In the run-up to the 2022 Latvian parliamentary election, various organisations carried out opinion polling to gauge voting intentions in Latvia. Results of such polls are displayed in this list.
The date range for these opinion polls are from the 2018 Latvian parliamentary election, held on 6 October, to the present day. The next election was held on 1 October 2022. Poll results are listed in the table below in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first.
The following are opinion polls conducted for the parliamentary election, measuring the estimated percentage of the vote. Parties in bold successfully pass the 5% electoral threshold to win seats in the Saeima, and the highlighted party is in the lead.
Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
Dec. | S | AL | K | AP! | NA | ZZS | JV | AS | LKS | P | KuK | LPV | R | S! | SV | TVS | TKL | KPP | VL | Lead | Gov. | Opp. |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
LTV/SKDS [1] (exit poll) | 1 Oct 2022 | 1,825 | - | 3.5 | 0.3 | 3.5 | 5.2 | 8.4 | 10.9 | 22.5 | 11.5 | 3.2 | 8.3 | 2.8 | 5.3 | 1.6 | 5.4 | 2.3 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 10.0 | 39.6 | 58.0 |
SKDS [2] | Sep 2022 | 1,825 | - | 7.3 | 0.3 | 3.3 | 5.2 | 11.3 | 11.6 | 21.4 | 8.4 | 4.0 | 7.6 | 4.3 | 4.3 | 1.7 | 4.1 | 2.4 | 0.8 | 1.4 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 9.8 | 41.2 | 58.8 |
Factum [3] | 15–20 Sep 2022 | 1,406 | 51.3 | 8.0 | 0.3 | 4.6 | 6.3 | 9.3 | 7.0 | 22.6 | 9.0 | 4.8 | 8.8 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 6.2 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 13.3 | 42.8 | 57.2 |
Factum [4] | 4–6 Sep 2022 | 1,406 | 51.2 | 9.0 | 0.3 | 4.7 | 6.9 | 10.2 | 7.5 | 21.9 | 9.2 | 5.2 | 7.3 | 3.3 | 4.8 | 1.1 | 5.8 | 1.4 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 11.7 | 43.7 | 56.3 |
SKDS [5] | Aug 2022 | 1,848 | - | 9.5 | 4.7 | 7.9 | 12.6 | 10.1 | 15.1 | 7.8 | 4.6 | 8.8 | 3.7 | 3.5 | 5.5 | 2.1 | 2.5 | 40.3 | 59.7 | ||||||
Factum [6] | 16–21 Aug 2022 | 1,071 | - | 9.2 | 0.4 | 5.1 | 8.8 | 10.8 | 8.6 | 20.7 | 8.4 | 4.2 | 7.5 | 1.7 | 4.8 | 1.2 | 6.6 | 1.1 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 9.9 | 45.4 | 54.6 |
Factum [7] | 3–7 Aug 2022 | 878 | - | 10.9 | 0.2 | 5.9 | 9.4 | 10.5 | 7.7 | 21.0 | 7.7 | 3.5 | 6.3 | 2.2 | 4.5 | 1.7 | 6.1 | 1.4 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 10.1 | 46.8 | 53 |
The Central Electoral Commission registers the 19 electoral lists that will participate in the election |
Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
Dec. | S | PCL/ AL | JKP/ K | AP! | NA | ZZS | JV | LRA/ AS | LKS | P | LuK/ KuK | LPV | R | S! | NST | SV | Others | Lead | Gov. | Opp. |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Factum [8] | 20–24 July 2022 | 1,156 | - | 10.3 | 5.7 | 10.7 | 11.3 | 6.8 | 20.5 | 4.9 | 3.8 | 6.4 | 3.1 | 5.0 | 1.9 | 5.3 | 0.3 | 1.3 | 2.6 | 9.2 | 48.2 | 50.4 | |
SKDS [9] | July 2022 | 1,818 | 60.2 | 10.8 | 4.0 | 9.0 | 13.3 | 7.7 | 15.7 | 5.6 | 5.7 | 8.1 | 4.5 | 5.4 | 2.4 | 5.4 | 1.9 | 0.5 | 2.4 | 42 | 57.5 | ||
Factum [10] | 6–10 July 2022 | 859 | - | 10.6 | 6.2 | 9.0 | 12.3 | 6.5 | 20.3 | 3.6 | 5.5 | 6.8 | 2.2 | 7.5 | 2.5 | 3.2 | 0.3 | 0.9 | 2.9 | 8.0 | 47.8 | 49.3 | |
SKDS [11] | June 2022 | 1,795 | 58.5 | 10.3 | 6.8 | 10.0 | 12.2 | 8.8 | 18.2 | 4.6 | 3.9 | 9.4 | 3.8 | 4.9 | 1.5 | 4.8 | 0.7 | 6.0 | 47.2 | 52 | |||
Factum [12] | 27–31 May 2022 | 1,122 | - | 10.6 | 0.1 | 6.9 | 10.2 | 12.8 | 8.4 | 20.0 | 2.9 | 7.1 | 6.9 | 2.6 | 4.6 | 1.9 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 2.7 | 7.2 | 49.9 | 47 | |
SKDS [13] | 13–24 May 2022 | 1,814 | 57.9 | 11.8 | 0.7 | 5.9 | 9.6 | 15.2 | 9.5 | 17.6 | 5.1 | 4.3 | 7.7 | 2.0 | 3.4 | 1.8 | 4.2 | 1.1 | 2.4 | 48.3 | 50.5 | ||
LZP and LP leave ZZS and form the "United Latvian List" with LRA | |||||||||||||||||||||||
SKDS [14] [15] | 22 April – 2 May 2022 | 1,812 | 59.9 | 10.2 | 0.7 | 4.6 | 7.7 | 14.2 | 12.8 | 18.0 | 3.7 | 4.8 | 7.7 | 4.1 | 5.3 | 3.0 | 2.5 | 0.7 | 3.8 | 44.5 | 54.8 | ||
Factum [16] | 26–29 April 2022 | 969 | - | 12.4 | 1.0 | 9.1 | 10.3 | 12.5 | 9.4 | 19.2 | 2.2 | 5.2 | 5.9 | 3.8 | 3.1 | 2.3 | 0.4 | 3.2 | 6.7 | 51.1 | 45.3 | ||
Factum [17] | 29–31 March 2022 | 832 | - | 11.2 | 1.6 | 6.7 | 10.2 | 11.9 | 10.8 | 17.0 | 2.6 | 5.6 | 5.9 | 4.7 | 5.2 | 1.7 | 0.6 | 4.3 | 5.1 | 45.8 | 49.3 | ||
SKDS [18] | March 2022 | 1,820 | 58 | 11.5 | 0.5 | 5.3 | 9.3 | 12.3 | 13.2 | 16.2 | 4.1 | 5.4 | 8.3 | 3.2 | 4.3 | 1.7 | 3.5 | 1.2 | 3.0 | 43.1 | 52.6 | ||
Beginning of Russian invasion of Ukraine | |||||||||||||||||||||||
Factum [19] | 23–28 February 2022 | 1,325 | - | 12.7 | 1.1 | 6.2 | 11.5 | 11.6 | 9.5 | 16.3 | 3.6 | 3.4 | 6.5 | 5.7 | 4.5 | 1.8 | 5.6 | 3.6 | 45.6 | 48.8 | |||
JKP renames itself to "The Conservatives" (K) | |||||||||||||||||||||||
SKDS [20] | February 2022 | 1,815 | 58.2 | 17.4 | 5.3 | 7.2 | 12.0 | 11.9 | 14.1 | 4.0 | 4.1 | 6.7 | 3.8 | 7.4 | 2.2 | 4.0 | 3.3 | 38.6 | 57.5 | ||||
LuK renames itself to "For Each and Every One" (KuK) | |||||||||||||||||||||||
Factum [21] | 1 Jan – 2 Feb 2022 | 637 | - | 12.7 | 0.8 | 6.0 | 11.6 | 11.7 | 9.6 | 16.6 | 3.7 | 3.2 | 7.0 | 5.9 | 4.3 | 1.9 | 5.0 | 3.9 | 45.9 | 49.1 | |||
SKDS [22] | January 2022 | 1,805 | 57.4 | 18.4 | 4.9 | 8.0 | 10.2 | 14.3 | 13.1 | 4.5 | 5.1 | 5.7 | 4.4 | 4.7 | 2.6 | 2.3 | 1.8 | 5.3 | 36.2 | 59.7 | |||
Factum [23] | 1–31 December 2021 | 1,410 | - | 12.2 | 0.8 | 6.1 | 12.0 | 11.5 | 9.5 | 16.9 | 4.1 | 3.2 | 6.6 | 6.4 | 4.5 | 1.7 | 4.6 | 4.7 | 46.5 | 49 | |||
SKDS [24] | December 2021 | 1,818 | 57.0 | 19.3 | 6.0 | 7.8 | 11.5 | 11.7 | 13.6 | 3.9 | 4.7 | 6.5 | 5.2 | 4.5 | 2.4 | 2.9 | 5.7 | 38.9 | 58.2 | ||||
Factum [25] [26] | 1–30 Nov 2021 | 866 | - | 13.0 | 0.8 | 5.5 | 12.6 | 11.4 | 9.4 | 16.9 | 4.9 | 3.0 | 5.9 | 5.4 | 4.6 | 2.0 | 4.7 | 3.9 | 46.4 | 49 | |||
SKDS [27] | 8–29 Nov 2021 | 1,805 | 53.2 | 17.8 | 5.2 | 9.1 | 10.5 | 13.9 | 14.7 | 5.0 | 5.2 | 6.9 | 3.2 | 4.0 | 2.3 | 2.3 | 3.1 | 39.5 | 58.3 | ||||
Factum [28] | 1–31 Oct 2021 | 1,871 | - | 12.6 | 0.6 | 5.1 | 14.1 | 11.8 | 9.0 | 15.9 | 3.8 | 3.5 | 6.4 | 6.4 | 4.5 | 2.2 | 4.1 | 1.8 | 46.9 | 49 | |||
SKDS [29] | October 2021 | - | 50.2 | 19.9 | 1.8 | 4.9 | 9.2 | 10.6 | 12.9 | 12.8 | 4.8 | 5.0 | 5.3 | 4.5 | 4.8 | 2.4 | 1.1 | 7.0 | 37.5 | 61.4 | |||
Factum [30] | 1 Sep – 1 Oct 2021 | 1,170 | - | 13.4 | 0.7 | 6.9 | 14.8 | 11.9 | 8.5 | 15.5 | 4.0 | 2.9 | 5.7 | 6.1 | 3.1 | 3.3 | 3.2 | 0.7 | 49.1 | 47.7 | |||
SKDS [31] | September 2021 | 1,806 | 60.1 | 20.0 | 0.7 | 4.9 | 8.0 | 11.4 | 13.8 | 13.7 | 5.2 | 4.4 | 5.8 | 6.1 | 4.9 | 1.1 | 6.2 | 38 | 60.9 | ||||
Factum [32] | 27–31 Aug 2021 | 1,181 | - | 14.6 | 1.0 | 6.1 | 14.0 | 11.7 | 9.1 | 16.9 | 3.7 | 2.8 | 5.7 | 5.1 | 3.6 | 0.9 | 4.8 | 2.3 | 48.7 | 46.5 | |||
Two new parties - Latvia First and Republic - are established |
Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
Dec. | S | KPV LV | JKP | AP! | NA | ZZS | JV | LRA | LKS | P | LuK | Others | Lead | Gov. | Opp. |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SKDS [33] | August 2021 | 1,825 | 56.9 | 22.1 | 0.8 | 5.5 | 8.9 | 12.5 | 12.9 | 11.9 | 5.0 | 5.8 | 6.3 | 5.6 | 2.8 | 9.2 | 38.8 | 58.5 |
Factum [34] | 27–31 Jul 2021 | 1,181 | - | 15.8 | 0.6 | 5.8 | 11.5 | 14.4 | 11.6 | 16.2 | 4.1 | 3.4 | 6.5 | 4.1 | 6.0 | 0.4 | 47.9 | 46.1 |
SKDS [35] | July 2021 | 1,801 | 59.5 | 19.0 | 1.5 | 6.7 | 9.4 | 12.3 | 12.9 | 12.8 | 5.9 | 5.9 | 5.0 | 5.7 | 2.9 | 6.1 | 41.2 | 55.9 |
SKDS [36] | June 2021 | 1,793 | 62.6 | 19.3 | 0.9 | 6.0 | 8.9 | 14.8 | 14.9 | 11.5 | 4.4 | 5.3 | 6.9 | 5.3 | 1.8 | 4.4 | 41.2 | 57 |
KPV LV renames itself to "For a Humane Latvia" (PCL) | ||||||||||||||||||
The Saeima approves the government reshuffle, KPV LV officially leaves the government | ||||||||||||||||||
Factum [37] | 26–31 May 2021 | 1,089 | - | 17.1 | 0.6 | 7.8 | 11.1 | 13.3 | 12.5 | 15.9 | 3.5 | 3.8 | 6.1 | 3.3 | 5.0 | 1.2 | 48.7 | 46.3 |
SKDS [38] | May 2021 | 1,816 | 56.3 | 18.3 | 1.5 | 8.3 | 8.6 | 14.2 | 13.7 | 11.8 | 3.4 | 6.3 | 6.6 | 5.7 | 1.7 | 4.1 | 44.4 | 54 |
Factum [39] | 26–30 Apr 2021 | 1,089 | - | 15.2 | 1.0 | 7.4 | 12.2 | 11.9 | 10.1 | 16.8 | 4.3 | 4.1 | 6.4 | 5.6 | 5.1 | 1.6 | 49.3 | 45.7 |
Latvijas Fakti [40] | 19–29 Apr 2021 | - | 48.3 | 19.0 | 2.3 | 7.7 | 11.0 | 12.8 | 15.1 | 12.8 | 4.6 | 3.7 | 5.4 | 5.6 | 0 | 3.9 | 46.6 | 53.4 |
SKDS [41] | April 2021 | - | 59.7 | 20.1 | 6.5 | 9.4 | 13.4 | 12.9 | 11.7 | 3.4 | 7.0 | 7.5 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 6.7 | 41 | 57.9 | |
Factum [42] | 26–30 Mar 2021 | 990 | - | 13.5 | 1.3 | 8.3 | 13.4 | 12.2 | 10.7 | 15.7 | 3.5 | 3.2 | 5.6 | 5.7 | 6.8 | 2.2 | 50.9 | 42.2 |
Latvijas Fakti [43] | March 2021 | - | 49.3 | 21.3 | 2.6 | 8.9 | 10.5 | 13.4 | 12.6 | 12.4 | 4.5 | 2.8 | 5.7 | 5.3 | 0 | 7.9 | 47.8 | 52.2 |
SKDS [41] | March 2021 | - | 54.2 | 18.3 | 7.2 | 9.4 | 13.5 | 11.8 | 11.6 | 4.8 | 5.4 | 7.7 | 6.8 | 3.5 | 4.8 | 41.7 | 54.8 | |
Factum [44] | 1–28 Feb 2021 | 1,903 | - | 12.0 | 1.9 | 8.0 | 14.6 | 11.1 | 11.9 | 15.1 | 3.6 | 3.9 | 7.0 | 4.3 | 6.5 | 0.5 | 50.7 | 42.7 |
Latvijas Fakti [45] | February 2021 | - | 55.9 | 20.5 | 1.8 | 8.2 | 12.9 | 10.2 | 17.5 | 11.6 | 4.1 | 3.2 | 5.0 | 4.8 | 0 | 3.0 | 44.7 | 55.1 |
Factum [46] | 28–31 Jan 2021 | 1,250 | - | 11.8 | 2.5 | 7.5 | 14.0 | 12.4 | 12.3 | 13.7 | 3.0 | 4.1 | 6.8 | 3.5 | 8.3 | 0.3 | 50.1 | 41.5 |
A new party - LuK - is established |
Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
Dec. | S | KPV LV | JKP | AP! | NA | ZZS | JV | LRA | LKS | P | Others | Lead | Gov. | Opp. |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Factum [47] | 1–17 Dec 2020 | 2,421 | - | 13 | 2 | 8 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 9 | Tie | 49 | 41 |
SKDS [48] | December 2020 | 900 | 51.2 | 22.1 | 3.7 | 10.4 | 9.4 | 11.3 | 15.6 | 8.0 | 5.9 | 4.1 | 7.6 | 2.0 | 6.5 | 42.8 | 55.3 |
Factum [49] | 11–30 Nov 2020 | 817 | - | 15 | 1 | 9 | 15 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 8 | Tie | 51 | 41 |
SKDS [48] | November 2020 | - | 57.1 | 20.3 | 1.9 | 8.6 | 15.1 | 14.4 | 12.3 | 8.8 | 5.6 | 6.3 | 5.1 | 1.8 | 5.2 | 48.8 | 49.6 |
Factum [50] | 26–30 Oct 2020 | 853 | - | 15 | 1 | 9 | 17 | 13 | 11 | 14 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 54 | 39 |
SKDS [51] | 9–20 Oct 2020 | 889 | 57.9 | 19.5 | 3.3 | 11.1 | 15.4 | 11.1 | 13.5 | 9.3 | 5.2 | 4.8 | 5.7 | 1.2 | 4.1 | 50.2 | 48.7 |
Factum [52] | 29 Sep – 4 Oct 2020 | 442 | - | 15 | 2 | 8 | 17 | 13 | 9 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 2 | 55 | 38 |
SKDS [53] | 11–22 Sep 2020 | 888 | 58.9 | 17.3 | 3.7 | 10.4 | 12.9 | 10.5 | 16.6 | 11.2 | 5.9 | 4.4 | 5.1 | 1.9 | 4.4 | 48.7 | 49.3 |
Factum [54] | 1–24 Aug 2020 | 637 | - | 15 | 2 | 9 | 16 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 55 | 37 |
SKDS [55] | 7–20 Aug 2020 | 900 | 56.4 | 21.6 | 3.4 | 8.2 | 13.8 | 9.2 | 19.0 | 11.7 | 6.7 | 2.7 | 2.5 | 1.9 | 2.6 | 46.3 | 52.5 |
Factum [56] | 8–31 Jul 2020 | 1,975 | - | 16 | 2 | 9 | 15 | 11 | 10 | 16 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 6 | Tie | 53 | 41 |
SKDS [57] | July 2020 | 884 | 55.5 | 27.9 | 4.0 | 7.0 | 10.1 | 12.3 | 15.0 | 10.5 | 5.2 | 3.8 | 4.0 | 0.4 | 12.9 | 43.9 | 55.9 |
Factum [58] | 1–30 Jun 2020 | 1,461 | - | 15 | 2 | 9 | 15 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 54 | 42 |
SKDS [59] | June 2020 | 891 | 51.6 | 25.0 | 3.5 | 8.1 | 11.2 | 10.9 | 17.2 | 9.9 | 5.4 | 4.3 | 3.3 | 1.2 | 7.8 | 43.6 | 55.2 |
SKDS [60] | 23 May – 2 June 2020 | 902 | 50.5 | 26.1 | 4.0 | 7.3 | 9.9 | 10.9 | 16.0 | 12.1 | 5.1 | 4.6 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 10.1 | 44.2 | 54.8 |
Factum [61] | 18–31 May 2020 | 1,182 | - | 16 | 2 | 9 | 13 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 53 | 40 |
Factum [62] | 7–26 Apr 2020 | 1,182 | - | 17 | 2 | 11 | 14 | 12 | 11 | 16 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 55 | 43 |
Factum [63] | 4–28 Mar 2020 | 1,994 | - | 18 | 2 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 53 | 46 |
SKDS [64] | March 2020 | 903 | 54.1 | 27.5 | 4.1 | 8.9 | 10.4 | 10.8 | 16.0 | 10.8 | 5.4 | 2.8 | 2.8 | 0.7 | 11.5 | 45 | 54.5 |
Factum [65] | 24–28 Feb 2020 | 783 | - | 18 | 3 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 52 | 46 |
SKDS [66] | February 2020 | 873 | 50.8 | 24.2 | 2.6 | 8.1 | 10.6 | 10.6 | 15.6 | 12.6 | 6.5 | 3.9 | 4.3 | 1.0 | 8.6 | 44.5 | 54.5 |
Factum [67] | 28 Jan – 1 Feb 2020 | 684 | - | 21 | 2 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 52 | 46 |
SKDS [68] | January 2020 | 900 | 56.2 | 24.2 | 3.6 | 10.9 | 9.6 | 11.2 | 15.5 | 10.9 | 5.2 | 4.4 | 3.2 | 1.4 | 8.7 | 46.2 | 52.5 |
Factum [69] | 18–31 Dec 2019 | 1,153 | - | 20 | 2 | 12 | 10 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 52 | 46 |
SKDS [70] | 30 Nov – 12 Dec 2019 | 887 | 54.1 | 24.8 | 3.3 | 10.9 | 8.5 | 12.8 | 14.8 | 12.6 | 3.7 | 4.1 | 4.4 | 0.2 | 10.0 | 48.1 | 51.8 |
Factum [71] | 21–24 Nov 2019 | 966 | - | 20 | 3 | 13 | 10 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 54 | 44 |
SKDS [72] | 2–12 Nov 2019 | 884 | 55.1 | 20.3 | 5.4 | 9.8 | 10.1 | 15.9 | 13.6 | 11.7 | 5.1 | 3.6 | 3.8 | 0 | 4.4 | 52.9 | 46.4 |
Factum [73] | 15–22 Oct 2019 | 966 | - | 20 | 3 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 15 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 52 | 45 |
SKDS [74] | 5–16 Oct 2019 | 909 | 56.8 | 23.1 | 4.5 | 12.0 | 9.3 | 13.1 | 14.3 | 11.6 | 3.9 | 3.9 | 5.0 | 0.9 | 8.8 | 50.5 | 50.2 |
Factum [75] | 27–30 Sep 2019 | 489 | - | 19 | 2 | 15 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 17 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 55 | 43 |
SKDS [76] | 26 Aug – 18 Sep 2019 | 900 | 61.8 | 23.5 | 4.5 | 11.7 | 9.9 | 14.4 | 13.6 | 13.4 | 4.0 | 3.4 | 1.6 | 9.1 | 53.9 | 44.5 | |
Factum [77] | 27–30 Aug 2019 | 1,152 | - | 18 | 4 | 16 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 58 | 41 |
SKDS [78] | August 2019 | - | 63.3 | 25.4 | 4.1 | 10.0 | 9.8 | 11.4 | 13.1 | 13.9 | 4.6 | 3.9 | 3.3 | 0.5 | 11.5 | 49.2 | 50.3 |
Factum [79] | 22–29 Jul 2019 | 989 | - | 18 | 2 | 15 | 10 | 15 | 10 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 57 | 42 |
SKDS [80] | July 2019 | - | 57.9 | 25.4 | 2.8 | 8.6 | 9.8 | 10.9 | 13.1 | 14.7 | 6.2 | 4.0 | 3.6 | 0.9 | 10.7 | 46.8 | 52.3 |
Factum [81] | 26–30 Jun 2019 | 860 | - | 17 | 4 | 10 | 12 | 15 | 9 | 17 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 1 | Tie | 58 | 42 |
SKDS [82] | 7–17 Jun 2019 | 891 | 63.1 | 25.0 | 5.4 | 7.3 | 10.8 | 12.2 | 10.0 | 16.6 | 4.8 | 2.5 | 4.8 | 0.6 | 8.4 | 52.3 | 47.1 |
Factum [81] | 1–28 May 2019 | 1,079 | - | 17 | 4 | 10 | 10 | 16 | 8 | 16 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 56 | 40 |
SKDS [83] | May 2019 | - | 64.8 | 27.0 | 3.7 | 12.2 | 9.1 | 13.3 | 13.6 | 9.4 | 6.2 | 2.3 | 2.9 | 0.3 | 13.4 | 47.7 | 52 |
Factum [84] | 1–30 April 2019 | 1,236 | - | 20 | 4 | 15 | 10 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 51 | 47 |
SKDS [85] | April 2019 | - | 64.8 | 31.5 | 4.5 | 13.8 | 9.0 | 10.7 | 11.0 | 9.3 | 4.8 | 2.6 | 2.4 | 0.5 | 17.8 | 47.3 | 52.3 |
Factum [86] | March 2019 | - | - | 15 | 4 | 13 | 11 | 14 | 10 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 53 | 42 |
SKDS [87] | March 2019 | 873 | 61.2 | 28.9 | 6.7 | 13.1 | 10.1 | 8.2 | 12.4 | 8.7 | 4.7 | 2.6 | 3.8 | 0.8 | 15.8 | 46.8 | 52.4 |
SKDS [88] | February 2019 | 872 | 61.2 | 29.7 | 5.5 | 14.9 | 9.2 | 9.9 | 8.9 | 10.2 | 3.8 | 3.1 | 4.2 | 0.6 | 14.8 | 49.7 | 49.7 |
The Kariņš cabinet is formed and wins the Saeima confidence vote | |||||||||||||||||
SKDS [89] | 11–23 Jan 2019 | 906 | 68.4 | 25.4 | 10.4 | 17.7 | 9.8 | 11.3 | 11.8 | 5.8 | 7.7 | 7.7 | 55 | 37.2 | |||
SKDS [90] | 1–12 Dec 2018 | 900 | 71.2 | 28.9 | 14.6 | 12.5 | 8.7 | 9.1 | 9.3 | 5.9 | 4.2 | 3.4 | 3.2 | 0.1 | 14.3 | 50.8 | 49 |
SKDS [91] | 3–15 Nov 2018 | 833 | 71.2 | 26.8 | 14.4 | 15.0 | 9.9 | 8.7 | 9.4 | 6.9 | 3.8 | 2.4 | 2.6 | 0.1 | 11.8 | 54.9 | 45 |
SKDS [92] | 13–23 Oct 2018 | 900 | 75.4 | 25.5 | 15.3 | 13.4 | 11.8 | 11.1 | 7.2 | 5.8 | 5.6 | 1.9 | 2.3 | 0.3 | 10.2 | 57.4 | 42.5 |
2018 election | 6 Oct 2018 | - | 54.6 | 19.8 | 14.3 | 13.6 | 12.0 | 11.0 | 9.9 | 6.7 | 4.2 | 3.2 | 2.6 | 2.7 | 5.5 | 57.6 | 39.7 |
Graphs are unavailable due to technical issues. There is more info on
Phabricator and on
MediaWiki.org. |
Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout |
---|---|---|---|
Factum | 23-28 Feb 2021 | 1,499 | 50.3 |
Factum | 1 Jan-2 Feb 2021 | 344 | 49.7 |
Factum | 1-31 Dec 2021 | 818 | 48.5 |
Factum | 1-30 Nov 2021 | 508 | 48.7 |
Factum | 1-31 Oct 2021 | 1,147 | 50.2 |
Factum | 1 Sep-1 Oct 2021 | 679 | 50.9 |
Factum | 27-31 Aug 2021 | 710 | 52.4 |
Factum | 27-31 Jul 2021 | 612 | 54.1 |
Factum | 26-31 May 2021 | 576 | 52.1 |
Factum | 26-30 Apr 2021 | 680 | 50.6 |
2018 election | 6 Oct 2018 | - | 54.6 |
In the run-up to the 2022 Latvian parliamentary election, various organisations carried out opinion polling to gauge voting intentions in Latvia. Results of such polls are displayed in this list.
The date range for these opinion polls are from the 2018 Latvian parliamentary election, held on 6 October, to the present day. The next election was held on 1 October 2022. Poll results are listed in the table below in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first.
The following are opinion polls conducted for the parliamentary election, measuring the estimated percentage of the vote. Parties in bold successfully pass the 5% electoral threshold to win seats in the Saeima, and the highlighted party is in the lead.
Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
Dec. | S | AL | K | AP! | NA | ZZS | JV | AS | LKS | P | KuK | LPV | R | S! | SV | TVS | TKL | KPP | VL | Lead | Gov. | Opp. |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
LTV/SKDS [1] (exit poll) | 1 Oct 2022 | 1,825 | - | 3.5 | 0.3 | 3.5 | 5.2 | 8.4 | 10.9 | 22.5 | 11.5 | 3.2 | 8.3 | 2.8 | 5.3 | 1.6 | 5.4 | 2.3 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 10.0 | 39.6 | 58.0 |
SKDS [2] | Sep 2022 | 1,825 | - | 7.3 | 0.3 | 3.3 | 5.2 | 11.3 | 11.6 | 21.4 | 8.4 | 4.0 | 7.6 | 4.3 | 4.3 | 1.7 | 4.1 | 2.4 | 0.8 | 1.4 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 9.8 | 41.2 | 58.8 |
Factum [3] | 15–20 Sep 2022 | 1,406 | 51.3 | 8.0 | 0.3 | 4.6 | 6.3 | 9.3 | 7.0 | 22.6 | 9.0 | 4.8 | 8.8 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 6.2 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 13.3 | 42.8 | 57.2 |
Factum [4] | 4–6 Sep 2022 | 1,406 | 51.2 | 9.0 | 0.3 | 4.7 | 6.9 | 10.2 | 7.5 | 21.9 | 9.2 | 5.2 | 7.3 | 3.3 | 4.8 | 1.1 | 5.8 | 1.4 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 11.7 | 43.7 | 56.3 |
SKDS [5] | Aug 2022 | 1,848 | - | 9.5 | 4.7 | 7.9 | 12.6 | 10.1 | 15.1 | 7.8 | 4.6 | 8.8 | 3.7 | 3.5 | 5.5 | 2.1 | 2.5 | 40.3 | 59.7 | ||||||
Factum [6] | 16–21 Aug 2022 | 1,071 | - | 9.2 | 0.4 | 5.1 | 8.8 | 10.8 | 8.6 | 20.7 | 8.4 | 4.2 | 7.5 | 1.7 | 4.8 | 1.2 | 6.6 | 1.1 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 9.9 | 45.4 | 54.6 |
Factum [7] | 3–7 Aug 2022 | 878 | - | 10.9 | 0.2 | 5.9 | 9.4 | 10.5 | 7.7 | 21.0 | 7.7 | 3.5 | 6.3 | 2.2 | 4.5 | 1.7 | 6.1 | 1.4 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 10.1 | 46.8 | 53 |
The Central Electoral Commission registers the 19 electoral lists that will participate in the election |
Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
Dec. | S | PCL/ AL | JKP/ K | AP! | NA | ZZS | JV | LRA/ AS | LKS | P | LuK/ KuK | LPV | R | S! | NST | SV | Others | Lead | Gov. | Opp. |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Factum [8] | 20–24 July 2022 | 1,156 | - | 10.3 | 5.7 | 10.7 | 11.3 | 6.8 | 20.5 | 4.9 | 3.8 | 6.4 | 3.1 | 5.0 | 1.9 | 5.3 | 0.3 | 1.3 | 2.6 | 9.2 | 48.2 | 50.4 | |
SKDS [9] | July 2022 | 1,818 | 60.2 | 10.8 | 4.0 | 9.0 | 13.3 | 7.7 | 15.7 | 5.6 | 5.7 | 8.1 | 4.5 | 5.4 | 2.4 | 5.4 | 1.9 | 0.5 | 2.4 | 42 | 57.5 | ||
Factum [10] | 6–10 July 2022 | 859 | - | 10.6 | 6.2 | 9.0 | 12.3 | 6.5 | 20.3 | 3.6 | 5.5 | 6.8 | 2.2 | 7.5 | 2.5 | 3.2 | 0.3 | 0.9 | 2.9 | 8.0 | 47.8 | 49.3 | |
SKDS [11] | June 2022 | 1,795 | 58.5 | 10.3 | 6.8 | 10.0 | 12.2 | 8.8 | 18.2 | 4.6 | 3.9 | 9.4 | 3.8 | 4.9 | 1.5 | 4.8 | 0.7 | 6.0 | 47.2 | 52 | |||
Factum [12] | 27–31 May 2022 | 1,122 | - | 10.6 | 0.1 | 6.9 | 10.2 | 12.8 | 8.4 | 20.0 | 2.9 | 7.1 | 6.9 | 2.6 | 4.6 | 1.9 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 2.7 | 7.2 | 49.9 | 47 | |
SKDS [13] | 13–24 May 2022 | 1,814 | 57.9 | 11.8 | 0.7 | 5.9 | 9.6 | 15.2 | 9.5 | 17.6 | 5.1 | 4.3 | 7.7 | 2.0 | 3.4 | 1.8 | 4.2 | 1.1 | 2.4 | 48.3 | 50.5 | ||
LZP and LP leave ZZS and form the "United Latvian List" with LRA | |||||||||||||||||||||||
SKDS [14] [15] | 22 April – 2 May 2022 | 1,812 | 59.9 | 10.2 | 0.7 | 4.6 | 7.7 | 14.2 | 12.8 | 18.0 | 3.7 | 4.8 | 7.7 | 4.1 | 5.3 | 3.0 | 2.5 | 0.7 | 3.8 | 44.5 | 54.8 | ||
Factum [16] | 26–29 April 2022 | 969 | - | 12.4 | 1.0 | 9.1 | 10.3 | 12.5 | 9.4 | 19.2 | 2.2 | 5.2 | 5.9 | 3.8 | 3.1 | 2.3 | 0.4 | 3.2 | 6.7 | 51.1 | 45.3 | ||
Factum [17] | 29–31 March 2022 | 832 | - | 11.2 | 1.6 | 6.7 | 10.2 | 11.9 | 10.8 | 17.0 | 2.6 | 5.6 | 5.9 | 4.7 | 5.2 | 1.7 | 0.6 | 4.3 | 5.1 | 45.8 | 49.3 | ||
SKDS [18] | March 2022 | 1,820 | 58 | 11.5 | 0.5 | 5.3 | 9.3 | 12.3 | 13.2 | 16.2 | 4.1 | 5.4 | 8.3 | 3.2 | 4.3 | 1.7 | 3.5 | 1.2 | 3.0 | 43.1 | 52.6 | ||
Beginning of Russian invasion of Ukraine | |||||||||||||||||||||||
Factum [19] | 23–28 February 2022 | 1,325 | - | 12.7 | 1.1 | 6.2 | 11.5 | 11.6 | 9.5 | 16.3 | 3.6 | 3.4 | 6.5 | 5.7 | 4.5 | 1.8 | 5.6 | 3.6 | 45.6 | 48.8 | |||
JKP renames itself to "The Conservatives" (K) | |||||||||||||||||||||||
SKDS [20] | February 2022 | 1,815 | 58.2 | 17.4 | 5.3 | 7.2 | 12.0 | 11.9 | 14.1 | 4.0 | 4.1 | 6.7 | 3.8 | 7.4 | 2.2 | 4.0 | 3.3 | 38.6 | 57.5 | ||||
LuK renames itself to "For Each and Every One" (KuK) | |||||||||||||||||||||||
Factum [21] | 1 Jan – 2 Feb 2022 | 637 | - | 12.7 | 0.8 | 6.0 | 11.6 | 11.7 | 9.6 | 16.6 | 3.7 | 3.2 | 7.0 | 5.9 | 4.3 | 1.9 | 5.0 | 3.9 | 45.9 | 49.1 | |||
SKDS [22] | January 2022 | 1,805 | 57.4 | 18.4 | 4.9 | 8.0 | 10.2 | 14.3 | 13.1 | 4.5 | 5.1 | 5.7 | 4.4 | 4.7 | 2.6 | 2.3 | 1.8 | 5.3 | 36.2 | 59.7 | |||
Factum [23] | 1–31 December 2021 | 1,410 | - | 12.2 | 0.8 | 6.1 | 12.0 | 11.5 | 9.5 | 16.9 | 4.1 | 3.2 | 6.6 | 6.4 | 4.5 | 1.7 | 4.6 | 4.7 | 46.5 | 49 | |||
SKDS [24] | December 2021 | 1,818 | 57.0 | 19.3 | 6.0 | 7.8 | 11.5 | 11.7 | 13.6 | 3.9 | 4.7 | 6.5 | 5.2 | 4.5 | 2.4 | 2.9 | 5.7 | 38.9 | 58.2 | ||||
Factum [25] [26] | 1–30 Nov 2021 | 866 | - | 13.0 | 0.8 | 5.5 | 12.6 | 11.4 | 9.4 | 16.9 | 4.9 | 3.0 | 5.9 | 5.4 | 4.6 | 2.0 | 4.7 | 3.9 | 46.4 | 49 | |||
SKDS [27] | 8–29 Nov 2021 | 1,805 | 53.2 | 17.8 | 5.2 | 9.1 | 10.5 | 13.9 | 14.7 | 5.0 | 5.2 | 6.9 | 3.2 | 4.0 | 2.3 | 2.3 | 3.1 | 39.5 | 58.3 | ||||
Factum [28] | 1–31 Oct 2021 | 1,871 | - | 12.6 | 0.6 | 5.1 | 14.1 | 11.8 | 9.0 | 15.9 | 3.8 | 3.5 | 6.4 | 6.4 | 4.5 | 2.2 | 4.1 | 1.8 | 46.9 | 49 | |||
SKDS [29] | October 2021 | - | 50.2 | 19.9 | 1.8 | 4.9 | 9.2 | 10.6 | 12.9 | 12.8 | 4.8 | 5.0 | 5.3 | 4.5 | 4.8 | 2.4 | 1.1 | 7.0 | 37.5 | 61.4 | |||
Factum [30] | 1 Sep – 1 Oct 2021 | 1,170 | - | 13.4 | 0.7 | 6.9 | 14.8 | 11.9 | 8.5 | 15.5 | 4.0 | 2.9 | 5.7 | 6.1 | 3.1 | 3.3 | 3.2 | 0.7 | 49.1 | 47.7 | |||
SKDS [31] | September 2021 | 1,806 | 60.1 | 20.0 | 0.7 | 4.9 | 8.0 | 11.4 | 13.8 | 13.7 | 5.2 | 4.4 | 5.8 | 6.1 | 4.9 | 1.1 | 6.2 | 38 | 60.9 | ||||
Factum [32] | 27–31 Aug 2021 | 1,181 | - | 14.6 | 1.0 | 6.1 | 14.0 | 11.7 | 9.1 | 16.9 | 3.7 | 2.8 | 5.7 | 5.1 | 3.6 | 0.9 | 4.8 | 2.3 | 48.7 | 46.5 | |||
Two new parties - Latvia First and Republic - are established |
Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
Dec. | S | KPV LV | JKP | AP! | NA | ZZS | JV | LRA | LKS | P | LuK | Others | Lead | Gov. | Opp. |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SKDS [33] | August 2021 | 1,825 | 56.9 | 22.1 | 0.8 | 5.5 | 8.9 | 12.5 | 12.9 | 11.9 | 5.0 | 5.8 | 6.3 | 5.6 | 2.8 | 9.2 | 38.8 | 58.5 |
Factum [34] | 27–31 Jul 2021 | 1,181 | - | 15.8 | 0.6 | 5.8 | 11.5 | 14.4 | 11.6 | 16.2 | 4.1 | 3.4 | 6.5 | 4.1 | 6.0 | 0.4 | 47.9 | 46.1 |
SKDS [35] | July 2021 | 1,801 | 59.5 | 19.0 | 1.5 | 6.7 | 9.4 | 12.3 | 12.9 | 12.8 | 5.9 | 5.9 | 5.0 | 5.7 | 2.9 | 6.1 | 41.2 | 55.9 |
SKDS [36] | June 2021 | 1,793 | 62.6 | 19.3 | 0.9 | 6.0 | 8.9 | 14.8 | 14.9 | 11.5 | 4.4 | 5.3 | 6.9 | 5.3 | 1.8 | 4.4 | 41.2 | 57 |
KPV LV renames itself to "For a Humane Latvia" (PCL) | ||||||||||||||||||
The Saeima approves the government reshuffle, KPV LV officially leaves the government | ||||||||||||||||||
Factum [37] | 26–31 May 2021 | 1,089 | - | 17.1 | 0.6 | 7.8 | 11.1 | 13.3 | 12.5 | 15.9 | 3.5 | 3.8 | 6.1 | 3.3 | 5.0 | 1.2 | 48.7 | 46.3 |
SKDS [38] | May 2021 | 1,816 | 56.3 | 18.3 | 1.5 | 8.3 | 8.6 | 14.2 | 13.7 | 11.8 | 3.4 | 6.3 | 6.6 | 5.7 | 1.7 | 4.1 | 44.4 | 54 |
Factum [39] | 26–30 Apr 2021 | 1,089 | - | 15.2 | 1.0 | 7.4 | 12.2 | 11.9 | 10.1 | 16.8 | 4.3 | 4.1 | 6.4 | 5.6 | 5.1 | 1.6 | 49.3 | 45.7 |
Latvijas Fakti [40] | 19–29 Apr 2021 | - | 48.3 | 19.0 | 2.3 | 7.7 | 11.0 | 12.8 | 15.1 | 12.8 | 4.6 | 3.7 | 5.4 | 5.6 | 0 | 3.9 | 46.6 | 53.4 |
SKDS [41] | April 2021 | - | 59.7 | 20.1 | 6.5 | 9.4 | 13.4 | 12.9 | 11.7 | 3.4 | 7.0 | 7.5 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 6.7 | 41 | 57.9 | |
Factum [42] | 26–30 Mar 2021 | 990 | - | 13.5 | 1.3 | 8.3 | 13.4 | 12.2 | 10.7 | 15.7 | 3.5 | 3.2 | 5.6 | 5.7 | 6.8 | 2.2 | 50.9 | 42.2 |
Latvijas Fakti [43] | March 2021 | - | 49.3 | 21.3 | 2.6 | 8.9 | 10.5 | 13.4 | 12.6 | 12.4 | 4.5 | 2.8 | 5.7 | 5.3 | 0 | 7.9 | 47.8 | 52.2 |
SKDS [41] | March 2021 | - | 54.2 | 18.3 | 7.2 | 9.4 | 13.5 | 11.8 | 11.6 | 4.8 | 5.4 | 7.7 | 6.8 | 3.5 | 4.8 | 41.7 | 54.8 | |
Factum [44] | 1–28 Feb 2021 | 1,903 | - | 12.0 | 1.9 | 8.0 | 14.6 | 11.1 | 11.9 | 15.1 | 3.6 | 3.9 | 7.0 | 4.3 | 6.5 | 0.5 | 50.7 | 42.7 |
Latvijas Fakti [45] | February 2021 | - | 55.9 | 20.5 | 1.8 | 8.2 | 12.9 | 10.2 | 17.5 | 11.6 | 4.1 | 3.2 | 5.0 | 4.8 | 0 | 3.0 | 44.7 | 55.1 |
Factum [46] | 28–31 Jan 2021 | 1,250 | - | 11.8 | 2.5 | 7.5 | 14.0 | 12.4 | 12.3 | 13.7 | 3.0 | 4.1 | 6.8 | 3.5 | 8.3 | 0.3 | 50.1 | 41.5 |
A new party - LuK - is established |
Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
Dec. | S | KPV LV | JKP | AP! | NA | ZZS | JV | LRA | LKS | P | Others | Lead | Gov. | Opp. |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Factum [47] | 1–17 Dec 2020 | 2,421 | - | 13 | 2 | 8 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 9 | Tie | 49 | 41 |
SKDS [48] | December 2020 | 900 | 51.2 | 22.1 | 3.7 | 10.4 | 9.4 | 11.3 | 15.6 | 8.0 | 5.9 | 4.1 | 7.6 | 2.0 | 6.5 | 42.8 | 55.3 |
Factum [49] | 11–30 Nov 2020 | 817 | - | 15 | 1 | 9 | 15 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 8 | Tie | 51 | 41 |
SKDS [48] | November 2020 | - | 57.1 | 20.3 | 1.9 | 8.6 | 15.1 | 14.4 | 12.3 | 8.8 | 5.6 | 6.3 | 5.1 | 1.8 | 5.2 | 48.8 | 49.6 |
Factum [50] | 26–30 Oct 2020 | 853 | - | 15 | 1 | 9 | 17 | 13 | 11 | 14 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 54 | 39 |
SKDS [51] | 9–20 Oct 2020 | 889 | 57.9 | 19.5 | 3.3 | 11.1 | 15.4 | 11.1 | 13.5 | 9.3 | 5.2 | 4.8 | 5.7 | 1.2 | 4.1 | 50.2 | 48.7 |
Factum [52] | 29 Sep – 4 Oct 2020 | 442 | - | 15 | 2 | 8 | 17 | 13 | 9 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 2 | 55 | 38 |
SKDS [53] | 11–22 Sep 2020 | 888 | 58.9 | 17.3 | 3.7 | 10.4 | 12.9 | 10.5 | 16.6 | 11.2 | 5.9 | 4.4 | 5.1 | 1.9 | 4.4 | 48.7 | 49.3 |
Factum [54] | 1–24 Aug 2020 | 637 | - | 15 | 2 | 9 | 16 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 55 | 37 |
SKDS [55] | 7–20 Aug 2020 | 900 | 56.4 | 21.6 | 3.4 | 8.2 | 13.8 | 9.2 | 19.0 | 11.7 | 6.7 | 2.7 | 2.5 | 1.9 | 2.6 | 46.3 | 52.5 |
Factum [56] | 8–31 Jul 2020 | 1,975 | - | 16 | 2 | 9 | 15 | 11 | 10 | 16 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 6 | Tie | 53 | 41 |
SKDS [57] | July 2020 | 884 | 55.5 | 27.9 | 4.0 | 7.0 | 10.1 | 12.3 | 15.0 | 10.5 | 5.2 | 3.8 | 4.0 | 0.4 | 12.9 | 43.9 | 55.9 |
Factum [58] | 1–30 Jun 2020 | 1,461 | - | 15 | 2 | 9 | 15 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 54 | 42 |
SKDS [59] | June 2020 | 891 | 51.6 | 25.0 | 3.5 | 8.1 | 11.2 | 10.9 | 17.2 | 9.9 | 5.4 | 4.3 | 3.3 | 1.2 | 7.8 | 43.6 | 55.2 |
SKDS [60] | 23 May – 2 June 2020 | 902 | 50.5 | 26.1 | 4.0 | 7.3 | 9.9 | 10.9 | 16.0 | 12.1 | 5.1 | 4.6 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 10.1 | 44.2 | 54.8 |
Factum [61] | 18–31 May 2020 | 1,182 | - | 16 | 2 | 9 | 13 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 53 | 40 |
Factum [62] | 7–26 Apr 2020 | 1,182 | - | 17 | 2 | 11 | 14 | 12 | 11 | 16 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 55 | 43 |
Factum [63] | 4–28 Mar 2020 | 1,994 | - | 18 | 2 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 53 | 46 |
SKDS [64] | March 2020 | 903 | 54.1 | 27.5 | 4.1 | 8.9 | 10.4 | 10.8 | 16.0 | 10.8 | 5.4 | 2.8 | 2.8 | 0.7 | 11.5 | 45 | 54.5 |
Factum [65] | 24–28 Feb 2020 | 783 | - | 18 | 3 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 52 | 46 |
SKDS [66] | February 2020 | 873 | 50.8 | 24.2 | 2.6 | 8.1 | 10.6 | 10.6 | 15.6 | 12.6 | 6.5 | 3.9 | 4.3 | 1.0 | 8.6 | 44.5 | 54.5 |
Factum [67] | 28 Jan – 1 Feb 2020 | 684 | - | 21 | 2 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 52 | 46 |
SKDS [68] | January 2020 | 900 | 56.2 | 24.2 | 3.6 | 10.9 | 9.6 | 11.2 | 15.5 | 10.9 | 5.2 | 4.4 | 3.2 | 1.4 | 8.7 | 46.2 | 52.5 |
Factum [69] | 18–31 Dec 2019 | 1,153 | - | 20 | 2 | 12 | 10 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 52 | 46 |
SKDS [70] | 30 Nov – 12 Dec 2019 | 887 | 54.1 | 24.8 | 3.3 | 10.9 | 8.5 | 12.8 | 14.8 | 12.6 | 3.7 | 4.1 | 4.4 | 0.2 | 10.0 | 48.1 | 51.8 |
Factum [71] | 21–24 Nov 2019 | 966 | - | 20 | 3 | 13 | 10 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 54 | 44 |
SKDS [72] | 2–12 Nov 2019 | 884 | 55.1 | 20.3 | 5.4 | 9.8 | 10.1 | 15.9 | 13.6 | 11.7 | 5.1 | 3.6 | 3.8 | 0 | 4.4 | 52.9 | 46.4 |
Factum [73] | 15–22 Oct 2019 | 966 | - | 20 | 3 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 15 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 52 | 45 |
SKDS [74] | 5–16 Oct 2019 | 909 | 56.8 | 23.1 | 4.5 | 12.0 | 9.3 | 13.1 | 14.3 | 11.6 | 3.9 | 3.9 | 5.0 | 0.9 | 8.8 | 50.5 | 50.2 |
Factum [75] | 27–30 Sep 2019 | 489 | - | 19 | 2 | 15 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 17 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 55 | 43 |
SKDS [76] | 26 Aug – 18 Sep 2019 | 900 | 61.8 | 23.5 | 4.5 | 11.7 | 9.9 | 14.4 | 13.6 | 13.4 | 4.0 | 3.4 | 1.6 | 9.1 | 53.9 | 44.5 | |
Factum [77] | 27–30 Aug 2019 | 1,152 | - | 18 | 4 | 16 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 58 | 41 |
SKDS [78] | August 2019 | - | 63.3 | 25.4 | 4.1 | 10.0 | 9.8 | 11.4 | 13.1 | 13.9 | 4.6 | 3.9 | 3.3 | 0.5 | 11.5 | 49.2 | 50.3 |
Factum [79] | 22–29 Jul 2019 | 989 | - | 18 | 2 | 15 | 10 | 15 | 10 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 57 | 42 |
SKDS [80] | July 2019 | - | 57.9 | 25.4 | 2.8 | 8.6 | 9.8 | 10.9 | 13.1 | 14.7 | 6.2 | 4.0 | 3.6 | 0.9 | 10.7 | 46.8 | 52.3 |
Factum [81] | 26–30 Jun 2019 | 860 | - | 17 | 4 | 10 | 12 | 15 | 9 | 17 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 1 | Tie | 58 | 42 |
SKDS [82] | 7–17 Jun 2019 | 891 | 63.1 | 25.0 | 5.4 | 7.3 | 10.8 | 12.2 | 10.0 | 16.6 | 4.8 | 2.5 | 4.8 | 0.6 | 8.4 | 52.3 | 47.1 |
Factum [81] | 1–28 May 2019 | 1,079 | - | 17 | 4 | 10 | 10 | 16 | 8 | 16 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 56 | 40 |
SKDS [83] | May 2019 | - | 64.8 | 27.0 | 3.7 | 12.2 | 9.1 | 13.3 | 13.6 | 9.4 | 6.2 | 2.3 | 2.9 | 0.3 | 13.4 | 47.7 | 52 |
Factum [84] | 1–30 April 2019 | 1,236 | - | 20 | 4 | 15 | 10 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 51 | 47 |
SKDS [85] | April 2019 | - | 64.8 | 31.5 | 4.5 | 13.8 | 9.0 | 10.7 | 11.0 | 9.3 | 4.8 | 2.6 | 2.4 | 0.5 | 17.8 | 47.3 | 52.3 |
Factum [86] | March 2019 | - | - | 15 | 4 | 13 | 11 | 14 | 10 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 53 | 42 |
SKDS [87] | March 2019 | 873 | 61.2 | 28.9 | 6.7 | 13.1 | 10.1 | 8.2 | 12.4 | 8.7 | 4.7 | 2.6 | 3.8 | 0.8 | 15.8 | 46.8 | 52.4 |
SKDS [88] | February 2019 | 872 | 61.2 | 29.7 | 5.5 | 14.9 | 9.2 | 9.9 | 8.9 | 10.2 | 3.8 | 3.1 | 4.2 | 0.6 | 14.8 | 49.7 | 49.7 |
The Kariņš cabinet is formed and wins the Saeima confidence vote | |||||||||||||||||
SKDS [89] | 11–23 Jan 2019 | 906 | 68.4 | 25.4 | 10.4 | 17.7 | 9.8 | 11.3 | 11.8 | 5.8 | 7.7 | 7.7 | 55 | 37.2 | |||
SKDS [90] | 1–12 Dec 2018 | 900 | 71.2 | 28.9 | 14.6 | 12.5 | 8.7 | 9.1 | 9.3 | 5.9 | 4.2 | 3.4 | 3.2 | 0.1 | 14.3 | 50.8 | 49 |
SKDS [91] | 3–15 Nov 2018 | 833 | 71.2 | 26.8 | 14.4 | 15.0 | 9.9 | 8.7 | 9.4 | 6.9 | 3.8 | 2.4 | 2.6 | 0.1 | 11.8 | 54.9 | 45 |
SKDS [92] | 13–23 Oct 2018 | 900 | 75.4 | 25.5 | 15.3 | 13.4 | 11.8 | 11.1 | 7.2 | 5.8 | 5.6 | 1.9 | 2.3 | 0.3 | 10.2 | 57.4 | 42.5 |
2018 election | 6 Oct 2018 | - | 54.6 | 19.8 | 14.3 | 13.6 | 12.0 | 11.0 | 9.9 | 6.7 | 4.2 | 3.2 | 2.6 | 2.7 | 5.5 | 57.6 | 39.7 |
Graphs are unavailable due to technical issues. There is more info on
Phabricator and on
MediaWiki.org. |
Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout |
---|---|---|---|
Factum | 23-28 Feb 2021 | 1,499 | 50.3 |
Factum | 1 Jan-2 Feb 2021 | 344 | 49.7 |
Factum | 1-31 Dec 2021 | 818 | 48.5 |
Factum | 1-30 Nov 2021 | 508 | 48.7 |
Factum | 1-31 Oct 2021 | 1,147 | 50.2 |
Factum | 1 Sep-1 Oct 2021 | 679 | 50.9 |
Factum | 27-31 Aug 2021 | 710 | 52.4 |
Factum | 27-31 Jul 2021 | 612 | 54.1 |
Factum | 26-31 May 2021 | 576 | 52.1 |
Factum | 26-30 Apr 2021 | 680 | 50.6 |
2018 election | 6 Oct 2018 | - | 54.6 |