| |||||||||||||||||||||||
Turnout | 57.6% | ||||||||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| |||||||||||||||||||||||
Lamont: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80%
80–90% Stefanowski: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% | |||||||||||||||||||||||
|
Elections in Connecticut |
---|
The 2022 Connecticut gubernatorial election took place on November 8, 2022, to elect the governor of Connecticut. Incumbent Democratic Governor Ned Lamont ran for re-election to a second term in office. [1] The race simultaneously took place with the election to the state's Class III Senate seat. This election featured a rematch of the previous 2018 gubernatorial election, pitting Lamont against Republican Bob Stefanowski, who he previously defeated by 3.2% of the vote. [2] This time Lamont won re-election by a wider margin, becoming the first Democrat to win a gubernatorial election by more than 5 points in the state since 1986. This is the first time since 1994 that Tolland County voted Democratic in a gubernatorial election.
In 2022, the Independent Party nominated its own candidate for governor for the first time ever. In every previous gubernatorial election since its creation, the party had always cross-endorsed the Republican nominee. [11]
The Working Families Party endorsed Lamont and Bysiewicz, giving them access to an additional ballot line. [13]
The Griebel-Frank for CT Party, who secured 54,741 votes in the 2018 election and is now affiliated with the Forward Party, gained a ballot line for 2022. In September 2022, the party endorsed Lamont and Bysiewicz, giving them access to an unprecedented three ballot lines for the election. [14]
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report [15] | Solid D | October 28, 2022 |
Inside Elections [16] | Solid D | March 4, 2022 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [17] | Likely D | January 26, 2022 |
Politico [18] | Lean D | August 12, 2022 |
RCP [19] | Lean D | January 10, 2022 |
Fox News [20] | Likely D | May 12, 2022 |
538 [21] | Solid D | September 20, 2022 |
Elections Daily [22] | Safe D | November 7, 2022 |
Source of poll aggregation |
Dates administered |
Dates updated |
Ned Lamont (D) |
Bob Stefanowski (R) |
Other [a] |
Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Real Clear Politics | September 7–21, 2022 | September 28, 2022 | 53.7% | 39.3% | 7.0% | Lamont +14.4 |
FiveThirtyEight | May 11 – November 8, 2022 | November 8, 2022 | 52.9% | 38.5% | 8.6% | Lamont +14.4 |
270ToWin | October 16–25, 2022 | November 8, 2022 | 51.5% | 39.0% | 9.5% | Lamont +12.5 |
Average | 52.7% | 38.9% | 8.4% | Lamont +13.8 |
Graphs are unavailable due to technical issues. There is more info on
Phabricator and on
MediaWiki.org. |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size [b] |
Margin of error |
Ned Lamont (D) |
Bob Stefanowski (R) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Long Island University | October 24–26, 2022 | 1,004 (A) | ± 3.0% | 55% | 24% | 8% [c] | 13% |
McLaughlin & Associates (R) [A] | October 23–24, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 49% | 43% | 4% [d] | 4% |
50% | 46% | – | 4% | ||||
Quinnipiac University | October 19–23, 2022 | 1,879 (LV) | ± 2.3% | 56% | 41% | 2% [e] | 1% |
Emerson College | October 19–21, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 52% | 41% | 2% [f] | 5% |
53% | 43% | 4% [g] | – | ||||
SurveyUSA | October 15–18, 2022 | 718 (LV) | – | 52% | 34% | 4% [h] | 10% |
Fabrizo, Lee & Associates (R) [B] | October 10–13, 2022 | 1,200 (LV) | ± 2.8% | 46% | 40% | 5% [i] | 10% |
50% | 43% | – | 7% | ||||
Western New England University | September 15–21, 2022 | 766 (RV) | ± 3.2% | 51% | 38% | 2% [j] | 8% |
626 (LV) | ± 4.8% | 55% | 40% | 2% [k] | 3% | ||
Quinnipiac University | September 15–19, 2022 | 1,911 (LV) | ± 2.2% | 57% | 40% | 1% [l] | 2% |
Emerson College | September 7–9, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 38% | 4% | 9% |
Quinnipiac University | May 19–23, 2022 | 1,660 (RV) | ± 2.4% | 51% | 43% | <1% [m] | 6% |
Emerson College | May 10–11, 2022 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 51% | 38% | – | 12% |
Sacred Heart University | March 24 – April 11, 2022 | 1,000 (A) | ± 3.0% | 48% | 30% | 0% | 22% |
Public Policy Polling (D) [C] | October 21–22, 2021 | 729 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 52% | 36% | – | 12% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size [b] |
Margin of error |
Ned Lamont (D) |
Themis Klarides (R) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling (D) [C] | October 21–22, 2021 | 729 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 52% | 32% | 16% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size [b] |
Margin of error |
Ned Lamont (D) |
Generic Opponent |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling (D) [C] | October 21–22, 2021 | 729 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 50% | 41% | 9% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size [b] |
Margin of error |
Generic Democrat |
Generic Republican |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Fabrizo Lee (R) [B] | October 10–13, 2022 | 1,200 (LV) | – | 46% | 42% | 1% [n] | 11% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Ned Lamont | 691,146 | 54.47% | +6.37% | |
Working Families | Ned Lamont | 16,175 | 1.27% | +0.00% | |
Griebel-Frank for CT Party | Ned Lamont | 2,865 | 0.23% | -3.66% | |
Total | Ned Lamont (incumbent) | 710,186 | 55.97% | +6.60% | |
Republican | Bob Stefanowski | 546,209 | 43.05% | -3.16% | |
Independent Party | Robert Hotaling | 12,400 | 0.98% | -0.82% | |
Green | Michelle Louise Bicking (write-in) | 98 | 0.00% | N/A | |
Total votes | 1,268,893 | 100.0% | |||
Turnout | 1,292,847 | 57.57% | |||
Registered electors | 2,245,844 | ||||
Democratic hold |
| |||||||||||||||||||||||
Turnout | 57.6% | ||||||||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| |||||||||||||||||||||||
Lamont: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80%
80–90% Stefanowski: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% | |||||||||||||||||||||||
|
Elections in Connecticut |
---|
The 2022 Connecticut gubernatorial election took place on November 8, 2022, to elect the governor of Connecticut. Incumbent Democratic Governor Ned Lamont ran for re-election to a second term in office. [1] The race simultaneously took place with the election to the state's Class III Senate seat. This election featured a rematch of the previous 2018 gubernatorial election, pitting Lamont against Republican Bob Stefanowski, who he previously defeated by 3.2% of the vote. [2] This time Lamont won re-election by a wider margin, becoming the first Democrat to win a gubernatorial election by more than 5 points in the state since 1986. This is the first time since 1994 that Tolland County voted Democratic in a gubernatorial election.
In 2022, the Independent Party nominated its own candidate for governor for the first time ever. In every previous gubernatorial election since its creation, the party had always cross-endorsed the Republican nominee. [11]
The Working Families Party endorsed Lamont and Bysiewicz, giving them access to an additional ballot line. [13]
The Griebel-Frank for CT Party, who secured 54,741 votes in the 2018 election and is now affiliated with the Forward Party, gained a ballot line for 2022. In September 2022, the party endorsed Lamont and Bysiewicz, giving them access to an unprecedented three ballot lines for the election. [14]
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report [15] | Solid D | October 28, 2022 |
Inside Elections [16] | Solid D | March 4, 2022 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [17] | Likely D | January 26, 2022 |
Politico [18] | Lean D | August 12, 2022 |
RCP [19] | Lean D | January 10, 2022 |
Fox News [20] | Likely D | May 12, 2022 |
538 [21] | Solid D | September 20, 2022 |
Elections Daily [22] | Safe D | November 7, 2022 |
Source of poll aggregation |
Dates administered |
Dates updated |
Ned Lamont (D) |
Bob Stefanowski (R) |
Other [a] |
Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Real Clear Politics | September 7–21, 2022 | September 28, 2022 | 53.7% | 39.3% | 7.0% | Lamont +14.4 |
FiveThirtyEight | May 11 – November 8, 2022 | November 8, 2022 | 52.9% | 38.5% | 8.6% | Lamont +14.4 |
270ToWin | October 16–25, 2022 | November 8, 2022 | 51.5% | 39.0% | 9.5% | Lamont +12.5 |
Average | 52.7% | 38.9% | 8.4% | Lamont +13.8 |
Graphs are unavailable due to technical issues. There is more info on
Phabricator and on
MediaWiki.org. |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size [b] |
Margin of error |
Ned Lamont (D) |
Bob Stefanowski (R) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Long Island University | October 24–26, 2022 | 1,004 (A) | ± 3.0% | 55% | 24% | 8% [c] | 13% |
McLaughlin & Associates (R) [A] | October 23–24, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 49% | 43% | 4% [d] | 4% |
50% | 46% | – | 4% | ||||
Quinnipiac University | October 19–23, 2022 | 1,879 (LV) | ± 2.3% | 56% | 41% | 2% [e] | 1% |
Emerson College | October 19–21, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 52% | 41% | 2% [f] | 5% |
53% | 43% | 4% [g] | – | ||||
SurveyUSA | October 15–18, 2022 | 718 (LV) | – | 52% | 34% | 4% [h] | 10% |
Fabrizo, Lee & Associates (R) [B] | October 10–13, 2022 | 1,200 (LV) | ± 2.8% | 46% | 40% | 5% [i] | 10% |
50% | 43% | – | 7% | ||||
Western New England University | September 15–21, 2022 | 766 (RV) | ± 3.2% | 51% | 38% | 2% [j] | 8% |
626 (LV) | ± 4.8% | 55% | 40% | 2% [k] | 3% | ||
Quinnipiac University | September 15–19, 2022 | 1,911 (LV) | ± 2.2% | 57% | 40% | 1% [l] | 2% |
Emerson College | September 7–9, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 38% | 4% | 9% |
Quinnipiac University | May 19–23, 2022 | 1,660 (RV) | ± 2.4% | 51% | 43% | <1% [m] | 6% |
Emerson College | May 10–11, 2022 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 51% | 38% | – | 12% |
Sacred Heart University | March 24 – April 11, 2022 | 1,000 (A) | ± 3.0% | 48% | 30% | 0% | 22% |
Public Policy Polling (D) [C] | October 21–22, 2021 | 729 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 52% | 36% | – | 12% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size [b] |
Margin of error |
Ned Lamont (D) |
Themis Klarides (R) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling (D) [C] | October 21–22, 2021 | 729 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 52% | 32% | 16% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size [b] |
Margin of error |
Ned Lamont (D) |
Generic Opponent |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling (D) [C] | October 21–22, 2021 | 729 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 50% | 41% | 9% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size [b] |
Margin of error |
Generic Democrat |
Generic Republican |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Fabrizo Lee (R) [B] | October 10–13, 2022 | 1,200 (LV) | – | 46% | 42% | 1% [n] | 11% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Ned Lamont | 691,146 | 54.47% | +6.37% | |
Working Families | Ned Lamont | 16,175 | 1.27% | +0.00% | |
Griebel-Frank for CT Party | Ned Lamont | 2,865 | 0.23% | -3.66% | |
Total | Ned Lamont (incumbent) | 710,186 | 55.97% | +6.60% | |
Republican | Bob Stefanowski | 546,209 | 43.05% | -3.16% | |
Independent Party | Robert Hotaling | 12,400 | 0.98% | -0.82% | |
Green | Michelle Louise Bicking (write-in) | 98 | 0.00% | N/A | |
Total votes | 1,268,893 | 100.0% | |||
Turnout | 1,292,847 | 57.57% | |||
Registered electors | 2,245,844 | ||||
Democratic hold |