
Republican | Don Elijah Eckhart | 290,268 | 17.84% | |
Total votes | 1,626,954 | 100.00% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Kelli Prather |
P.G. Sittenfeld |
Ted Strickland |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | March 4–6, 2016 | 508 | ± 4.4% | 6% | 16% | 50% | 28% |
Public Policy Polling | January 12–14, 2016 | 1,138 | ± ? | 10% | 10% | 61% | 18% |
Public Policy Polling | June 4–7, 2015 | 360 | ± 5.2% | — | 13% | 65% | 22% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Ted Strickland | 742,676 | 65.04% | |
Democratic | P.G. Sittenfeld | 254,232 | 22.26% | |
Democratic | Kelli Prather | 144,945 | 12.69% | |
Total votes | 1,141,853 | 100.00% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Green | Joe DeMare | 3,123 | 100.00% | |
Total votes | 3,123 | 100.00% |
Dates | Location | Portman | Strickland | Link |
---|---|---|---|---|
October 14, 2016 | Youngstown, Ohio | Participant | Participant | Full debate - C-SPAN |
October 17, 2016 | Columbus, Ohio | Participant | Participant | Full debate - C-SPAN |
October 20, 2016 | Cleveland, Ohio | Participant | Participant | Full debate - C-SPAN |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report [110] | Lean R | November 2, 2016 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [111] | Safe R | November 7, 2016 |
Rothenberg Political Report [112] | Likely R | November 3, 2016 |
Daily Kos [113] | Safe R | November 8, 2016 |
Real Clear Politics [114] | Safe R | November 7, 2016 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Rob Portman (R) |
Ted Strickland (D) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyMonkey | November 1–7, 2016 | 2,860 | ± 4.6% | 57% | 39% | — | 4% |
SurveyMonkey | Oct 31–Nov 6, 2016 | 2,530 | ± 4.6% | 57% | 39% | — | 4% |
Emerson College | November 4–5, 2016 | 900 | ± 3.2% | 49% | 28% | 11% | 12% |
The Columbus Dispatch | Oct 27–Nov 5, 2016 | 1,151 | ± 2.9% | 58% | 37% | — | 5% |
CBS News/YouGov | November 2–4, 2016 | 1,189 | ± 4.1% | 52% | 39% | 3% | 6% |
SurveyMonkey | Oct 28–Nov 3, 2016 | 2,004 | ± 4.6% | 58% | 39% | — | 3% |
SurveyMonkey | Oct 27–Nov 2, 2016 | 1,728 | ± 4.6% | 57% | 40% | — | 3% |
Quinnipiac University Archived November 4, 2016, at the Wayback Machine | Oct 27–Nov 1, 2016 | 589 | ± 4.0% | 56% | 38% | — | 6% |
SurveyMonkey | Oct 26–Nov 1, 2016 | 1,586 | ± 4.6% | 57% | 39% | — | 4% |
SurveyMonkey | October 25–31, 2016 | 1,823 | ± 4.6% | 55% | 40% | — | 5% |
Emerson College | October 26–27, 2016 | 800 | ± 3.4% | 49% | 35% | 4% | 12% |
Suffolk University Archived October 21, 2016, at the Wayback Machine | October 17–19, 2016 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 46% | 31% | 6% | 14% |
Quinnipiac University Archived October 19, 2016, at the Wayback Machine | October 10–16, 2016 | 624 | ± 3.9% | 54% | 41% | 1% | 4% |
Washington Post/SurveyMonkey Archived September 14, 2017, at the Wayback Machine | October 8–16, 2016 | 1,307 | ± 0.5% | 56% | 39% | — | 5% |
CNN/ORC | October 10–15, 2016 | 774 LV | ± 3.5% | 56% | 40% | — | 2% |
890 RV | 55% | 40% | — | 2% | |||
NBC/WSJ/Marist | October 10–12, 2016 | 724 LV | ± 3.6% | 55% | 37% | 3% | 5% |
1,007 RV | ± 3.1% | 54% | 36% | 3% | 6% | ||
Emerson College | October 10–12, 2016 | 600 | ± 3.9% | 47% | 30% | 6% | 16% |
Baldwin Wallace University | October 9–11, 2016 | 1,152 | ± 3.0% | 48% | 36% | — | 16% |
The Times-Picayune/Lucid Archived October 19, 2016, at the Wayback Machine | October 7–10, 2016 | 1,304 | ± 3.0% | 51% | 37% | — | 12% |
CBS News/YouGov | October 5–7, 2016 | 997 | ± 3.9% | 49% | 38% | 2% | 10% |
Public Policy Polling | October 5–6, 2016 | 782 | ± 3.5% | 51% | 36% | — | 12% |
Monmouth University | October 1–4, 2016 | 405 | ± 4.9% | 54% | 39% | 2% | 5% |
Quinnipiac University Archived October 6, 2016, at the Wayback Machine | Sept 27–Oct 2, 2016 | 497 | ± 4.4% | 55% | 38% | — | 7% |
Anzalone Liszt Grove Research | Sept 27–Oct 2, 2016 | 800 | ± 4.0% | 51% | 39% | 5% | 5% |
Breitbart/Gravis Marketing | September 22–23, 2016 | 850 | ± 3.4% | 44% | 36% | — | 20% |
TargetSmart/William & Mary | September 15–22, 2016 | 652 LV | ± 3.4% | 47% | 32% | 4% | 17% |
821 RV | 44% | 34% | 4% | 18% | |||
FOX News | September 18–20, 2016 | 737 LV | ± 3.5% | 51% | 37% | 1% | 10% |
806 RV | 50% | 37% | 1% | 10% | |||
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner - Democracy Corps Archived September 23, 2016, at the Wayback Machine | September 10–19, 2016 | 400 | ± 4.0% | 51% | 34% | 4% | 11% |
Suffolk University Archived October 20, 2016, at the Wayback Machine | September 12–14, 2016 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 39% | 31% | 5% | 23% |
CNN/ORC | September 7–12, 2016 | 769 LV | ± 3.0% | 58% | 37% | — | 5% |
895 RV | 56% | 38% | — | 5% | |||
Bloomberg/Selzer | September 9–12, 2016 | 802 | ± 3.5% | 53% | 36% | 3% | 7% |
Quinnipiac University Archived September 15, 2016, at the Wayback Machine | Aug 29–Sept 7, 2016 | 775 | ± 3.5% | 51% | 40% | 1% | 8% |
Public Policy Polling | August 26–27, 2016 | 1,134 | ± 3.0% | 48% | 39% | — | 13% |
Emerson College | August 25–27, 2016 | 800 | ± 3.4% | 40% | 25% | 10% | 25% |
Monmouth University | August 18–21, 2016 | 402 | ± 4.9% | 48% | 40% | 4% | 8% |
CBS News/YouGov | August 17–19, 2016 | 997 | ± 3.9% | 46% | 39% | 4% | 11% |
Quinnipiac University Archived August 18, 2016, at the Wayback Machine | July 30–August 7, 2016 | 812 | ± 3.4% | 49% | 40% | 1% | 10% |
NBC/WSJ/Marist | August 3–7, 2016 | 889 | ± 3.3% | 48% | 43% | 1% | 8% |
Public Policy Polling | July 22–24, 2016 | 1,334 | ± 2.7% | 43% | 38% | — | 19% |
Suffolk University Archived August 3, 2016, at the Wayback Machine | July 18–20, 2016 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 37% | 33% | 6% | 23% |
CBS News/YouGov | July 13–15, 2016 | 1,104 | ± 3.5% | 41% | 40% | 4% | 14% |
Quinnipiac University Archived August 15, 2016, at the Wayback Machine | June 30–July 11, 2016 | 955 | ± 3.2% | 47% | 40% | 1% | 9% |
NBC/WSJ/Marist | July 5–10, 2016 | 848 | ± 3.4% | 44% | 44% | 2% | 10% |
Public Policy Polling Archived August 3, 2016, at the Wayback Machine | June 22–23, 2016 | 708 | ± 3.7% | 40% | 39% | — | 21% |
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner - Democracy Corps | June 11–20, 2016 | 300 | ± 5.7% | 40% | 43% | — | 17% |
Quinnipiac University[ permanent dead link] | June 8–19, 2016 | 971 | ± 3.1% | 42% | 42% | 1% | 11% |
Public Policy Polling | June 8–9, 2016 | 781 | ± 3.4% | 46% | 42% | — | 12% |
Quinnipiac University Archived June 3, 2016, at the Wayback Machine | April 27–May 8, 2016 | 1,042 | ± 3.0% | 42% | 43% | 1% | 14% |
Public Policy Polling | April 26–27, 2016 | 799 | ± 3.2% | 38% | 38% | 1% | 23% |
Hart Research Associates | April 5–7, 2016 | 500 | ± 3.2% | 47% | 45% | — | 8% |
Public Policy Polling | March 4–6, 2016 | 1,248 | ± 2.8% | 40% | 41% | — | 19% |
Quinnipiac University Archived March 4, 2016, at the Wayback Machine | February 16–20, 2016 | 1,539 | ± 2.5% | 42% | 44% | — | 14% |
Baldwin Wallace University | February 11–20, 2016 | 825 | ± 3.4% | 44% | 40% | — | 16% |
Democracy Corps Archived February 28, 2016, at the Wayback Machine | October 24–28, 2015 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 47% | 47% | — | 6% |
Quinnipiac University Archived October 12, 2015, at the Wayback Machine | Sept 25–Oct 5, 2015 | 1,180 | ± 2.9% | 43% | 46% | 1% | 8% |
Harstad Strategic Research Archived October 9, 2015, at the Wayback Machine | September 10–16, 2015 | 813 | ± 3.4% | 43% | 46% | — | 11% |
Quinnipiac University Archived September 6, 2015, at the Wayback Machine | August 7–18, 2015 | 1,096 | ± 3.0% | 41% | 44% | 1% | 10% |
Quinnipiac University Archived June 22, 2015, at the Wayback Machine | June 4–15, 2015 | 1,191 | ± 2.8% | 40% | 46% | 1% | 13% |
Public Policy Polling | June 4–7, 2015 | 859 | ± 3.3% | 43% | 41% | — | 15% |
Quinnipiac University Archived April 6, 2015, at the Wayback Machine | March 17–28, 2015 | 1,077 | ± 3.0% | 39% | 48% | — | 13% |
Public Policy Polling (D-Ohio Democratic Party) | March 2–3, 2015 | 946 | ± 3.2% | 45% | 45% | — | 10% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Rob Portman (R) |
P.G. Sittenfeld (D) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | March 4–6, 2016 | 1,248 | ± 2.8% | 42% | 30% | — | 27% |
Quinnipiac University Archived March 4, 2016, at the Wayback Machine | February 16–20, 2016 | 1,539 | ± 2.5% | 48% | 29% | 1% | 22% |
Baldwin Wallace University | February 11–20, 2016 | 825 | ± 3.4% | 51% | 26% | — | 23% |
Quinnipiac University Archived October 12, 2015, at the Wayback Machine | September 25 – October 5, 2015 | 1,180 | ± 2.9% | 49% | 27% | 1% | 18% |
Quinnipiac University Archived September 6, 2015, at the Wayback Machine | August 7–18, 2015 | 1,096 | ± 3.0% | 46% | 25% | 1% | 22% |
Quinnipiac University Archived June 22, 2015, at the Wayback Machine | June 4–15, 2015 | 1,191 | ± 2.8% | 49% | 24% | 1% | 25% |
Public Policy Polling | June 4–7, 2015 | 859 | ± 3.3% | 46% | 28% | — | 26% |
Quinnipiac University Archived April 6, 2015, at the Wayback Machine | March 17–28, 2015 | 1,077 | ± 3.0% | 47% | 24% | 1% | 28% |
Public Policy Polling↑ | March 2–3, 2015 | 946 | ± 3.2% | 50% | 31% | — | 15% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Ken Blackwell (R) |
Ted Strickland (D) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | June 4–7, 2015 | 859 | ± 3.3% | 36% | 46% | — | 18% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Rob Portman (incumbent) | 3,118,567 | 58.03% | +1.18% | |
Democratic | Ted Strickland | 1,996,908 | 37.16% | −2.24% | |
Independent | Tom Connors | 93,041 | 1.73% | N/A | |
Green | Joseph R. DeMare | 88,246 | 1.64% | N/A | |
Independent | Scott Rupert | 77,291 | 1.44% | N/A | |
Independent | James Stahl ( write-in) | 111 | 0.00% | N/A | |
Total votes | 5,374,164 | 100.0% | N/A | ||
Republican hold |
Portman won 13 of 16 congressional districts, including the 13th, held by Democrat Tim Ryan and which Hillary Clinton also won in the presidential race. [116]
District | Portman | Strickland | Representative |
---|---|---|---|
1st | 60% | 36% | Steve Chabot |
2nd | 65% | 31% | Brad Wenstrup |
3rd | 36% | 59% | Joyce Beatty |
4th | 69% | 26% | Jim Jordan |
5th | 66% | 30% | Bob Latta |
6th | 66% | 29% | Bill Johnson |
7th | 66% | 29% | Bob Gibbs |
8th | 72% | 24% | Warren Davidson |
9th | 43% | 51% | Marcy Kaptur |
10th | 60% | 36% | Mike Turner |
11th | 22% | 73% | Marcia Fudge |
12th | 62% | 34% | Pat Tiberi |
13th | 48% | 46% | Tim Ryan |
14th | 61% | 34% | David Joyce |
15th | 61% | 34% | Steve Stivers |
16th | 62% | 32% | Jim Renacci |
Despite being seen early on as a tight race, Portman began to gain the upper hand as Strickland's campaign was said to be the worst he had ever run. [117] [118] Portman received the endorsements of many labor unions including the Ohio Teamsters and the United Mine Workers Union, both of which usually endorsed Democrats. In the end Portman ended up winning in a landslide, the only region where Strickland outperformed Hillary Clinton was in Appalachia, but his performance there was still disappointing for an area he used to represent in Congress.
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Portman: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Strickland: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% | |||||||||||||||||
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Elections in Ohio |
---|
The 2016 United States Senate election in Ohio was held November 8, 2016, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Ohio, concurrently with the 2016 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. The close of registration for electors in the primary election was December 16, 2015, and the primary election took place on March 15, 2016. [1] Incumbent Republican U.S. Senator Rob Portman faced former Democratic Governor Ted Strickland. Green Party nominee Joseph DeMare was also on the ballot along with two other independent candidates and one officially declared write-in candidate.
Initially, the seat was viewed by many to be a potential Democratic pickup, with some early polls showing Strickland ahead, but Portman attained a lead in the summer which grew through the duration of the campaign, and ultimately won re-election to a second term in a landslide, winning 58% of the vote. His vote total of 3,118,567 is the second largest in the state's history, falling 346,084 votes short of George Voinovich's record set in his 2004 re-election.
Republican Senator Rob Portman ran for re-election to a second term in office. [2] He considered running for president in 2016, [3] [4] [5] but ruled out running for two offices at the same time, even though Ohio law does allow it. [3] [6] He ultimately declined to run for president. [2] [7] The National Organization for Marriage and other socially conservative groups, unhappy with Portman's public backing for same-sex marriage, pledged to back a primary challenger. Tea Party groups, who heavily backed Portman in 2010, said that they were unlikely to do the same if he runs for re-election. [8] [9]
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Don Elijah Eckhart |
Rob Portman |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | March 4–6, 2016 | 638 | ± 3.9% | 7% | 60% | 33% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Ken Blackwell |
Rob Portman |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | June 4–7, 2015 | 411 | ± 4.8% | 24% | 57% | 20% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Rob Portman (incumbent) | 1,336,686 | 82.16% | |
Republican | Don Elijah Eckhart | 290,268 | 17.84% | |
Total votes | 1,626,954 | 100.00% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Kelli Prather |
P.G. Sittenfeld |
Ted Strickland |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | March 4–6, 2016 | 508 | ± 4.4% | 6% | 16% | 50% | 28% |
Public Policy Polling | January 12–14, 2016 | 1,138 | ± ? | 10% | 10% | 61% | 18% |
Public Policy Polling | June 4–7, 2015 | 360 | ± 5.2% | — | 13% | 65% | 22% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Ted Strickland | 742,676 | 65.04% | |
Democratic | P.G. Sittenfeld | 254,232 | 22.26% | |
Democratic | Kelli Prather | 144,945 | 12.69% | |
Total votes | 1,141,853 | 100.00% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Green | Joe DeMare | 3,123 | 100.00% | |
Total votes | 3,123 | 100.00% |
Dates | Location | Portman | Strickland | Link |
---|---|---|---|---|
October 14, 2016 | Youngstown, Ohio | Participant | Participant | Full debate - C-SPAN |
October 17, 2016 | Columbus, Ohio | Participant | Participant | Full debate - C-SPAN |
October 20, 2016 | Cleveland, Ohio | Participant | Participant | Full debate - C-SPAN |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report [110] | Lean R | November 2, 2016 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [111] | Safe R | November 7, 2016 |
Rothenberg Political Report [112] | Likely R | November 3, 2016 |
Daily Kos [113] | Safe R | November 8, 2016 |
Real Clear Politics [114] | Safe R | November 7, 2016 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Rob Portman (R) |
Ted Strickland (D) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyMonkey | November 1–7, 2016 | 2,860 | ± 4.6% | 57% | 39% | — | 4% |
SurveyMonkey | Oct 31–Nov 6, 2016 | 2,530 | ± 4.6% | 57% | 39% | — | 4% |
Emerson College | November 4–5, 2016 | 900 | ± 3.2% | 49% | 28% | 11% | 12% |
The Columbus Dispatch | Oct 27–Nov 5, 2016 | 1,151 | ± 2.9% | 58% | 37% | — | 5% |
CBS News/YouGov | November 2–4, 2016 | 1,189 | ± 4.1% | 52% | 39% | 3% | 6% |
SurveyMonkey | Oct 28–Nov 3, 2016 | 2,004 | ± 4.6% | 58% | 39% | — | 3% |
SurveyMonkey | Oct 27–Nov 2, 2016 | 1,728 | ± 4.6% | 57% | 40% | — | 3% |
Quinnipiac University Archived November 4, 2016, at the Wayback Machine | Oct 27–Nov 1, 2016 | 589 | ± 4.0% | 56% | 38% | — | 6% |
SurveyMonkey | Oct 26–Nov 1, 2016 | 1,586 | ± 4.6% | 57% | 39% | — | 4% |
SurveyMonkey | October 25–31, 2016 | 1,823 | ± 4.6% | 55% | 40% | — | 5% |
Emerson College | October 26–27, 2016 | 800 | ± 3.4% | 49% | 35% | 4% | 12% |
Suffolk University Archived October 21, 2016, at the Wayback Machine | October 17–19, 2016 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 46% | 31% | 6% | 14% |
Quinnipiac University Archived October 19, 2016, at the Wayback Machine | October 10–16, 2016 | 624 | ± 3.9% | 54% | 41% | 1% | 4% |
Washington Post/SurveyMonkey Archived September 14, 2017, at the Wayback Machine | October 8–16, 2016 | 1,307 | ± 0.5% | 56% | 39% | — | 5% |
CNN/ORC | October 10–15, 2016 | 774 LV | ± 3.5% | 56% | 40% | — | 2% |
890 RV | 55% | 40% | — | 2% | |||
NBC/WSJ/Marist | October 10–12, 2016 | 724 LV | ± 3.6% | 55% | 37% | 3% | 5% |
1,007 RV | ± 3.1% | 54% | 36% | 3% | 6% | ||
Emerson College | October 10–12, 2016 | 600 | ± 3.9% | 47% | 30% | 6% | 16% |
Baldwin Wallace University | October 9–11, 2016 | 1,152 | ± 3.0% | 48% | 36% | — | 16% |
The Times-Picayune/Lucid Archived October 19, 2016, at the Wayback Machine | October 7–10, 2016 | 1,304 | ± 3.0% | 51% | 37% | — | 12% |
CBS News/YouGov | October 5–7, 2016 | 997 | ± 3.9% | 49% | 38% | 2% | 10% |
Public Policy Polling | October 5–6, 2016 | 782 | ± 3.5% | 51% | 36% | — | 12% |
Monmouth University | October 1–4, 2016 | 405 | ± 4.9% | 54% | 39% | 2% | 5% |
Quinnipiac University Archived October 6, 2016, at the Wayback Machine | Sept 27–Oct 2, 2016 | 497 | ± 4.4% | 55% | 38% | — | 7% |
Anzalone Liszt Grove Research | Sept 27–Oct 2, 2016 | 800 | ± 4.0% | 51% | 39% | 5% | 5% |
Breitbart/Gravis Marketing | September 22–23, 2016 | 850 | ± 3.4% | 44% | 36% | — | 20% |
TargetSmart/William & Mary | September 15–22, 2016 | 652 LV | ± 3.4% | 47% | 32% | 4% | 17% |
821 RV | 44% | 34% | 4% | 18% | |||
FOX News | September 18–20, 2016 | 737 LV | ± 3.5% | 51% | 37% | 1% | 10% |
806 RV | 50% | 37% | 1% | 10% | |||
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner - Democracy Corps Archived September 23, 2016, at the Wayback Machine | September 10–19, 2016 | 400 | ± 4.0% | 51% | 34% | 4% | 11% |
Suffolk University Archived October 20, 2016, at the Wayback Machine | September 12–14, 2016 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 39% | 31% | 5% | 23% |
CNN/ORC | September 7–12, 2016 | 769 LV | ± 3.0% | 58% | 37% | — | 5% |
895 RV | 56% | 38% | — | 5% | |||
Bloomberg/Selzer | September 9–12, 2016 | 802 | ± 3.5% | 53% | 36% | 3% | 7% |
Quinnipiac University Archived September 15, 2016, at the Wayback Machine | Aug 29–Sept 7, 2016 | 775 | ± 3.5% | 51% | 40% | 1% | 8% |
Public Policy Polling | August 26–27, 2016 | 1,134 | ± 3.0% | 48% | 39% | — | 13% |
Emerson College | August 25–27, 2016 | 800 | ± 3.4% | 40% | 25% | 10% | 25% |
Monmouth University | August 18–21, 2016 | 402 | ± 4.9% | 48% | 40% | 4% | 8% |
CBS News/YouGov | August 17–19, 2016 | 997 | ± 3.9% | 46% | 39% | 4% | 11% |
Quinnipiac University Archived August 18, 2016, at the Wayback Machine | July 30–August 7, 2016 | 812 | ± 3.4% | 49% | 40% | 1% | 10% |
NBC/WSJ/Marist | August 3–7, 2016 | 889 | ± 3.3% | 48% | 43% | 1% | 8% |
Public Policy Polling | July 22–24, 2016 | 1,334 | ± 2.7% | 43% | 38% | — | 19% |
Suffolk University Archived August 3, 2016, at the Wayback Machine | July 18–20, 2016 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 37% | 33% | 6% | 23% |
CBS News/YouGov | July 13–15, 2016 | 1,104 | ± 3.5% | 41% | 40% | 4% | 14% |
Quinnipiac University Archived August 15, 2016, at the Wayback Machine | June 30–July 11, 2016 | 955 | ± 3.2% | 47% | 40% | 1% | 9% |
NBC/WSJ/Marist | July 5–10, 2016 | 848 | ± 3.4% | 44% | 44% | 2% | 10% |
Public Policy Polling Archived August 3, 2016, at the Wayback Machine | June 22–23, 2016 | 708 | ± 3.7% | 40% | 39% | — | 21% |
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner - Democracy Corps | June 11–20, 2016 | 300 | ± 5.7% | 40% | 43% | — | 17% |
Quinnipiac University[ permanent dead link] | June 8–19, 2016 | 971 | ± 3.1% | 42% | 42% | 1% | 11% |
Public Policy Polling | June 8–9, 2016 | 781 | ± 3.4% | 46% | 42% | — | 12% |
Quinnipiac University Archived June 3, 2016, at the Wayback Machine | April 27–May 8, 2016 | 1,042 | ± 3.0% | 42% | 43% | 1% | 14% |
Public Policy Polling | April 26–27, 2016 | 799 | ± 3.2% | 38% | 38% | 1% | 23% |
Hart Research Associates | April 5–7, 2016 | 500 | ± 3.2% | 47% | 45% | — | 8% |
Public Policy Polling | March 4–6, 2016 | 1,248 | ± 2.8% | 40% | 41% | — | 19% |
Quinnipiac University Archived March 4, 2016, at the Wayback Machine | February 16–20, 2016 | 1,539 | ± 2.5% | 42% | 44% | — | 14% |
Baldwin Wallace University | February 11–20, 2016 | 825 | ± 3.4% | 44% | 40% | — | 16% |
Democracy Corps Archived February 28, 2016, at the Wayback Machine | October 24–28, 2015 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 47% | 47% | — | 6% |
Quinnipiac University Archived October 12, 2015, at the Wayback Machine | Sept 25–Oct 5, 2015 | 1,180 | ± 2.9% | 43% | 46% | 1% | 8% |
Harstad Strategic Research Archived October 9, 2015, at the Wayback Machine | September 10–16, 2015 | 813 | ± 3.4% | 43% | 46% | — | 11% |
Quinnipiac University Archived September 6, 2015, at the Wayback Machine | August 7–18, 2015 | 1,096 | ± 3.0% | 41% | 44% | 1% | 10% |
Quinnipiac University Archived June 22, 2015, at the Wayback Machine | June 4–15, 2015 | 1,191 | ± 2.8% | 40% | 46% | 1% | 13% |
Public Policy Polling | June 4–7, 2015 | 859 | ± 3.3% | 43% | 41% | — | 15% |
Quinnipiac University Archived April 6, 2015, at the Wayback Machine | March 17–28, 2015 | 1,077 | ± 3.0% | 39% | 48% | — | 13% |
Public Policy Polling (D-Ohio Democratic Party) | March 2–3, 2015 | 946 | ± 3.2% | 45% | 45% | — | 10% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Rob Portman (R) |
P.G. Sittenfeld (D) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | March 4–6, 2016 | 1,248 | ± 2.8% | 42% | 30% | — | 27% |
Quinnipiac University Archived March 4, 2016, at the Wayback Machine | February 16–20, 2016 | 1,539 | ± 2.5% | 48% | 29% | 1% | 22% |
Baldwin Wallace University | February 11–20, 2016 | 825 | ± 3.4% | 51% | 26% | — | 23% |
Quinnipiac University Archived October 12, 2015, at the Wayback Machine | September 25 – October 5, 2015 | 1,180 | ± 2.9% | 49% | 27% | 1% | 18% |
Quinnipiac University Archived September 6, 2015, at the Wayback Machine | August 7–18, 2015 | 1,096 | ± 3.0% | 46% | 25% | 1% | 22% |
Quinnipiac University Archived June 22, 2015, at the Wayback Machine | June 4–15, 2015 | 1,191 | ± 2.8% | 49% | 24% | 1% | 25% |
Public Policy Polling | June 4–7, 2015 | 859 | ± 3.3% | 46% | 28% | — | 26% |
Quinnipiac University Archived April 6, 2015, at the Wayback Machine | March 17–28, 2015 | 1,077 | ± 3.0% | 47% | 24% | 1% | 28% |
Public Policy Polling↑ | March 2–3, 2015 | 946 | ± 3.2% | 50% | 31% | — | 15% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Ken Blackwell (R) |
Ted Strickland (D) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | June 4–7, 2015 | 859 | ± 3.3% | 36% | 46% | — | 18% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Rob Portman (incumbent) | 3,118,567 | 58.03% | +1.18% | |
Democratic | Ted Strickland | 1,996,908 | 37.16% | −2.24% | |
Independent | Tom Connors | 93,041 | 1.73% | N/A | |
Green | Joseph R. DeMare | 88,246 | 1.64% | N/A | |
Independent | Scott Rupert | 77,291 | 1.44% | N/A | |
Independent | James Stahl ( write-in) | 111 | 0.00% | N/A | |
Total votes | 5,374,164 | 100.0% | N/A | ||
Republican hold |
Portman won 13 of 16 congressional districts, including the 13th, held by Democrat Tim Ryan and which Hillary Clinton also won in the presidential race. [116]
District | Portman | Strickland | Representative |
---|---|---|---|
1st | 60% | 36% | Steve Chabot |
2nd | 65% | 31% | Brad Wenstrup |
3rd | 36% | 59% | Joyce Beatty |
4th | 69% | 26% | Jim Jordan |
5th | 66% | 30% | Bob Latta |
6th | 66% | 29% | Bill Johnson |
7th | 66% | 29% | Bob Gibbs |
8th | 72% | 24% | Warren Davidson |
9th | 43% | 51% | Marcy Kaptur |
10th | 60% | 36% | Mike Turner |
11th | 22% | 73% | Marcia Fudge |
12th | 62% | 34% | Pat Tiberi |
13th | 48% | 46% | Tim Ryan |
14th | 61% | 34% | David Joyce |
15th | 61% | 34% | Steve Stivers |
16th | 62% | 32% | Jim Renacci |
Despite being seen early on as a tight race, Portman began to gain the upper hand as Strickland's campaign was said to be the worst he had ever run. [117] [118] Portman received the endorsements of many labor unions including the Ohio Teamsters and the United Mine Workers Union, both of which usually endorsed Democrats. In the end Portman ended up winning in a landslide, the only region where Strickland outperformed Hillary Clinton was in Appalachia, but his performance there was still disappointing for an area he used to represent in Congress.
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