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This page should live at falsifiability, no? And Popper is not the only, or arguably even the main, guy to consider when writing about falsifiability. -- LMS
I think all Conspiracy theories are unfalsifiable. They can be proven true, but they can't be proven false. From the article about Conspiracy Theories: A conspiracy theory is the exact opposite of a [scientific theory]?, in that it cannot be refuted: even evidence to the contrary is taken by the conspiracy theorist to support the notion that an extremely powerful conspiracy is at work, that just has fabricated this evidence.
Conspiracy theorists usually reject only some kinds of evidence, those they think could have been falsified by members of the conspiracy. But there's still many kinds of evidence that they accept, most notably "scientific" evidence. -- Taw
"All green things are green" is not a good argument, given that philosophy of language people have "grue" and "bleen". A scientist observing a "grue" item would agree that it is green, until it transforms. GregLindahl [ The article now talks a bunch about Quine, who is the philosopher of language in question. ]
Do we agree that the concept of falsifiablity is crucial to the definition of a conspiracy theory? It seems to me that the term 'conspiracy theorist' is a POV one that is used by people who are trying to discredit someone elses theories. We think them wildly unlikely, and we are frustrated that they demand a standard of proof that we think is unnecessary or difficult to achieve. Therefore a conspiracy theory is something that a conspiracy theorist believes. I don't think that in practice it is possible to distinguish between a theory which is falsifiable and one that is not (except in the most simple of cases) certainly few modern scientific theories, political theories or theories of social behaviour are easily falsifiable. 2toise 15:53, 6 Nov 2003 (UTC)
No definition for 'falsifiable' or 'falsifiability' given here, only a list of things that aren't falsifiable. How can I determine whether ID is falsifiable, if there's no definition here? Ed Poor
Thanks, Wesley. Now how do work that definition into the body of the article? It's pertinent to reams of talk about Creationism and Evolution. Ed Poor
Um, you don't get it. Everyone would agree that "Argon dating is accurate" is a falsifiable statement. GregLindahl
Moved here to /Talk until we decide whether this is or isn't an example of falsifiability.
"For example, before the 1960s, there was no way to disprove the proposition that there were little green men living on the other side of the moon. So it wasn't considered a scientific hypothesis. When it became possible to examine the moon closely with spacecraft-mounted cameras, the proposition gained falsifiability, because there was a way to disprove it. Alas, the "moon men" hypothesis's viability lasted only a short time, as an exhaustive photographic survey of the moon showed no evidence of life on the moon."
The Little Green Man example is poor; we knew in the 1960s that eventually we would be able to prove whether or not LGMs lived on the back side of the Moon. Unfalsifiability is generally reserved for things which are considered to NEVER be falsifiable. Again, reading a book about the philosophy and history of science is probably a better way of learning about this topic... much better than giving incorrect examples all over Wikipedia. GregLindahl
Re your "Moon man" example: No, I think that's wrong. The idea is that if something is in principle unfalsifiable, then it isn't Science. I.e., "Are there little green men on the moon?" "Go check." "But it's far." "Well, build a rocket or something." -- in theory we can imagine a check or test of our hypothesis.
But something like "God created the Universe ten minutes ago exactly as we see it, including our memories" is an "airtight" hypothesis, no way to disprove, and not Science, by definition.
The theory of evolution as generally taught. It is not falsifiable, because it claims that God has nothing to do with the appearance of new species of life. There is no way to falsify this claim (as it is dependent upon an unfalsifiable premise), so it's not a scientific hypothesis, only a philosophical conjecture. People who claim to be scientists can make unscientific (and unfalsifiable) claims.
I disagree. The theory of evolution does not claim that God has nothing to do with the appearance of new species of life. It's quite possible that God saw evolution as a nice quick way of creating a stable ecosystem from basic components without creating each in turn. After all - it's the original genetic algorithm! And nothing stops God from carefully fiddling about with a pile of carbon atoms in deepest darkest Africa and creating something new.
So lets jettison the 'God' argument, and reduce this to the statement "Darwin's Theory of Evolution is non-falsifiable". At the present moment in time, there is no way in which we can go back in time and watch evolution take place. So at the moment it is unfalsifiable. However, in a billion years time (when we'll all be getting worried about the sun going red giant on us) there will be 1000 million years of data to look back on. If no new species arise, then patently it is false; if radically different species (ie: unrelated species) arise, then patently it is false; if we see evolution occurring then it appears to be true. At this point, it can be falsified.
It should be pointed out that the theory of evolution has a major caveat in it's title: it is a theory, not a proof. Theories are by definition unproven, and for all science (excepting the man-made sciences such as Mathematics) nothing can be conclusively proven. The best that can be hoped for is this: the theory must make a prediction prior to the making of an experiment, and must agree with all future experiments in this field. Darwin's theory of evolution does this (just) - therefore it is falsifiable. Given (lots of) time.
However, there are no other theories (by the definition of making a prediction) about how the species evolve (or, at least, I haven't heard of them). So the theory of evolution is the best working theory so far.
(Also, it might be a good example to put a good example of a scientific theory being found false, and how it could have been considered falsifiable before the evidence to the contrary: Newton's laws of motion might be a good choice.)
Please let me know at my name page if you add to this conversation.
Natural selection can also be falsified without the wait, as even though speciation takes a long time, you can still witness the various stages of the process in different species. Plus the theory makes some predictions about the fossil record that one could go back and check, though I suppose these are more for checking gradual evolution than any particular mechanism. A historically important alternative to Darwin was Lamarck, which claimed that organisms aquire new traits through practice and then pass these on to their offspring. A step in the right direction, proved incorrect.
I restored the point about a theory as taught, (with an added explanation) since it was bringing in a different aspect of unfalsifiability not mentioned in the other points listed. I also added two more points, (one from /talk) about what is involved in unfalsifiabilty.
I removed this because it is either false or redundant:
If by "as taught", you mean that most teachers of evolution explicitly teach the non-existence of God, this is false. And even if it were true, the first example here already points out that both the existence and non-existence of God are nonfalsifiable, so it is redundant. --LDC
I'm glad you have lived in a world where teachers of evolution do not teach the non-existence of God. I, however, would like to see evidence other than your simple statement that this world really exists. My experience certainly differs from yours, and feel the item should be included in this article. -- BenBaker
I am placing this item back into Falsifiability. It is pointing out that unfalisfiability is transitive, and brings up the proper point that just because something is taught doesn't mean that it is falsifiable. I would be happy to edit it to include a different example if Lee provides one, but this example, in my experience, is one that has maximual impact on the reader, and thus is appropriate for an encyclopedia.
It seems to me that the inclusion in Falsifiability of an example about evolution being unfalsifiable is in irreconcible conflict with the (scientific) criticism of Intelligent Design, Creationism, or whatever we're going to wind up calling it.
I'd like to see wiser heads than mine come up with a definition that enables the intelligent layman to discern whether a given hypothesis is falsifiable and thus entitiled to status as a "scientific" hypothesis.
-- Ed Poor
Ben, I undid some of your changes: they're certainly not wrong, and I see why you might want to include them for rigor, but I don't think this particular article is the place for that. This is a high-level overview of what is really a very simple concept, and I think it's important to keep the examples simple and straightforward. I also think it's reasonable to group the falisifiable one into things like "physics" and "evolution"; otherwise there will be hundreds of them. --LDC
I also removed:
While it certainly qualifies, it's not important enough to even merit being a bad example. Let's keep this explanation simple and the examples common, everyday things that people can relate to. --LDC
I don't know a better article for it, and think it is specious to create one just because you don't like to see them. I certainly don't agree the two explanations should be summarily deleted. I think if one looks in an encyclopedia for an article on a simple subject, the writers have an obligation to treat all aspects carefully and not avoid to bring up views or ideas because they are complex. (although I don't consider either of these to be complex, and am confused by who Ed Poor is agreeing with, unless he is using subtle sarcasm.)
As I said before, each of these were placed in the article for particular purposes. You agreed the purposes are appropriate (I think), but you deleted them anyway. I agreed I would not re-edit if you should have better examples that fulfilled the purposes discussed. You did not. You simply deleted them. To my knowledge, this means I am required by intellectual honesty and forthrightness to replace them in the article. Please show me that I am wrong if you disagree. -- BenBaker
I'm not sure what you're arguing about here: the changes I made were mostly to simplify the prose of sections that remain here (you put in some parentheticals that weren't relaly necessary, and that obscure the main point). That's mainly an issue of writing style. The only things I removed were not things I thought you put in. They were (1) The reciprocal system, for the reason I note above (no one has heard of it, it doesn't deserve to be even a bad example, and it provides no information on the subject that isn't already here); and (2) the "evolution as generally taught" example, because it is clearly false. If you think either of those does belong here, please explain why. --LDC
I'm always fighting for the underdog's right to be heard, as long as they state it clearly. Hence my support for paragraphs I didn't write. That said, I have explained why I think those two items should be included. I will try again, but briefly, as I think you can scroll back and re-read my previous points.
1) Teaching science as dogma is not good. Falsifiability is essential to a proper understanding of the scientific method. Even if the theory is one that someone may have evidence to support, (such as the Theory of Evolution).
2) non-Falsifiability is transitive. A theory dependent upon a non-falsifiable theory is also non-falsifiable.
3) Falsifiablity requires a clear, unambiguous formulation, such as that provided by mathematics. The Reciprocal System of Theory (which I had not heard of prior to today) is an example of such a formulation.
4) The teaching science example is NOT false, in my experience.
RE: It seems to me that you have an axe to grind about evolution, and not about falsifiability. I would agree that for all intents and purposes, evolution is non-falsifiable, however, it doesn't really matter how evolution is taught at school, as long as people get the idea that it is at least questionable as to whether or not we can falsify evolution. As I play the devil's advocate here: the idea that we will have 1000 million years to study life on this planet is non-falsifiable, and as you have said, falsifiability is transitive.
I think we could argue about evolution for pages and not contribute to anyone's understanding of falsifiability. In my view it would be best to say that any scientific theory involving God would be unfalsifiable, including any theory that denied his existence. That covers both sides, and is the most accurate. Questions of evolutions falsifiability would do very well on the theory of evolution page.
Since I'm being such a curmudgeon, I'd like to leaven this with the fact that this article did contribute to my understanding of the basic idea, as well as some of the extensions of this idea by various philosophers.
On a different note, should the different sub-theories of the Theory of Evolution be lumped into one paragraph ? I think they are distinct, and should be able to stand on their own as falsifiable or non-falsifiable. I appreciate the wikifying to RNA and proteins, btw. I simply argue that it is actions like these that promote the idea that there is a single monolithic Theory of Evolution, rather than a dynamic constellation of theories all elaborating different aspects of the subject. -- BenBaker
--- I await your (LDC or other's) work on finding alternate examples. I do think that some examples should be provided. I don't agree that if you don't like the examples, that the points should not be made. My understanding of intellectually honesty requires that I provide information about a topic that I know is relevant to it. -- BenBaker Btw, I'm glad Ed thinks the article is shaping up.
There are some paragraphs now that try to address my concerns with this article. I'm glad of that. The Ten-minute-ago universe has been deleted. I don't know why. The supernatural creation of the universe is still there, but I don't think the Omphalos theory is the same as the ten-minute-ago, since it can easily be misinterpreted as the supernatural nature is what is unfalsifiable, not the sudden creation that is unfalsifiable.
On the issue of things that are falsifiable, I'd like to hear the input of others would consider the following situation to show the existence of God as falsifiable.
Since God is omnipotent, if God wanted to make his existence incontrovertible, he could simply answer any question of his existence whenever it occurs. Every experiment that could show he didn't exist would fail and every one that could show he does exist would succeed. Note that this is not based the bare facts of the experiment, but would need to be "reading the heart or intent" of the experimentor. Now in my opinion, a world in which God did this would be drastically different from the world we live in. Free Will would mean the choice to follow God, rather than to believe whether God exists. Now if that world did exist, would the existence of God be falsifiable or would it just be proved?
Can the article distinguish between things that "can't be tested now" because we (1) don't know how or (2) think we never will be able to, as opposed to (3) matters which are logically or philosophically impossible to test?
I want to know this, because it has a direct bearing on the Creationism debate. ID's status as scientific or unscientific depends mainly on falsifiability, so a clear definition will help me. Um, can I motivate you by promising not to "vandalize" the evolution and creationism pages (wink)? -- Ed Poor
That sounds like a distinction worth making. I'll think about how to do that. --LDC
I removed this from the article, because what we really need, I suppose, is a discussion of the various views about the falsifiability of the theory of evolution and of creationism. Giving one as an example of an unfalsifiable theory and the otehr as an example of a falsifiable theory just won't do: it really is NPOV.
I removed this too; I don't see what the point of it is, and it sounds quite possible controversial to me (sounds like a topic a philosopher of science might write some dry journal article about).
I removed this. It is totally controversial whether the existence of God is not falsifiable.
Yeah, but so what? Why are we saying this in an article about falsifiability? If you want to describe the controversy between evolutionary theory and creationism, do so explicitly. Don't use this article as a platform to state platitudes that are supposed to persuade people of your views.
The above strikes me as original research, not as a statement of what is generally known and believed about evolutionary psychology. I.e., not neutral point of view.
I've never heard of such a thing as "degrees of falsifiability."
And here we've got a lot of talk about what hypotheses are superior to others because they're falsifiable. I would like to have a source for this stuff. -- LMS
Somebody could do this article (as well as scientific method) a great service by finding an actual philosopher of science to spruce it up. The article as it stood was pretty appalling--it still is nowhere near being something I'd want other philosophers to look at, but it least it doesn't contain any obviously bad mistakes, as the earlier version did. -- LMS
Great rewrite Larry. This subject probably does deserve a more rigorous treatment from a serious philosopher, and the history is certainly worthwhile. The falsifiability of modern evolutionary theories probably does deserve an article of its own, and there is certainly some contention there even among scientists. The transitivity comment seemed to me to be bloody obvious and not that useful, but it seemed important to someone else, so I was being diplomatic. I agree the article is better without it.
While you may be right that academic philosophers do not use the term "degrees of falsifiability", Popper specifically did, and proposed a related measure he called verisimilitude, even going so far as to offer mathematical inequalities for comparing the verisimiltude of various statements.
It is very common for working scientists to rate one hypothesis as "superior" to another on grounds of testability--that's mentioned all the time in journal articles.
But then working scientists aren't generally philosophers of science. I do think that a philosophy of science actually used by working scientists (whether or not they recognize it as such) is worth mentioning here; if philosophers don't mention it, then they've simply missed it.
I also think some of the examples you removed, while perhaps not commonly used by philosophers (perhaps because they aren't that controversial or interesting), may give a better understanding of the field to a layman. I'd rather annoy a few philosophers with trivialities or redundancies than risk confusing our lay audience in our zeal for philosophical rigor. I realize that "popularizer" is someting of an epithet among both philosophers and scientists, but I wear the label proudly. :-) --LDC
Merged earlier more concise version with LMS's rewrite. Most Wikipedia users are not seeking philosophy degrees and would benefit from less-technical treatment.
-- Larry, I agree with your last sentence, plus:
Ick. Your merge is much worse than either of the previous versions; it's redundant, disorganized; a mere patching together of two reasonable versions into a mess. I reverted to Larry's version. It is clean, to the point, and well written. My point above is merely an attempt to suggest that maybe Larry's version could be tweaked a bit, not to suggest the earlier version was better--Larry was basically right, the earlier version isn't worth saving in that form. While I agree that what we really want is a serious philosopher of science who can write well, Daniel Dennett and Richard Dawkins don't hang around here much, so we'll have to settle for me and Larry and the rest of the crew. But the article as it is now is quite good, and I don't think major changes should be made to it.
I also don't think it's appropriate for anonymous users to make major changes in articles that have already undergone considerable discussion and revision by regulars (actually, I don't think anonymous edits should be allowed at all, but that's a different story). If you really think the article still needs work, tell us who you are and what you think is wrong, and discuss it here as we've been doing. --LDC
Someone tried to mention "lax in application" in the body of the article, but (as I've recently learned) such remarks belong in /Talk.
Just my 2¢. -- Ed Poor
I would like to have some information about Ayer and especially have a quote. The language of the sentence citing him seems to be a bit odd, probably the sentence is just to terse.
The paragraph in question: Ayer and many others influenced by the logical empiricists have held that claims about morality (such as "murder is evil" and "John was wrong to steal that money") are also not falsifiable and hence strictly meaningless and not part of scientific inquiry (See also non-cognitivism).
'Strictly meaningless' here probably means : 'not a topic of science'
-- Hannes Hirzel
I replaced it yet again. It is'; what Ayer said, and is a very common topic of even elementary philosophy courses. I'll look for a quote, but in the meantime, don't delete it just because you don't understand it--educate yourself in the topic before you edit an article that many people have spent a considerable amount of time, effort, and education on. I may think of a way to reword it if I can't find a quote, or I may not, because it's really quite clear and accurate exactly as it is. Even better, you might do the research yourself to expand the A. J. Ayer article. --LDC
Here's a quote from Ayer's Language, Truth and Logic (1936): Saying that an act is immoral, he says, is like saying it "in a peculiar tone of horror, or writing it with the addition of some special exclamation marks [which] adds nothing to the literal meaning of the sentence. It merely serves to show that the expression of it is attended by certain feelings in the speaker".
I don't think this should be included in the article itself (it belongs in the article on non-cognitivism), but it might help make the meaning of the sentence here clearer.
I'd say it's simply a matter of interpretation, and indeed a controversial one, to say that Ayer thought moral statements were meaningless. We don't need to say that, anyway. It is not as though they have no function in language, on his view; but they are not fact-stating. So, I guess, the only ground on which we could say that he thought moral statements are meaningless is that only fact-stating claims are, "strictly speaking," meaningful. Perhaps Ayer would want to say that--I don't know--but certainly there are plenty of people who think that reference to other speech acts than the "locutionary act" (the act of stating alleged facts, more or less) is necessary to give a full account of meaning, meaning that meaning and thus meaningfulness involves more than just stating facts. On that view, it would be misleading to say that Ayer thought moral statements are meaningless; though I did add "strictly speaking," this was a confusing oversimplification, it seems. -- LMS
Good article. Could use some linkage to foundation ontology and some notion of reasonable method, feasible method, or whatever the hell we call that debate.
Would be amusing seeing the author try to answer the objection "infrastructure" - three Popper scholars have so far failed...:-)
Those are not topics discussed by real working philosophers (or at least I don't believe they are--Larry's the one to ask), so I don't know if they really belong here. I have no idea what that second sentence of yours refers to. --LDC
I don't know what a "real working philosopher" is. For "foundation ontology" start somewhere around here http://citeseer.nj.nec.com/454539.html "Philosophy cannot become", etc.
An extremely blunt way of stating the position of theologians and ontologists is that philosphers (other than body philosophers) and quite possibly general relativity believers and particle physics believers are blathering a bunch of ungrounded nonsense.
Some would say that their conclusions are based on the infrastructure they use to test it, and nothing else.
Falsifiability w.r.t. human cognition is just that - w.r.t. human cognition. George Lakoff takes the most extreme position on this.
That's the bluntest quickest summary of the body philosophers that has ever been written. ;-)
Yes, actually, that is clearer--thanks. Lakoff is as interesting fellow. Since I study linguistics, I made myself stay awake through Women. Fire, and Dangerous Things and Metaphors We Live By (he can't write either--I can read Steven Pinker all day, but reading Lakoff is cruel and unusual punishment). He's got some interesting ideas, but they are certainly bleeding-edge, unconventional, and original, so they probably don't belong in rank-and-file encyclopedia articles. Of course, Lakoff is important and respected enough that there should be articles about him and his ideas, specifically credited as his ideas. --LDC
I wouldn't mix Lakoff's views up with anything widely held in any of the movements that he is part of. If it's Lakoff, believe me, it stands out. ;-)
This "isomorphism is just metaphor" argument he makes is hard for anyone with a math degree to swallow, but cognitive science of mathematics seems to have been swallowed by lots of real notables. It's not a refutation of falsifiability, but it sure shoves a few serious hurdles in the way of Popper's "universe telling you you're wrong".
The body philosophers entry tries to put Lakoff in context, a bit, or at least throw him in a pile, and maybe helps explain why his "unconventional" views aren't running into more resistance... the po-mos have had a long time to lay the groundwork, and the cogscis and greens have been working on this general underpinning of math as objective... slowly wearing it away.
The default view seems to be that falsifiability within one ecoregion is defensible... but not across say the Continental Divide... even counting becomes questionable. If I have a bunch of some bacteria and I stand right on the Divide, and drop one on each side, and they go downstream to the Pacific and Atlantic respectively, I get two radically different effects... so it becomes "not reasonable" to say that there are two of one 'type of' thing... rather there are two different types...
All of that ties into an economic critique of commodity (which is widely criticized) and product (which is less widely criticized) and seems to back the body philosopher's idea that everything is some kind of action or the green economist's idea that everything is some kind of service... there are connections between these views but only clearly in the bioregional_democracy concept.
Beyond that, there's this wacky divergence of views... as the theory predicts. Quite interesting.
Pinker's stuff on ir/regular verbs is probably next to leave the realm of the flaky... it's on the edge. You might wanna take a stab at it.
Falsifiability has also been importantly connected not only with meaningfulness but also with scientific method: Karl Popper, for example, stressed that falsifiability is critical to the scientific method...
This does not ring true at all. Although Popper's title at LSE was 'Professor of logic and scientific method', he was well known for starting lectures by expressing his belief that there is no such thing as the scientific method. And isn't there a quote from him somewhere, "I maintain there exists no scientific method...". --Chris
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The remark about conspiracy theory should mention that the typical alternative to conspiratorial explanations - that the phenomenon under consideration is the result of accident or chance - is also not falsifiable. Any pattern could in principle be the product of chance, so there is no event that one could not attribute to accident. That, after all, is what Popper was grappling with. How can science prove the patterns it finds by observation have wider validity? Ultimately, it cannot. But science was in a stronger position than its doubters because it could generate testable predictions and make a provisional claim to truth based on them. Theories of history or politics of any sort will fail to consistently generate correct predictions. They lack the scientist's ability to run controlled experiments and isolate variables, for one thing. We recognize this, and don't ordinarily require such predictions from them. But in this respect, conspiracy theories are no different than the others.
Alternatively, the paragraph should just be deleted; it is a tangent anyway.
"In a strict Popperian sense, no known theories of history or politics are falsifiable since none reliably generate unambiguous, testable, non-trivial, and correct predictions. Therefore, the problem is not specific to conspiracy theory, but intrinsic in attempts to understand scientifically situations where variables cannot be isolated. On this basis, Popper himself argued that neither Marxism nor psychoanalysis were science, although both made such claims. This does not mean, however, that any of these types of theories are necessarily invalid. Popper considered falsifiability a test of whether theories are scientific, not of whether theories are valid."
Is this correct? My understanding is that Popper distinguished between Marxism as propounded by Marx, and the vulgar Marxism of many of his followers. Marx's theory is both falsifiable and falsified. For example, Marx predicted that the prolatarian revolution would happen in the industrialised nations. In fact in took place in agrecultural Russia. -- Daran 04:54, 24 Sep 2003 (UTC)
I've adding a more detailed account of the logic of falsification. The strength of falsificationism comes from the fact that, unlike inductivism, the logical argument upon which it is based is valid. Critiques of falsificationism do not call this validity into question, but instead draw attention to the ways in which a scientist is drawn to agree with an existential or a universal statement. In the case of Kuhn, the critique is that scientists simply do not work in the way Popper describes. In the case of Feyerabend, the critique is that if scientists were to work using only falsification, science would ossify. Banno 07:30, 1 Oct 2003 (UTC)
I’ve added headings to this increasingly cumbersome article. Hopefully this will provide a basis for a more complete look at the topic.
I’ve also included a more extensive discussion of Popper – his view was more sophisticated than the one represented here. This included removing some of the references to logical empiricism and Quine – I think that these criticisms of naïve falsificationism are better covered by Popper.
I’ve added the criticisms from Kuhn, Lakatos and Feyerabend.
Since Falsificationism (as opposed to falsifiability) is a political position, it seems appropriate to discuss it in more political terms.
Banno 00:33, 6 Oct 2003 (UTC)
"Uncircumcised existential statements"?
This assertion is incorrect:
Pretty much that whole section is based on a false assumption: falsificationism was more of a response to logical positivism's verificationism or confirmationism, NOT induction. B 02:17, Dec 8, 2003 (UTC)
While falsifiability has some problems, it has been widely accepted as a better alternative to verificationism. It is not widely accepted that Popper's two central theses in LSD (the hypothetico-deductive method and falsifiability) repudiate or resolve the problem of induction. To most scientists and philosophers of science, Popper never resolves the "problem of induction". Popper does a good job of advocating the role that intuition or imagination plays in the scientific method, but his hypothetico-deductive thesis is problematic. Knowledge and all of science rely on the principle of the uniformity of nature which is....inductive...there is just no way around it. B 16:59, Dec 8, 2003 (UTC)
I wouldn't say "Induction remains logically invalid" because induction isn't based on logic which is why many philosophers say that "inductive logic" is a misnomer. Deduction is logical, but induction is non-logical. At any rate, I do agree with your conclusion that "science cannot be given a logical justification using induction", but that is because induction is non-logical.
I don't know that I would say "falsifiability is logically valid" either. But pragmatically, falsifiability is necessary, but by itself, insufficient for the advancement of science (or of knowledge in general) because it's problematic at least in part for the reasons a & b which you state. Pragmatically, the principal of parismony (or Occam's Razor) is also necessary because it helps avoid ad hoc theory modification recognized by the Quine-Duhem thesis, but it is also problematic.
I don't think science has any special status or exclusivity, but it (like any foundation of knowledge) flounders along because of the problem of induction (let alone cultural bias). There is no justification for the uniformity of nature of induction except pragmatically, and IMO there will never be a theory that justifies them. To me that means knowledge in the strong sense of a justified, true belief is not possible.
I'll leave the clarifying in the article to you. As you know, it's a lot harder to write a clear article than it is to criticize it! hahaha...I doubledog dare you to write some more. BTW, it's nice to have another wikipedian with some background in the philosophy of science. You've already helped inform my understanding significantly. B 20:31, Dec 8, 2003 (UTC)
This page is an archive of past discussions. Do not edit the contents of this page. If you wish to start a new discussion or revive an old one, please do so on the current talk page. |
This page should live at falsifiability, no? And Popper is not the only, or arguably even the main, guy to consider when writing about falsifiability. -- LMS
I think all Conspiracy theories are unfalsifiable. They can be proven true, but they can't be proven false. From the article about Conspiracy Theories: A conspiracy theory is the exact opposite of a [scientific theory]?, in that it cannot be refuted: even evidence to the contrary is taken by the conspiracy theorist to support the notion that an extremely powerful conspiracy is at work, that just has fabricated this evidence.
Conspiracy theorists usually reject only some kinds of evidence, those they think could have been falsified by members of the conspiracy. But there's still many kinds of evidence that they accept, most notably "scientific" evidence. -- Taw
"All green things are green" is not a good argument, given that philosophy of language people have "grue" and "bleen". A scientist observing a "grue" item would agree that it is green, until it transforms. GregLindahl [ The article now talks a bunch about Quine, who is the philosopher of language in question. ]
Do we agree that the concept of falsifiablity is crucial to the definition of a conspiracy theory? It seems to me that the term 'conspiracy theorist' is a POV one that is used by people who are trying to discredit someone elses theories. We think them wildly unlikely, and we are frustrated that they demand a standard of proof that we think is unnecessary or difficult to achieve. Therefore a conspiracy theory is something that a conspiracy theorist believes. I don't think that in practice it is possible to distinguish between a theory which is falsifiable and one that is not (except in the most simple of cases) certainly few modern scientific theories, political theories or theories of social behaviour are easily falsifiable. 2toise 15:53, 6 Nov 2003 (UTC)
No definition for 'falsifiable' or 'falsifiability' given here, only a list of things that aren't falsifiable. How can I determine whether ID is falsifiable, if there's no definition here? Ed Poor
Thanks, Wesley. Now how do work that definition into the body of the article? It's pertinent to reams of talk about Creationism and Evolution. Ed Poor
Um, you don't get it. Everyone would agree that "Argon dating is accurate" is a falsifiable statement. GregLindahl
Moved here to /Talk until we decide whether this is or isn't an example of falsifiability.
"For example, before the 1960s, there was no way to disprove the proposition that there were little green men living on the other side of the moon. So it wasn't considered a scientific hypothesis. When it became possible to examine the moon closely with spacecraft-mounted cameras, the proposition gained falsifiability, because there was a way to disprove it. Alas, the "moon men" hypothesis's viability lasted only a short time, as an exhaustive photographic survey of the moon showed no evidence of life on the moon."
The Little Green Man example is poor; we knew in the 1960s that eventually we would be able to prove whether or not LGMs lived on the back side of the Moon. Unfalsifiability is generally reserved for things which are considered to NEVER be falsifiable. Again, reading a book about the philosophy and history of science is probably a better way of learning about this topic... much better than giving incorrect examples all over Wikipedia. GregLindahl
Re your "Moon man" example: No, I think that's wrong. The idea is that if something is in principle unfalsifiable, then it isn't Science. I.e., "Are there little green men on the moon?" "Go check." "But it's far." "Well, build a rocket or something." -- in theory we can imagine a check or test of our hypothesis.
But something like "God created the Universe ten minutes ago exactly as we see it, including our memories" is an "airtight" hypothesis, no way to disprove, and not Science, by definition.
The theory of evolution as generally taught. It is not falsifiable, because it claims that God has nothing to do with the appearance of new species of life. There is no way to falsify this claim (as it is dependent upon an unfalsifiable premise), so it's not a scientific hypothesis, only a philosophical conjecture. People who claim to be scientists can make unscientific (and unfalsifiable) claims.
I disagree. The theory of evolution does not claim that God has nothing to do with the appearance of new species of life. It's quite possible that God saw evolution as a nice quick way of creating a stable ecosystem from basic components without creating each in turn. After all - it's the original genetic algorithm! And nothing stops God from carefully fiddling about with a pile of carbon atoms in deepest darkest Africa and creating something new.
So lets jettison the 'God' argument, and reduce this to the statement "Darwin's Theory of Evolution is non-falsifiable". At the present moment in time, there is no way in which we can go back in time and watch evolution take place. So at the moment it is unfalsifiable. However, in a billion years time (when we'll all be getting worried about the sun going red giant on us) there will be 1000 million years of data to look back on. If no new species arise, then patently it is false; if radically different species (ie: unrelated species) arise, then patently it is false; if we see evolution occurring then it appears to be true. At this point, it can be falsified.
It should be pointed out that the theory of evolution has a major caveat in it's title: it is a theory, not a proof. Theories are by definition unproven, and for all science (excepting the man-made sciences such as Mathematics) nothing can be conclusively proven. The best that can be hoped for is this: the theory must make a prediction prior to the making of an experiment, and must agree with all future experiments in this field. Darwin's theory of evolution does this (just) - therefore it is falsifiable. Given (lots of) time.
However, there are no other theories (by the definition of making a prediction) about how the species evolve (or, at least, I haven't heard of them). So the theory of evolution is the best working theory so far.
(Also, it might be a good example to put a good example of a scientific theory being found false, and how it could have been considered falsifiable before the evidence to the contrary: Newton's laws of motion might be a good choice.)
Please let me know at my name page if you add to this conversation.
Natural selection can also be falsified without the wait, as even though speciation takes a long time, you can still witness the various stages of the process in different species. Plus the theory makes some predictions about the fossil record that one could go back and check, though I suppose these are more for checking gradual evolution than any particular mechanism. A historically important alternative to Darwin was Lamarck, which claimed that organisms aquire new traits through practice and then pass these on to their offspring. A step in the right direction, proved incorrect.
I restored the point about a theory as taught, (with an added explanation) since it was bringing in a different aspect of unfalsifiability not mentioned in the other points listed. I also added two more points, (one from /talk) about what is involved in unfalsifiabilty.
I removed this because it is either false or redundant:
If by "as taught", you mean that most teachers of evolution explicitly teach the non-existence of God, this is false. And even if it were true, the first example here already points out that both the existence and non-existence of God are nonfalsifiable, so it is redundant. --LDC
I'm glad you have lived in a world where teachers of evolution do not teach the non-existence of God. I, however, would like to see evidence other than your simple statement that this world really exists. My experience certainly differs from yours, and feel the item should be included in this article. -- BenBaker
I am placing this item back into Falsifiability. It is pointing out that unfalisfiability is transitive, and brings up the proper point that just because something is taught doesn't mean that it is falsifiable. I would be happy to edit it to include a different example if Lee provides one, but this example, in my experience, is one that has maximual impact on the reader, and thus is appropriate for an encyclopedia.
It seems to me that the inclusion in Falsifiability of an example about evolution being unfalsifiable is in irreconcible conflict with the (scientific) criticism of Intelligent Design, Creationism, or whatever we're going to wind up calling it.
I'd like to see wiser heads than mine come up with a definition that enables the intelligent layman to discern whether a given hypothesis is falsifiable and thus entitiled to status as a "scientific" hypothesis.
-- Ed Poor
Ben, I undid some of your changes: they're certainly not wrong, and I see why you might want to include them for rigor, but I don't think this particular article is the place for that. This is a high-level overview of what is really a very simple concept, and I think it's important to keep the examples simple and straightforward. I also think it's reasonable to group the falisifiable one into things like "physics" and "evolution"; otherwise there will be hundreds of them. --LDC
I also removed:
While it certainly qualifies, it's not important enough to even merit being a bad example. Let's keep this explanation simple and the examples common, everyday things that people can relate to. --LDC
I don't know a better article for it, and think it is specious to create one just because you don't like to see them. I certainly don't agree the two explanations should be summarily deleted. I think if one looks in an encyclopedia for an article on a simple subject, the writers have an obligation to treat all aspects carefully and not avoid to bring up views or ideas because they are complex. (although I don't consider either of these to be complex, and am confused by who Ed Poor is agreeing with, unless he is using subtle sarcasm.)
As I said before, each of these were placed in the article for particular purposes. You agreed the purposes are appropriate (I think), but you deleted them anyway. I agreed I would not re-edit if you should have better examples that fulfilled the purposes discussed. You did not. You simply deleted them. To my knowledge, this means I am required by intellectual honesty and forthrightness to replace them in the article. Please show me that I am wrong if you disagree. -- BenBaker
I'm not sure what you're arguing about here: the changes I made were mostly to simplify the prose of sections that remain here (you put in some parentheticals that weren't relaly necessary, and that obscure the main point). That's mainly an issue of writing style. The only things I removed were not things I thought you put in. They were (1) The reciprocal system, for the reason I note above (no one has heard of it, it doesn't deserve to be even a bad example, and it provides no information on the subject that isn't already here); and (2) the "evolution as generally taught" example, because it is clearly false. If you think either of those does belong here, please explain why. --LDC
I'm always fighting for the underdog's right to be heard, as long as they state it clearly. Hence my support for paragraphs I didn't write. That said, I have explained why I think those two items should be included. I will try again, but briefly, as I think you can scroll back and re-read my previous points.
1) Teaching science as dogma is not good. Falsifiability is essential to a proper understanding of the scientific method. Even if the theory is one that someone may have evidence to support, (such as the Theory of Evolution).
2) non-Falsifiability is transitive. A theory dependent upon a non-falsifiable theory is also non-falsifiable.
3) Falsifiablity requires a clear, unambiguous formulation, such as that provided by mathematics. The Reciprocal System of Theory (which I had not heard of prior to today) is an example of such a formulation.
4) The teaching science example is NOT false, in my experience.
RE: It seems to me that you have an axe to grind about evolution, and not about falsifiability. I would agree that for all intents and purposes, evolution is non-falsifiable, however, it doesn't really matter how evolution is taught at school, as long as people get the idea that it is at least questionable as to whether or not we can falsify evolution. As I play the devil's advocate here: the idea that we will have 1000 million years to study life on this planet is non-falsifiable, and as you have said, falsifiability is transitive.
I think we could argue about evolution for pages and not contribute to anyone's understanding of falsifiability. In my view it would be best to say that any scientific theory involving God would be unfalsifiable, including any theory that denied his existence. That covers both sides, and is the most accurate. Questions of evolutions falsifiability would do very well on the theory of evolution page.
Since I'm being such a curmudgeon, I'd like to leaven this with the fact that this article did contribute to my understanding of the basic idea, as well as some of the extensions of this idea by various philosophers.
On a different note, should the different sub-theories of the Theory of Evolution be lumped into one paragraph ? I think they are distinct, and should be able to stand on their own as falsifiable or non-falsifiable. I appreciate the wikifying to RNA and proteins, btw. I simply argue that it is actions like these that promote the idea that there is a single monolithic Theory of Evolution, rather than a dynamic constellation of theories all elaborating different aspects of the subject. -- BenBaker
--- I await your (LDC or other's) work on finding alternate examples. I do think that some examples should be provided. I don't agree that if you don't like the examples, that the points should not be made. My understanding of intellectually honesty requires that I provide information about a topic that I know is relevant to it. -- BenBaker Btw, I'm glad Ed thinks the article is shaping up.
There are some paragraphs now that try to address my concerns with this article. I'm glad of that. The Ten-minute-ago universe has been deleted. I don't know why. The supernatural creation of the universe is still there, but I don't think the Omphalos theory is the same as the ten-minute-ago, since it can easily be misinterpreted as the supernatural nature is what is unfalsifiable, not the sudden creation that is unfalsifiable.
On the issue of things that are falsifiable, I'd like to hear the input of others would consider the following situation to show the existence of God as falsifiable.
Since God is omnipotent, if God wanted to make his existence incontrovertible, he could simply answer any question of his existence whenever it occurs. Every experiment that could show he didn't exist would fail and every one that could show he does exist would succeed. Note that this is not based the bare facts of the experiment, but would need to be "reading the heart or intent" of the experimentor. Now in my opinion, a world in which God did this would be drastically different from the world we live in. Free Will would mean the choice to follow God, rather than to believe whether God exists. Now if that world did exist, would the existence of God be falsifiable or would it just be proved?
Can the article distinguish between things that "can't be tested now" because we (1) don't know how or (2) think we never will be able to, as opposed to (3) matters which are logically or philosophically impossible to test?
I want to know this, because it has a direct bearing on the Creationism debate. ID's status as scientific or unscientific depends mainly on falsifiability, so a clear definition will help me. Um, can I motivate you by promising not to "vandalize" the evolution and creationism pages (wink)? -- Ed Poor
That sounds like a distinction worth making. I'll think about how to do that. --LDC
I removed this from the article, because what we really need, I suppose, is a discussion of the various views about the falsifiability of the theory of evolution and of creationism. Giving one as an example of an unfalsifiable theory and the otehr as an example of a falsifiable theory just won't do: it really is NPOV.
I removed this too; I don't see what the point of it is, and it sounds quite possible controversial to me (sounds like a topic a philosopher of science might write some dry journal article about).
I removed this. It is totally controversial whether the existence of God is not falsifiable.
Yeah, but so what? Why are we saying this in an article about falsifiability? If you want to describe the controversy between evolutionary theory and creationism, do so explicitly. Don't use this article as a platform to state platitudes that are supposed to persuade people of your views.
The above strikes me as original research, not as a statement of what is generally known and believed about evolutionary psychology. I.e., not neutral point of view.
I've never heard of such a thing as "degrees of falsifiability."
And here we've got a lot of talk about what hypotheses are superior to others because they're falsifiable. I would like to have a source for this stuff. -- LMS
Somebody could do this article (as well as scientific method) a great service by finding an actual philosopher of science to spruce it up. The article as it stood was pretty appalling--it still is nowhere near being something I'd want other philosophers to look at, but it least it doesn't contain any obviously bad mistakes, as the earlier version did. -- LMS
Great rewrite Larry. This subject probably does deserve a more rigorous treatment from a serious philosopher, and the history is certainly worthwhile. The falsifiability of modern evolutionary theories probably does deserve an article of its own, and there is certainly some contention there even among scientists. The transitivity comment seemed to me to be bloody obvious and not that useful, but it seemed important to someone else, so I was being diplomatic. I agree the article is better without it.
While you may be right that academic philosophers do not use the term "degrees of falsifiability", Popper specifically did, and proposed a related measure he called verisimilitude, even going so far as to offer mathematical inequalities for comparing the verisimiltude of various statements.
It is very common for working scientists to rate one hypothesis as "superior" to another on grounds of testability--that's mentioned all the time in journal articles.
But then working scientists aren't generally philosophers of science. I do think that a philosophy of science actually used by working scientists (whether or not they recognize it as such) is worth mentioning here; if philosophers don't mention it, then they've simply missed it.
I also think some of the examples you removed, while perhaps not commonly used by philosophers (perhaps because they aren't that controversial or interesting), may give a better understanding of the field to a layman. I'd rather annoy a few philosophers with trivialities or redundancies than risk confusing our lay audience in our zeal for philosophical rigor. I realize that "popularizer" is someting of an epithet among both philosophers and scientists, but I wear the label proudly. :-) --LDC
Merged earlier more concise version with LMS's rewrite. Most Wikipedia users are not seeking philosophy degrees and would benefit from less-technical treatment.
-- Larry, I agree with your last sentence, plus:
Ick. Your merge is much worse than either of the previous versions; it's redundant, disorganized; a mere patching together of two reasonable versions into a mess. I reverted to Larry's version. It is clean, to the point, and well written. My point above is merely an attempt to suggest that maybe Larry's version could be tweaked a bit, not to suggest the earlier version was better--Larry was basically right, the earlier version isn't worth saving in that form. While I agree that what we really want is a serious philosopher of science who can write well, Daniel Dennett and Richard Dawkins don't hang around here much, so we'll have to settle for me and Larry and the rest of the crew. But the article as it is now is quite good, and I don't think major changes should be made to it.
I also don't think it's appropriate for anonymous users to make major changes in articles that have already undergone considerable discussion and revision by regulars (actually, I don't think anonymous edits should be allowed at all, but that's a different story). If you really think the article still needs work, tell us who you are and what you think is wrong, and discuss it here as we've been doing. --LDC
Someone tried to mention "lax in application" in the body of the article, but (as I've recently learned) such remarks belong in /Talk.
Just my 2¢. -- Ed Poor
I would like to have some information about Ayer and especially have a quote. The language of the sentence citing him seems to be a bit odd, probably the sentence is just to terse.
The paragraph in question: Ayer and many others influenced by the logical empiricists have held that claims about morality (such as "murder is evil" and "John was wrong to steal that money") are also not falsifiable and hence strictly meaningless and not part of scientific inquiry (See also non-cognitivism).
'Strictly meaningless' here probably means : 'not a topic of science'
-- Hannes Hirzel
I replaced it yet again. It is'; what Ayer said, and is a very common topic of even elementary philosophy courses. I'll look for a quote, but in the meantime, don't delete it just because you don't understand it--educate yourself in the topic before you edit an article that many people have spent a considerable amount of time, effort, and education on. I may think of a way to reword it if I can't find a quote, or I may not, because it's really quite clear and accurate exactly as it is. Even better, you might do the research yourself to expand the A. J. Ayer article. --LDC
Here's a quote from Ayer's Language, Truth and Logic (1936): Saying that an act is immoral, he says, is like saying it "in a peculiar tone of horror, or writing it with the addition of some special exclamation marks [which] adds nothing to the literal meaning of the sentence. It merely serves to show that the expression of it is attended by certain feelings in the speaker".
I don't think this should be included in the article itself (it belongs in the article on non-cognitivism), but it might help make the meaning of the sentence here clearer.
I'd say it's simply a matter of interpretation, and indeed a controversial one, to say that Ayer thought moral statements were meaningless. We don't need to say that, anyway. It is not as though they have no function in language, on his view; but they are not fact-stating. So, I guess, the only ground on which we could say that he thought moral statements are meaningless is that only fact-stating claims are, "strictly speaking," meaningful. Perhaps Ayer would want to say that--I don't know--but certainly there are plenty of people who think that reference to other speech acts than the "locutionary act" (the act of stating alleged facts, more or less) is necessary to give a full account of meaning, meaning that meaning and thus meaningfulness involves more than just stating facts. On that view, it would be misleading to say that Ayer thought moral statements are meaningless; though I did add "strictly speaking," this was a confusing oversimplification, it seems. -- LMS
Good article. Could use some linkage to foundation ontology and some notion of reasonable method, feasible method, or whatever the hell we call that debate.
Would be amusing seeing the author try to answer the objection "infrastructure" - three Popper scholars have so far failed...:-)
Those are not topics discussed by real working philosophers (or at least I don't believe they are--Larry's the one to ask), so I don't know if they really belong here. I have no idea what that second sentence of yours refers to. --LDC
I don't know what a "real working philosopher" is. For "foundation ontology" start somewhere around here http://citeseer.nj.nec.com/454539.html "Philosophy cannot become", etc.
An extremely blunt way of stating the position of theologians and ontologists is that philosphers (other than body philosophers) and quite possibly general relativity believers and particle physics believers are blathering a bunch of ungrounded nonsense.
Some would say that their conclusions are based on the infrastructure they use to test it, and nothing else.
Falsifiability w.r.t. human cognition is just that - w.r.t. human cognition. George Lakoff takes the most extreme position on this.
That's the bluntest quickest summary of the body philosophers that has ever been written. ;-)
Yes, actually, that is clearer--thanks. Lakoff is as interesting fellow. Since I study linguistics, I made myself stay awake through Women. Fire, and Dangerous Things and Metaphors We Live By (he can't write either--I can read Steven Pinker all day, but reading Lakoff is cruel and unusual punishment). He's got some interesting ideas, but they are certainly bleeding-edge, unconventional, and original, so they probably don't belong in rank-and-file encyclopedia articles. Of course, Lakoff is important and respected enough that there should be articles about him and his ideas, specifically credited as his ideas. --LDC
I wouldn't mix Lakoff's views up with anything widely held in any of the movements that he is part of. If it's Lakoff, believe me, it stands out. ;-)
This "isomorphism is just metaphor" argument he makes is hard for anyone with a math degree to swallow, but cognitive science of mathematics seems to have been swallowed by lots of real notables. It's not a refutation of falsifiability, but it sure shoves a few serious hurdles in the way of Popper's "universe telling you you're wrong".
The body philosophers entry tries to put Lakoff in context, a bit, or at least throw him in a pile, and maybe helps explain why his "unconventional" views aren't running into more resistance... the po-mos have had a long time to lay the groundwork, and the cogscis and greens have been working on this general underpinning of math as objective... slowly wearing it away.
The default view seems to be that falsifiability within one ecoregion is defensible... but not across say the Continental Divide... even counting becomes questionable. If I have a bunch of some bacteria and I stand right on the Divide, and drop one on each side, and they go downstream to the Pacific and Atlantic respectively, I get two radically different effects... so it becomes "not reasonable" to say that there are two of one 'type of' thing... rather there are two different types...
All of that ties into an economic critique of commodity (which is widely criticized) and product (which is less widely criticized) and seems to back the body philosopher's idea that everything is some kind of action or the green economist's idea that everything is some kind of service... there are connections between these views but only clearly in the bioregional_democracy concept.
Beyond that, there's this wacky divergence of views... as the theory predicts. Quite interesting.
Pinker's stuff on ir/regular verbs is probably next to leave the realm of the flaky... it's on the edge. You might wanna take a stab at it.
Falsifiability has also been importantly connected not only with meaningfulness but also with scientific method: Karl Popper, for example, stressed that falsifiability is critical to the scientific method...
This does not ring true at all. Although Popper's title at LSE was 'Professor of logic and scientific method', he was well known for starting lectures by expressing his belief that there is no such thing as the scientific method. And isn't there a quote from him somewhere, "I maintain there exists no scientific method...". --Chris
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The remark about conspiracy theory should mention that the typical alternative to conspiratorial explanations - that the phenomenon under consideration is the result of accident or chance - is also not falsifiable. Any pattern could in principle be the product of chance, so there is no event that one could not attribute to accident. That, after all, is what Popper was grappling with. How can science prove the patterns it finds by observation have wider validity? Ultimately, it cannot. But science was in a stronger position than its doubters because it could generate testable predictions and make a provisional claim to truth based on them. Theories of history or politics of any sort will fail to consistently generate correct predictions. They lack the scientist's ability to run controlled experiments and isolate variables, for one thing. We recognize this, and don't ordinarily require such predictions from them. But in this respect, conspiracy theories are no different than the others.
Alternatively, the paragraph should just be deleted; it is a tangent anyway.
"In a strict Popperian sense, no known theories of history or politics are falsifiable since none reliably generate unambiguous, testable, non-trivial, and correct predictions. Therefore, the problem is not specific to conspiracy theory, but intrinsic in attempts to understand scientifically situations where variables cannot be isolated. On this basis, Popper himself argued that neither Marxism nor psychoanalysis were science, although both made such claims. This does not mean, however, that any of these types of theories are necessarily invalid. Popper considered falsifiability a test of whether theories are scientific, not of whether theories are valid."
Is this correct? My understanding is that Popper distinguished between Marxism as propounded by Marx, and the vulgar Marxism of many of his followers. Marx's theory is both falsifiable and falsified. For example, Marx predicted that the prolatarian revolution would happen in the industrialised nations. In fact in took place in agrecultural Russia. -- Daran 04:54, 24 Sep 2003 (UTC)
I've adding a more detailed account of the logic of falsification. The strength of falsificationism comes from the fact that, unlike inductivism, the logical argument upon which it is based is valid. Critiques of falsificationism do not call this validity into question, but instead draw attention to the ways in which a scientist is drawn to agree with an existential or a universal statement. In the case of Kuhn, the critique is that scientists simply do not work in the way Popper describes. In the case of Feyerabend, the critique is that if scientists were to work using only falsification, science would ossify. Banno 07:30, 1 Oct 2003 (UTC)
I’ve added headings to this increasingly cumbersome article. Hopefully this will provide a basis for a more complete look at the topic.
I’ve also included a more extensive discussion of Popper – his view was more sophisticated than the one represented here. This included removing some of the references to logical empiricism and Quine – I think that these criticisms of naïve falsificationism are better covered by Popper.
I’ve added the criticisms from Kuhn, Lakatos and Feyerabend.
Since Falsificationism (as opposed to falsifiability) is a political position, it seems appropriate to discuss it in more political terms.
Banno 00:33, 6 Oct 2003 (UTC)
"Uncircumcised existential statements"?
This assertion is incorrect:
Pretty much that whole section is based on a false assumption: falsificationism was more of a response to logical positivism's verificationism or confirmationism, NOT induction. B 02:17, Dec 8, 2003 (UTC)
While falsifiability has some problems, it has been widely accepted as a better alternative to verificationism. It is not widely accepted that Popper's two central theses in LSD (the hypothetico-deductive method and falsifiability) repudiate or resolve the problem of induction. To most scientists and philosophers of science, Popper never resolves the "problem of induction". Popper does a good job of advocating the role that intuition or imagination plays in the scientific method, but his hypothetico-deductive thesis is problematic. Knowledge and all of science rely on the principle of the uniformity of nature which is....inductive...there is just no way around it. B 16:59, Dec 8, 2003 (UTC)
I wouldn't say "Induction remains logically invalid" because induction isn't based on logic which is why many philosophers say that "inductive logic" is a misnomer. Deduction is logical, but induction is non-logical. At any rate, I do agree with your conclusion that "science cannot be given a logical justification using induction", but that is because induction is non-logical.
I don't know that I would say "falsifiability is logically valid" either. But pragmatically, falsifiability is necessary, but by itself, insufficient for the advancement of science (or of knowledge in general) because it's problematic at least in part for the reasons a & b which you state. Pragmatically, the principal of parismony (or Occam's Razor) is also necessary because it helps avoid ad hoc theory modification recognized by the Quine-Duhem thesis, but it is also problematic.
I don't think science has any special status or exclusivity, but it (like any foundation of knowledge) flounders along because of the problem of induction (let alone cultural bias). There is no justification for the uniformity of nature of induction except pragmatically, and IMO there will never be a theory that justifies them. To me that means knowledge in the strong sense of a justified, true belief is not possible.
I'll leave the clarifying in the article to you. As you know, it's a lot harder to write a clear article than it is to criticize it! hahaha...I doubledog dare you to write some more. BTW, it's nice to have another wikipedian with some background in the philosophy of science. You've already helped inform my understanding significantly. B 20:31, Dec 8, 2003 (UTC)