OPINION POLLING FOR THE 2015 SPANISH LOCAL ELECTIONS (CASTILLA �LA MANCHA)

In the run up to the 2015 Spanish local elections, various organisations carried out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in local entities in Spain. Results of such polls for municipalities in Castilla–La Mancha are displayed in this article. The date range for these opinion polls is from the previous local elections, held on 22 May 2011, to the day the next elections were held, on 24 May 2015.

Polls are listed in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" columns on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a given poll.

Municipalities

Albacete

Color key:

Exit poll

Polling firm/Commissioner	Fieldwork date	Sample size	Turnout								Lead
Polling firm/Commissioner	Fieldwork date	Sample size	Turnout								Lead

2015 municipal election	24 May 2015	—	67.3	33.5 10	27.3 8	^[a]	1.7 0	^[a]	13.6 4	15.3 5	6.2

TNS Demoscopia/RTVE–FORTA^[1]^[2]^[3]	24 May 2015	?	?	36.7 11/13	24.7 7/8	^[a]	–	^[a]	14.3 4/5	12.8 3/4	12.0
NC Report/El Digital de Albacete^[4]^[5]	4–7 May 2015	600	?	40.3 13	23.3 7	^[a]	2.4 0	9.1 2	15.5 4	5.9 1	17.0
Sigma Dos/La Tribuna^[6]^[7]	29–30 Apr 2015	600	?	38.6 11/12	24.8 7	^[a]	–	^[a]	16.8 4/5	15.7 4	13.8
Noxa/La Calle^[8]^[9]	11–17 Apr 2015	?	?	33.0	32.7	4.3	4.5	14.0	8.4	–	0.3

2011 municipal election	22 May 2011	—	70.0	52.1 16	33.2 10	6.2 1	3.7 0	–	–	–	18.9

Almansa

Polling firm/Commissioner	Fieldwork date	Sample size	Turnout			AEIA	DPA				Lead
Polling firm/Commissioner	Fieldwork date	Sample size	Turnout								Lead

2015 municipal election	24 May 2015	—	71.4	34.9 8	44.1 11	1.4 0	4.7 0	8.3 2	0.9 0	3.8 0	9.2

PSOE^[10]	8–15 May 2015	250	?	36.0 9	24.4 6	4.0 0	6.0 1	10.4 2	0.8 0	11.2 3	11.6

2011 municipal election	22 May 2011	—	72.4	36.9 9	32.4 8	14.1 3	5.9 1	4.9 0	2.4 0	–	4.5

Azuqueca de Henares

Polling firm/Commissioner	Fieldwork date	Sample size	Turnout							G	Lead
Polling firm/Commissioner	Fieldwork date	Sample size	Turnout								Lead

2015 municipal election	24 May 2015	—	65.1	41.4 10	20.6 4	13.0 3	2.1 0	–	13.1 3	6.2 1	20.8

Noxa/La Calle^[8]^[9]	11–17 Apr 2015	?	?	44.6	27.3	5.1	3.2	8.2	9.5	–	17.3

2011 municipal election	22 May 2011	—	66.3	47.9 11	38.3 9	7.1 1	–	–	–	–	9.6

Ciudad Real

Color key:

Exit poll

Polling firm/Commissioner	Fieldwork date	Sample size	Turnout								Lead
Polling firm/Commissioner	Fieldwork date	Sample size	Turnout								Lead

2015 municipal election	24 May 2015	—	66.7	36.8 10	31.2 9	^[b]	3.4 0	^[b]	7.5 2	15.7 4	5.6

TNS Demoscopia/RTVE–FORTA^[1]^[11]	24 May 2015	?	?	32.0 8/10	33.0 9/10	^[b]	–	^[b]	10.0 2/3	18.1 5/6	1.0
Sigma Dos/La Tribuna^[12]^[13]	20–21 Apr 2015	400	?	44.4 12	18.9 4/5	^[b]	–	^[b]	19.9 5/6	12.5 3	24.5
Noxa/La Calle^[8]^[9]	11–17 Apr 2015	?	?	38.7	37.1	2.8	5.0	6.3	7.2	–	1.6

2011 municipal election	22 May 2011	—	69.9	51.6 15	31.7 9	5.9 1	4.9 0	–	–	–	19.9

Cuenca

Color key:

Exit poll

Polling firm/Commissioner	Fieldwork date	Sample size	Turnout							Lead
Polling firm/Commissioner	Fieldwork date	Sample size	Turnout							Lead

2015 municipal election	24 May 2015	—	68.2	32.6 9	37.3 10	12.8 3	2.1 0	–	10.3 3	4.7

TNS Demoscopia/RTVE–FORTA^[1]^[14]	24 May 2015	?	?	35.3 9/11	31.5 8/9	16.2 3/4	–	–	10.9 3/4	3.8
Sigma Dos/La Tribuna^[15]^[16]^[17]	20–21 Apr 2015	400	?	31.6 8/9	35.3 9/10	14.8 4	1.5 0	–	13.1 3	3.7
Noxa/La Calle^[8]^[9]	11–17 Apr 2015	?	?	38.6	37.0	4.0	3.8	8.5	5.1	1.6

2011 municipal election	22 May 2011	—	72.4	43.8 13	43.3 12	4.5 0	2.9 0	–	–	0.5

Guadalajara

Color key:

Exit poll

Polling firm/Commissioner	Fieldwork date	Sample size	Turnout							AG	G	Lead
Polling firm/Commissioner	Fieldwork date	Sample size	Turnout									Lead

2015 municipal election	24 May 2015	—	69.3	37.2 11	28.3 8	^[c]	2.1 0	^[c]	9.6 2	16.8 4	2.3 0	8.9

TNS Demoscopia/RTVE–FORTA^[1]^[18]	24 May 2015	?	?	34.9 9/11	31.5 8/10	^[c]	–	^[c]	11.0 2/3	12.0 2/3	5.1 1/2	3.4
Noxa/La Calle^[8]^[9]	11–17 Apr 2015	?	?	39.2	30.8	3.8	3.7	11.8	7.7	–	–	8.4

2011 municipal election	22 May 2011	—	72.3	54.2 16	30.4 8	6.1 1	3.4 0	–	–	–	–	23.8

Hellín

Polling firm/Commissioner	Fieldwork date	Sample size	Turnout					Lead
Polling firm/Commissioner	Fieldwork date	Sample size	Turnout					Lead

2015 municipal election	24 May 2015	—	59.5	33.7 8	37.1 9	9.8 2	9.2 2	3.4

ACG/El Objetivo de Hellín^[19]^[20]	7–22 Jan 2014	250	?	31.9	38.9	25.7	–	7.0

2011 municipal election	22 May 2011	—	67.8	43.5 10	40.1 9	11.9 2	–	3.4

Puertollano

Color key:

Exit poll

Polling firm/Commissioner	Fieldwork date	Sample size	Turnout							CPP	Lead
Polling firm/Commissioner	Fieldwork date	Sample size	Turnout								Lead

2015 municipal election	24 May 2015	—	61.5	40.0 11	26.1 7	17.1 4	–	–	10.8 3	4.1 0	13.9

TNS Demoscopia/RTVE–FORTA^[1]^[21]	24 May 2015	?	?	40.3 10/12	28.2 7/8	16.8 3/4	–	–	8.8 2/3	–	12.1
Sigma Dos/La Tribuna^[22]	12–14 May 2015	400	?	39.4 10/11	25.7 7	11.5 3	–	–	10.6 2/3	7.4 2	13.7
IES Juan de Távora^[23]	7–10 May 2015	500	?	42.1 11/13	21.3 5/6	8.4 2	–	–	15.0 4	8.0 0/2	20.8
Noxa/La Calle^[8]^[9]	11–17 Apr 2015	?	?	51.6	27.3	4.1	2.4	8.6	4.2	–	24.3

2011 municipal election	22 May 2011	—	63.3	44.5 12	38.9 10	11.1 3	3.5 0	–	–	–	5.6

Talavera de la Reina

Color key:

Exit poll

Polling firm/Commissioner	Fieldwork date	Sample size	Turnout								Lead
Polling firm/Commissioner	Fieldwork date	Sample size	Turnout								Lead

2015 municipal election	24 May 2015	—	64.5	39.5 11	31.9 8	^[d]	1.3 0	^[d]	8.7 2	14.6 4	7.6

TNS Demoscopia/RTVE–FORTA^[1]^[24]	24 May 2015	?	?	38.4 10/12	29.5 7/8	^[d]	–	^[d]	11.8 3/4	15.6 3/4	8.9
Sigma Dos/La Tribuna^[25]^[26]	21–22 Apr 2015	400	?	32.4 8/9	30.7 8	^[d]	–	^[d]	14.5 3/4	18.8 5	1.7
La Voz del Tajo^[27]	16–20 Apr 2015	5,023	?	40.8 10	42.3 11	^[d]	1.5 0	^[d]	8.0 2	7.4 2	1.5
Noxa/La Calle^[8]^[9]	11–17 Apr 2015	?	?	38.2	39.9	2.7	2.2	8.2	5.8	–	1.7

2011 municipal election	22 May 2011	—	69.2	52.0 14	36.9 10	6.0 1	2.9 0	–	–	–	15.1

Toledo

Color key:

Exit poll

Polling firm/Commissioner	Fieldwork date	Sample size	Turnout									Lead
Polling firm/Commissioner	Fieldwork date	Sample size	Turnout									Lead

2015 municipal election	24 May 2015	—	71.9	30.2 9	32.9 9	^[e]	1.2 0	^[e]	10.1 3	16.7 4	1.8 0	2.7

TNS Demoscopia/RTVE–FORTA^[1]^[28]	24 May 2015	?	?	30.0 8/9	33.2 9/11	^[e]	–	^[e]	11.7 3/4	15.4 3/4	–	3.2
GAD3/ABC^[29]	23–28 Apr 2015	440	?	29.8 8/9	37.6 10/11	^[e]	2.3 0	^[e]	8.2 2	16.5 4	–	7.8
Sigma Dos/La Tribuna^[30]^[31]	24–27 Apr 2015	400	?	33.8 9	34.4 9	^[e]	–	^[e]	14.5 3/4	13.8 3/4	–	0.6
Noxa/La Calle^[8]^[9]	11–17 Apr 2015	?	?	40.1	35.3	4.1	4.0	7.2	7.0	–	–	4.8
Celeste-Tel/PSOE^[32]^[33]	23 Mar–1 Apr 2015	500	?	41.0 11	32.7 9	^[e]	0.6 0	^[e]	12.8 3	8.7 2	3.3 0	8.3

2011 municipal election	22 May 2011	—	75.2	43.8 12	42.4 11	7.9 2	2.4 0	–	–	–	–	1.4

Notes

^ ^a ^b ^c ^d ^e ^f ^g Within Ganemos Albacete.
^ ^a ^b ^c ^d ^e ^f Within Ganemos Ciudad Real.
^ ^a ^b ^c ^d Within Ahora Guadalajara.
^ ^a ^b ^c ^d ^e ^f ^g ^h Within Ganemos Talavera.
^ ^a ^b ^c ^d ^e ^f ^g ^h ⁱ ^j Within Ganemos Toledo.

References

^ ^a ^b ^c ^d ^e ^f ^g "El PP sería el partido más votado en Albacete, Guadalajara y Toledo". Guadaqué (in Spanish). 24 May 2015.
^ "Un sondeo de Demoscopia para CMT da ganador al PP en Albacete con 11-13 concejales, 7-8 PSOE, 4-5 Ciudadanos y 3-4 Ganemos". El Digital de Albacete (in Spanish). 24 May 2015.
^ "Sondeo TNS Demoscopia Albacete". eldiario.es CLM (in Spanish). 24 May 2015.
^ "El PP ganaría las elecciones en Albacete con 13 concejales, a uno de la mayoría absoluta. Ciudadanos, Participa y Ganemos entrarían en el Ayuntamiento". El Digital de Albacete (in Spanish). 17 May 2015.
^ "ALBACETE, Mayo 2015. Sondeo NC Report". Electograph (in Spanish). 17 May 2015.
^ "El PP será el partido más votado y está cerca de la mayoría absoluta". La Tribuna de Albacete (in Spanish). 11 May 2015.
^ "ALBACETE, Abril 2015. Sondeo SigmaDos". Electograph (in Spanish). 12 May 2015.
^ ^a ^b ^c ^d ^e ^f ^g ^h "Page ganaría a Cospedal en la mayoría de grandes localidades de la región". La Calle (in Spanish). 23 April 2015. Archived from the original on 2015-04-30.
^ ^a ^b ^c ^d ^e ^f ^g ^h "CASTILLA-LA MANCHA (Grandes municipios), Abril 2015. Sondeo La Calle". Electograph (in Spanish). 23 April 2015.
^ "ENCUESTA ELECTORAL: El "caso Giba Cars" hunde al PP en Almansa". dclm.es (in Spanish). 15 May 2015.
^ "Sondeo TNS Demoscopia Ciudad Real". eldiario.es CLM (in Spanish). 24 May 2015.
^ "El PP gana sin mayoría absoluta y Ciudadanos desbanca al PSOE". La Tribuna de Ciudad Real (in Spanish). 4 May 2015.
^ "CIUDAD REAL, Abril 2015. Sondeo SigmaDos". Electograph (in Spanish). 4 May 2015.
^ "Sondeo TNS Demoscopia Cuenca". eldiario.es CLM (in Spanish). 24 May 2015.
^ "El PP ganará las elecciones municipales en Cuenca pero dependerá de los pactos, según una encuesta". El Digital de Castilla-La Mancha (in Spanish). 6 May 2015.
^ "El PP ganaría las elecciones municipales en Cuenca, aunque lejos de la mayoría". Sigma Dos (in Spanish). 6 May 2015.
^ "CUENCA, Abril 2015. Sondeo SigmaDos". Electograph (in Spanish). 6 May 2015.
^ "Sondeo TNS Demoscopia Guadalajara". eldiario.es CLM (in Spanish). 24 May 2015.
^ "El barómetro de El Objetivo de Hellín". Electograph (in Spanish). 16 April 2014. Archived from the original on 2014-05-18.
^ "HELLÍN (Albacete), Enero 2014. ACG". Electograph (in Spanish). 16 April 2014.
^ "Sondeo TNS Demoscopia Puertollano". eldiario.es CLM (in Spanish). 24 May 2015.
^ "El PSOE resiste y el PP se deja tres concejales en un Ayuntamiento de Puertollano con cinco partidos políticos". La Tribuna de Ciudad Real (in Spanish). 18 May 2015.
^ "Puertollano: Una encuesta electoral de alumnos del Instituto Juan de Távora coloca al PSOE en mayoría y deja al PP con la mitad de sus concejales". MICIUDADREAL (in Spanish). 18 May 2015.
^ "Sondeo TNS Demoscopia Talavera de la Reina". eldiario.es CLM (in Spanish). 24 May 2015.
^ "Ciudadanos es clave ante la caída de PP y PSOE que no pasan de 9 ediles". La Tribuna de Toledo (in Spanish). 4 May 2015.
^ "TALAVERA DE LA REINA (Toledo), Abril 2015. Sondeo SigmaDos". Electograph (in Spanish). 4 May 2015.
^ "Corrochano ganaría las elecciones". La Voz del Tajo (in Spanish). 20 April 2015.
^ "Sondeo TNS Demoscopia Toledo". eldiario.es CLM (in Spanish). 24 May 2015.
^ "TOLEDO, Abril 2015. Sondeo GAD3". Electograph (in Spanish). 3 May 2015.
^ "El empate a 9 concejales de PP y PSOE deja la Alcaldía pendiente de los pactos". La Tribuna de Toledo (in Spanish). 11 May 2015.
^ "TOLEDO, Abril 2015. Sondeo SigmaDos". Electograph (in Spanish). 11 May 2015.
^ "Un sondeo del PSOE da a Tolón ganadora al lograr 11 concejales frente a los 9 del Partido Popular". La Tribuna de Toledo (in Spanish). 28 April 2015.
^ "TOLEDO, Abril 2015. Sondeo Celeste-Tel". Electograph (in Spanish). 28 April 2015.

[GA-1] ^ ^a ^b ^c ^d ^e ^f ^g Within Ganemos Albacete.

[GCR-12] ^ ^a ^b ^c ^d ^e ^f Within Ganemos Ciudad Real.

[AG-20] Within Ahora Guadalajara.

[GTal-27] ^ ^a ^b ^c ^d ^e ^f ^g ^h Within Ganemos Talavera.

[GT-32] ^ ^a ^b ^c ^d ^e ^f ^g ^h ⁱ ^j Within Ganemos Toledo.

[ExitPolls-2] ^ ^a ^b ^c ^d ^e ^f ^g "El PP sería el partido más votado en Albacete, Guadalajara y Toledo". Guadaqué (in Spanish). 24 May 2015.

[3] "Un sondeo de Demoscopia para CMT da ganador al PP en Albacete con 11-13 concejales, 7-8 PSOE, 4-5 Ciudadanos y 3-4 Ganemos". El Digital de Albacete (in Spanish). 24 May 2015.

[4] "Sondeo TNS Demoscopia Albacete". eldiario.es CLM (in Spanish). 24 May 2015.

[5] "El PP ganaría las elecciones en Albacete con 13 concejales, a uno de la mayoría absoluta. Ciudadanos, Participa y Ganemos entrarían en el Ayuntamiento". El Digital de Albacete (in Spanish). 17 May 2015.

[6] "ALBACETE, Mayo 2015. Sondeo NC Report". Electograph (in Spanish). 17 May 2015.

[7] "El PP será el partido más votado y está cerca de la mayoría absoluta". La Tribuna de Albacete (in Spanish). 11 May 2015.

[8] "ALBACETE, Abril 2015. Sondeo SigmaDos". Electograph (in Spanish). 12 May 2015.

[NoxaApr15a-9] ^ ^a ^b ^c ^d ^e ^f ^g ^h "Page ganaría a Cospedal en la mayoría de grandes localidades de la región". La Calle (in Spanish). 23 April 2015. Archived from the original on 2015-04-30.

[NoxaApr15b-10] ^ ^a ^b ^c ^d ^e ^f ^g ^h "CASTILLA-LA MANCHA (Grandes municipios), Abril 2015. Sondeo La Calle". Electograph (in Spanish). 23 April 2015.

[11] "ENCUESTA ELECTORAL: El "caso Giba Cars" hunde al PP en Almansa". dclm.es (in Spanish). 15 May 2015.

[13] "Sondeo TNS Demoscopia Ciudad Real". eldiario.es CLM (in Spanish). 24 May 2015.

[14] "El PP gana sin mayoría absoluta y Ciudadanos desbanca al PSOE". La Tribuna de Ciudad Real (in Spanish). 4 May 2015.

[15] "CIUDAD REAL, Abril 2015. Sondeo SigmaDos". Electograph (in Spanish). 4 May 2015.

[16] "Sondeo TNS Demoscopia Cuenca". eldiario.es CLM (in Spanish). 24 May 2015.

[17] "El PP ganará las elecciones municipales en Cuenca pero dependerá de los pactos, según una encuesta". El Digital de Castilla-La Mancha (in Spanish). 6 May 2015.

[18] "El PP ganaría las elecciones municipales en Cuenca, aunque lejos de la mayoría". Sigma Dos (in Spanish). 6 May 2015.

[19] "CUENCA, Abril 2015. Sondeo SigmaDos". Electograph (in Spanish). 6 May 2015.

[21] "Sondeo TNS Demoscopia Guadalajara". eldiario.es CLM (in Spanish). 24 May 2015.

[22] "El barómetro de El Objetivo de Hellín". Electograph (in Spanish). 16 April 2014. Archived from the original on 2014-05-18.

[23] "HELLÍN (Albacete), Enero 2014. ACG". Electograph (in Spanish). 16 April 2014.

[24] "Sondeo TNS Demoscopia Puertollano". eldiario.es CLM (in Spanish). 24 May 2015.

[25] "El PSOE resiste y el PP se deja tres concejales en un Ayuntamiento de Puertollano con cinco partidos políticos". La Tribuna de Ciudad Real (in Spanish). 18 May 2015.

[26] "Puertollano: Una encuesta electoral de alumnos del Instituto Juan de Távora coloca al PSOE en mayoría y deja al PP con la mitad de sus concejales". MICIUDADREAL (in Spanish). 18 May 2015.

[28] "Sondeo TNS Demoscopia Talavera de la Reina". eldiario.es CLM (in Spanish). 24 May 2015.

[29] "Ciudadanos es clave ante la caída de PP y PSOE que no pasan de 9 ediles". La Tribuna de Toledo (in Spanish). 4 May 2015.

[30] "TALAVERA DE LA REINA (Toledo), Abril 2015. Sondeo SigmaDos". Electograph (in Spanish). 4 May 2015.

[31] "Corrochano ganaría las elecciones". La Voz del Tajo (in Spanish). 20 April 2015.

[33] "Sondeo TNS Demoscopia Toledo". eldiario.es CLM (in Spanish). 24 May 2015.

[34] "TOLEDO, Abril 2015. Sondeo GAD3". Electograph (in Spanish). 3 May 2015.

[35] "El empate a 9 concejales de PP y PSOE deja la Alcaldía pendiente de los pactos". La Tribuna de Toledo (in Spanish). 11 May 2015.

[36] "TOLEDO, Abril 2015. Sondeo SigmaDos". Electograph (in Spanish). 11 May 2015.

[37] "Un sondeo del PSOE da a Tolón ganadora al lograr 11 concejales frente a los 9 del Partido Popular". La Tribuna de Toledo (in Spanish). 28 April 2015.

[38] "TOLEDO, Abril 2015. Sondeo Celeste-Tel". Electograph (in Spanish). 28 April 2015.

[a]

[1]

[2]

[3]

[4]

[5]

[6]

[7]

[8]

[9]

[10]

[b]

[11]

[12]

[13]

[14]

[15]

[16]

[17]

[c]

[18]

[19]

[20]

[21]

[22]

[23]

[d]

[24]

[25]

[26]

[27]

[e]

[28]

[29]

[30]

[31]

[32]

[33]

Municipalities

Albacete

Almansa

Azuqueca de Henares

Ciudad Real

Cuenca

Guadalajara

Hellín

Puertollano

Talavera de la Reina

Toledo

Notes

References

Municipalities

Albacete

Almansa

Azuqueca de Henares

Ciudad Real

Cuenca

Guadalajara

Hellín

Puertollano

Talavera de la Reina

Toledo

Notes

References

Videos

Websites

Encyclopedia

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