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Reference 1 - CIA pdf article Chapter 8
Say something about:- Richard Heuer; give the eight step approach; find a definition of 'prescient intelligence analysis' and compare; talk about the Bayesian aspect of the reasoning; talk about where it could be useful in the public domain for eg analysis of 9/11, London bombing, Bologna train bombing; talk about the possibility of a wiki that can collate this process where everyone can contribute;
Note: His name was Richards Heuer, not Richard Heuer.
This topic is covered extensively in intelligence analysis. Howard C. Berkowitz 02:26, 31 October 2007 (UTC)
Needed topic: Analysis of competing hypotheses - counterdeception (ACH-CD) {{subst:unsiged|65.122.202.206}}
There is a Wikipedia principle, with which I've had my own problems, that articles should not read as if they were instruction manuals. Right now, the eight-step process reads much like one, or a paraphrase of Heuer's work.
For this to be a real contribution, the eight steps could stay, but they need to transform from instructions to compare-and-contrast with other methods. For example, a given point could be supplemented with a description of a related statistical technique; there are quite a few relevant hypothesis formation and results evaluation in clinical medicine.
Howard C. Berkowitz ( talk) 20:56, 30 April 2008 (UTC)
I am not familiar with with the ACH matrix or SACH matrix beyond the intelligence community, so I won't speak to those points, but I will expand SACH.
McCollum ( talk) 30 April 2008 —Preceding comment was added at 21:57, 30 April 2008 (UTC)
McCollum ( talk) —Preceding comment was added at 22:24, 30 April 2008 (UTC)
It would appear that SSS Research is no longer in business: thincSoft Acquires Intellectual Property of SSS Research
The company doesn't appear to have done much in the way of advancing ACH. I would therefore question the relevancy of SSS Research to this article on ACH, other than perhaps as an interesting footnote. —Preceding unsigned comment added by Mike.wilmoth ( talk • contribs) 01:49, 3 June 2010 (UTC)
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![]() | This article was nominated for deletion on 8 Sept. 2006. The result of the discussion was no consensus. |
![]() | This article is rated Start-class on Wikipedia's
content assessment scale. It is of interest to the following WikiProjects: | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
![]() | This article is currently the subject of an educational assignment. |
Reference 1 - CIA pdf article Chapter 8
Say something about:- Richard Heuer; give the eight step approach; find a definition of 'prescient intelligence analysis' and compare; talk about the Bayesian aspect of the reasoning; talk about where it could be useful in the public domain for eg analysis of 9/11, London bombing, Bologna train bombing; talk about the possibility of a wiki that can collate this process where everyone can contribute;
Note: His name was Richards Heuer, not Richard Heuer.
This topic is covered extensively in intelligence analysis. Howard C. Berkowitz 02:26, 31 October 2007 (UTC)
Needed topic: Analysis of competing hypotheses - counterdeception (ACH-CD) {{subst:unsiged|65.122.202.206}}
There is a Wikipedia principle, with which I've had my own problems, that articles should not read as if they were instruction manuals. Right now, the eight-step process reads much like one, or a paraphrase of Heuer's work.
For this to be a real contribution, the eight steps could stay, but they need to transform from instructions to compare-and-contrast with other methods. For example, a given point could be supplemented with a description of a related statistical technique; there are quite a few relevant hypothesis formation and results evaluation in clinical medicine.
Howard C. Berkowitz ( talk) 20:56, 30 April 2008 (UTC)
I am not familiar with with the ACH matrix or SACH matrix beyond the intelligence community, so I won't speak to those points, but I will expand SACH.
McCollum ( talk) 30 April 2008 —Preceding comment was added at 21:57, 30 April 2008 (UTC)
McCollum ( talk) —Preceding comment was added at 22:24, 30 April 2008 (UTC)
It would appear that SSS Research is no longer in business: thincSoft Acquires Intellectual Property of SSS Research
The company doesn't appear to have done much in the way of advancing ACH. I would therefore question the relevancy of SSS Research to this article on ACH, other than perhaps as an interesting footnote. —Preceding unsigned comment added by Mike.wilmoth ( talk • contribs) 01:49, 3 June 2010 (UTC)
Hello fellow Wikipedians,
I have just added archive links to one external link on
Analysis of competing hypotheses. Please take a moment to review
my edit. If necessary, add {{
cbignore}}
after the link to keep me from modifying it. Alternatively, you can add {{
nobots|deny=InternetArchiveBot}}
to keep me off the page altogether. I made the following changes:
When you have finished reviewing my changes, please set the checked parameter below to true to let others know.
An editor has reviewed this edit and fixed any errors that were found.
Cheers.— cyberbot II Talk to my owner:Online 03:48, 17 January 2016 (UTC)