PhotosBiographyFacebookTwitter

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
Roy Amara
Amara circa 1980
Born
Roy Charles Amara

(1925-04-07)7 April 1925
Died31 December 2007(2007-12-31) (aged 82)
NationalityAmerican
Education MIT, Harvard, Stanford
Alma mater Stanford
Known forAmara's law
Spouse
Margaret Frances Terestre
( m. 1949)
Children3
Scientific career
FieldsFuturism
Institutions SRI International, IFTF

Roy Charles Amara (7 April 1925 [1] – 31 December 2007 [2]) was an American researcher, scientist, futurist [3] and president of the Institute for the Future best known for coining Amara's law on the effect of technology. He held a BS in Management, an MS in the Arts and Sciences, and a PhD in Systems Engineering, [4] and also worked at the Stanford Research Institute.

Amara's law

His adage about forecasting the effects of technology has become known as Amara's law and states:

We tend to overestimate the effect of a technology in the short run and underestimate the effect in the long run. [5] [6] [7]

The law has been used in explaining nanotechnology. [8]

Selected bibliography

Books

  • Amara, Roy; Boucher, Wayne I. (1977). National Science Foundation (ed.). The study of the future: an agenda for research. Washington, D.C.: General Post Office. OCLC  3200105.
  • Amara, Roy; Lipinski, Andrew J. (1983). Business planning for an uncertain future: scenarios & strategies. New York: Pergamon Press. ISBN  9780080275451.
  • Amara, Roy; Morrison, J. Ian; Schmid, Gregory (1988). Looking ahead at American health care. Washington, D.C.: McGraw-Hill, Healthcare Information Center. ISBN  9780070013841.
  • Amara, Roy; Institute for the future (2003). Health and health care 2010: the forecast, the challenge (2nd ed.). Hoboken, New Jersey: John Wiley & Sons. ISBN  9780470932513.

Reports

References

  1. ^ "Amara, Roy". Library of Congress. Retrieved 18 February 2015. data sheet (Amara, Roy Charles, b. 4/7/25)
  2. ^ Pescovitz, David (3 January 2008). "Roy Amara, forecaster, RIP". BoingBoing. Retrieved 18 February 2015.
  3. ^ Four Geeky Laws That Rule Our World
  4. ^ "Roy Amara (biography)". University of Arizona: Anticipating the future (course), Futures Thinkers. Retrieved 18 February 2015.
  5. ^ Susan Ratcliffe, ed. (2016). "Roy Amara 1925–2007, American futurologist". Oxford Essential Quotations. Vol. 1 (4th ed.). Oxford University Press. doi: 10.1093/acref/9780191826719.001.0001.
  6. ^ "Encyclopedia: Definition of: Amara's law". PC Magazine. Retrieved 18 February 2015.
  7. ^ Doc Searls (2012). The Intention Economy: When Customers Take Charge. Harvard Business Press. p.  257. ISBN  978-1-4221-5852-4.
  8. ^ Context
  9. ^ Roy Amara at DBLP bibliography


From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
Roy Amara
Amara circa 1980
Born
Roy Charles Amara

(1925-04-07)7 April 1925
Died31 December 2007(2007-12-31) (aged 82)
NationalityAmerican
Education MIT, Harvard, Stanford
Alma mater Stanford
Known forAmara's law
Spouse
Margaret Frances Terestre
( m. 1949)
Children3
Scientific career
FieldsFuturism
Institutions SRI International, IFTF

Roy Charles Amara (7 April 1925 [1] – 31 December 2007 [2]) was an American researcher, scientist, futurist [3] and president of the Institute for the Future best known for coining Amara's law on the effect of technology. He held a BS in Management, an MS in the Arts and Sciences, and a PhD in Systems Engineering, [4] and also worked at the Stanford Research Institute.

Amara's law

His adage about forecasting the effects of technology has become known as Amara's law and states:

We tend to overestimate the effect of a technology in the short run and underestimate the effect in the long run. [5] [6] [7]

The law has been used in explaining nanotechnology. [8]

Selected bibliography

Books

  • Amara, Roy; Boucher, Wayne I. (1977). National Science Foundation (ed.). The study of the future: an agenda for research. Washington, D.C.: General Post Office. OCLC  3200105.
  • Amara, Roy; Lipinski, Andrew J. (1983). Business planning for an uncertain future: scenarios & strategies. New York: Pergamon Press. ISBN  9780080275451.
  • Amara, Roy; Morrison, J. Ian; Schmid, Gregory (1988). Looking ahead at American health care. Washington, D.C.: McGraw-Hill, Healthcare Information Center. ISBN  9780070013841.
  • Amara, Roy; Institute for the future (2003). Health and health care 2010: the forecast, the challenge (2nd ed.). Hoboken, New Jersey: John Wiley & Sons. ISBN  9780470932513.

Reports

References

  1. ^ "Amara, Roy". Library of Congress. Retrieved 18 February 2015. data sheet (Amara, Roy Charles, b. 4/7/25)
  2. ^ Pescovitz, David (3 January 2008). "Roy Amara, forecaster, RIP". BoingBoing. Retrieved 18 February 2015.
  3. ^ Four Geeky Laws That Rule Our World
  4. ^ "Roy Amara (biography)". University of Arizona: Anticipating the future (course), Futures Thinkers. Retrieved 18 February 2015.
  5. ^ Susan Ratcliffe, ed. (2016). "Roy Amara 1925–2007, American futurologist". Oxford Essential Quotations. Vol. 1 (4th ed.). Oxford University Press. doi: 10.1093/acref/9780191826719.001.0001.
  6. ^ "Encyclopedia: Definition of: Amara's law". PC Magazine. Retrieved 18 February 2015.
  7. ^ Doc Searls (2012). The Intention Economy: When Customers Take Charge. Harvard Business Press. p.  257. ISBN  978-1-4221-5852-4.
  8. ^ Context
  9. ^ Roy Amara at DBLP bibliography



Videos

Youtube | Vimeo | Bing

Websites

Google | Yahoo | Bing

Encyclopedia

Google | Yahoo | Bing

Facebook